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Slovakia v Romania
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Kick Off: Wednesday 26th June at 17:00
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Watch Live: BBC Two
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Competition: Euro 2024
All four teams in Group E are sitting on three points each going into the section’s final round of fixtures, however, as dramatic as that sounds, both Slovakia and Romania would have snatched at this opportunity had it been offered pre-tournament.
As the Euro 2024 group stages are nearing completion, here at Andy’s Bet Club we are gearing up for the next phase of drama and Euro football action. Make sure you don’t miss out on our daily Euro 2024 betting predictions, including our favourite Slovakia v Romania bet builder tips, as well as our infamous selection of Euro 2024 acca tips and both teams to score predictions.
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For Slovakia, the task at hand is straightforward – win in Frankfurt on Wednesday and they will secure their passage to the knockout stage at Euro 2024.
Romania meanwhile, could progress with either a victory or a draw, though having two routes to qualification might complicate their thinking and their approach ahead of their clash with The Falcons at the Frankfurt Arena.
Slovakia v Romania Best Bets
➡️ Valentina Mihaila to have 2+ shots @ 2.63 with bet365
➡️ Over 2.5 Slovakia corners @ 1.20 on Paddy Power
➡️ Both teams to score @ 2.10 with Paddy Power
Valentina Mihaila’s running power caused Belgium problems on Saturday and though his end produced was lacking, he did manage to rack up more attempts on goal (four) than any of his Romanian teammates.
Slovakia’s 37-year-old right back Peter Pekarík could find it tough to match Mihaila’s acceleration and the Romanian winger is available at an excellent price of 2.63 to have at least two strikes at goal again.
Elsewhere, backing Slovakia to win at least three corners is another option with credentials at 1.20. Only Slovenia (35.6%) and Albania (32.3%) have been averaging less possession-per-game than Romania (36.8%) and with the Tricolorii ceding plenty of territory, they conceded 15 corners across their first two Group E fixtures.
Slovakia have been averaging 5.50 corners per game in the section and they can earn at least three more on Wednesday when they attack Romania’s low block.
Backing both teams to score on what could be an evening of high drama in Frankfurt also appeals at 2.10. Slovakia notched goals in each of their first two Group E fixtures and they should have chances to maintain their strike rate against a Romanian defence that conceded 20 shots and nine shots on target against Belgium.
The Slovakians aren’t exactly watertight themselves, however, and they allowed their opponents to clock 1.60 and 1.50 in xGF against them in their first two Group E assignments.
They had VAR to thank for the clean sheet they secured on matchday one against Belgium before they conceded twice against Ukraine on their second outing, while Slovakia also shipped ten shots on target combined in the same games (Belgium – 5, Ukraine – 5). The evidence here suggests action at both ends should be anticipated.
📂 Slovakia v Romania Cheat Sheet
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You can find Slovakia v Romania match stats on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
📊 Slovakia Form and Stats
Despite taking an early lead for the second Group E fixture on the spin, lightning didn’t strike twice for Slovakia on matchday two and they were eventually pegged back by Ukraine in the second half and lost 2-1 to their resurgent opponents.
Slovakia performed similarly against both Belgium and Ukraine from a statistical standpoint, losing the xGF on both occasions (0.60-1.60 & 0.80-1.40), though the VAR-led fortune that unexpectedly got them over the line on matchday one was absent against Ukraine.
The high point of Friday’s loss was Ivan Schranz’s 17th-minute opener and the 30-year-old, who has boosted his international tally from three to five goals at the Euros, is already shaping up to be a tournament talisman for the Falcons.
Schranz has hit the target with 75% of his attempts in Germany so far and has been averaging 1.64 shots on target per 90 from his position on the right flank.
Unsurprisingly, Slovakia enjoyed more possession (56%) and had more shots against Ukraine (13) than they did against Belgium, though they didn’t always look comfortable as the team in command.
Centre-backs Milan Skriniar (103) and Denis Vavro (80) and holding midfielder Stanislav Lobotka (83) filled positions one to three for total passes played on Friday, though Slovakia struggled to move the ball forward at times and that trio were caught recycling possession too often.
Indeed, a largely starved-of-service front three of Lukas Haraslin, Robert Bosenik, and Ivan Schranz played just 50 passes between them and accounted for only five of the Falcons’ 14 shots.
With their goal difference (0) after two games a major factor, only a win over Romania will suffice for Slovakia this week, though Head Coach Francesco Calzona is unlikely to shift too far from his risk-averse strategy.
📊 Romania Form and Stats
Having hit lofty heights against Ukraine (3-0) on matchday one, Romania were brought back down to earth by classy Belgium (0-2) on Saturday, however, qualification from Group E could still be on the cards if Wednesday’s fixture is navigated smoothly.
Romania conceded after just 73 seconds against Belgium – which was the third-fastest goal in European Championship history – though they remained competitive and forced Belgian stopper Koen Casteels into four saves before Kevin De Bruyne doubled their opponent’s advantage.
After that second goal, Romania looked at the bigger picture and shut up shop for the most part, however, with Group E’s overall goal difference impacting their thought process. After full-time, Head Coach Edward Iordanescu admitted as much, saying:
“We had to try to not concede too many. A third goal would have been really bad for us. That was the first moment we had to keep in mind the result.”
Romania had more shots (14-9) and more possession (45%-28.7%) against Belgium than they did against Slovakia and Valentin Mihaila helped in that regard. The decision to include the rapid winger from the start proved a savvy move by Iordanescu.
Mihaila did miss a huge opportunity to equalize at the start of the second half against Belgium, though his searing pace provided plenty of menace and he managed four shots before he was subbed off after 68 minutes.
The 20 shots Romania conceded at the other against the Belgians was a cause for concern, however, and keeper Florin Nita (seven saves) was far too busy for comfort.
Romania conceded nine shots on target overall and only three teams have conceded more accurate shots in a single sitting at the Euros so far (Scotland 10 vs Germany, Albania 10 vs Croatia, and Georgia 12 vs Czechia).
Midfielder Marius Marin, who attempted seven tackles, committed three fouls, and was shown a yellow card, did his best to stem the flow, and the 25-year-old could be in the thick of things again against Slovakia.
⚔️ Slovakia v Romania Head-to-Head
Slovakia and Romania have met on eight previous occasions, though Wednesday’s skirmish will be their first encounter since 2013.
Three of their last four meetings were in friendly fixtures and Romania avoided defeat in each of those non-competitive tussles. Both teams managed to find the net in three of the same games.
Before that, Slovakia and Romania were paired in the same European Championship qualification groups for the tournaments in 1996 and 2000.
In four meetings across those two qualification campaigns, Romania won three times with the remaining rendezvous finishing all square.
Indeed, the Romanians have an unbeaten record in this fixture to defend in Frankfurt this week.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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