We now turn our attention to the 10 Championship games live this Saturday, and our expert has picked three of their favourite selections to combine into a 4/1 accumulator. A £10 bet on our treble returns £54.
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Saturday’s Championship Accumulator Tips
Two in-form teams clas at Carrow Road and both will be feeling confident of scoring in this encounter.
Starting with the outsiders and visitors, Hull City, they seem to have taken some time to come to terms with Tim Walter’s playing style and philosophy, but the last three matches have seen some outlandish attacking play, whilst still, importantly for this bet, conceding once a game.
The Tigers won 3-1 at QPR in midweek to back up a 4-1 win at home to Cardiff and another 3-1 away win at Stoke previous to that. The squad depth is starting to look especially good for Hull now that most new signings have settled in and players have returned from injury.
Chris Bedia has cemented his place as first choice in the centre forward role, which is something that Hull have needed for some time, and in Mohamed Belloumi showing signs of being a really good pickup as well, the attacking unit looks talented and hungry for goals. Hull now have 12 goals from an xG of 11.1, both of which are top half of the league numbers.
Norwich are no slouches in front of goal themselves. Indeed, their xGF numbers are above Hull’s, albeit only by 0.4 xG, and they also have 12 goals in eight matches. More importantly, Norwich’s last three matches have seen both teams scoring, and all four of Norwich’s home matches have also seen both teams scoring.
There is a lot of form pointing towards BTTS in this encounter and given that, the price looks reasonable enough to include in as a wager.
The price on Oxford to get something at Fratton Park looked generous enough before what happened on Wednesday night, but, given the result that Portsmouth suffered at Stoke, there is even more reason to think that Oxford shouldn’t be outsiders for this fixture.
Portsmouth are still yet to win a match since promotion into the Championship, which means that a double chance bet against them would’ve have won in eight out of eight matches so far this season.
Of course, Pompey will have targeted this match as one that they would feel confident in winning. They did win the exact fixture last year in League One, and did so again two seasons ago, albeit there hasn’t been a single match between these two that has been won by more than one goal since 2018, so they have often been equally matched, as six draws in their last ten meetings would also explain.
This season’s form shows that Oxford are in a much better place at the moment than Portsmouth. The Yellows are yet to win away from home, but did really well to come back from two goals down at Luton in midweek to get a point, and they have score 12 goals in eight games, which is a slight overperformance on their 9.4 xG, but both numbers are better than Portsmouth, who have eight goals and 7.2 xG.
Portsmouth have had a tough fixture list at this stage, but that 1-6 defeat in midweek to Stoke was a bombshell. Oxford should try to exploit any mental fragility felt by Pompey from the start and if they can get a lead then confidence will be at rock bottom for Portsmouth.
The Plymouth fans at Home Park are used to being royally entertained. The number of goals that they have seen this season, as well as the last three seasons combined, must make a season ticket there one of the best value in the Championship.
The fans in attendance when Plymouth hosted Luton last Friday night got four goals, and three for the home side. This added to the 3-2 against Sunderland from two weeks previous that indicated that Wayne Rooney had found something in attack, at least in front of the home fans.
They have drawn blanks in their two away games in this period, but they were at West Brom and Burnley, so that is a tough assignment for any Championship to look fluent in attack against. Blackburn, for all of their organisation, are not as strong defensively as those two sides, and this match is at Home Park.
If, therefore, there can be confidence in home goals, is it possible for Blackburn to contribute from an attacking standpoint? Rovers are the team that are most overperforming their xG with 14 goals from an 8.5 xG chance creation figure. However, that also highlights how well their forwards have finished, with Yuki Ohashi prime amongst them. Makhtar Gueye, Andreas Weimann, and Todd Cantwell have also all come into the club and been impressive in different ways, and highlights the variety of tools at John Eustace’s disposal now.
Two of Blackburn’s four away games have gone over 2.5 goals, and they have conceded in three of them, only avoiding this fate at Preston when their rivals went down to ten men before half-time. Overall five of Blackburn’s eight Championship matches have gone over 2.5 goals, and Plymouth’s poor defensive record, currently worst in the league for xGA, gives further encouragement that goals are in the offing for this match.
Despite a rare home defeat in midweek, there was nothing in the performance against Middlesbrough to suggest that there is much to be concerned about from a West Brom perspective.
Middlesbrough are one of the better teams in the league and the match was a high-level tactical match in which either team could’ve won, albeit Middlesbrough handcuffed West Brom quite effectively.
Whether Millwall have the quality to do the same to Carlos Corberan’s side is questionable, and also, Corberan will want to see a response to that defeat here. West Brom are still a very secure team, especially at home, and despite Millwall’s good attacking numbers this season, they found themselves unable to break down bottom team Cardiff’s defence in midweek, which is a concern heading to the Hawthorns.
Millwall’s away form in general is another concern coming into this match. This will be back-to-back travelling for the Lions, and that is a challenge in itself, but they also come into this with no away win this season so far. They have lost to Cardiff and Bristol City, alongside draws at QPR and Hull, none of these tests are as big as a trip to West Brom.
The goal that Hayden Hackney scored for Middlesbrough on Tuesday was the first that West Brom had conceded at home since 13th April. The goal was only a 0.07 xG chance as well, so we are certainly not talking about a team that has slackened off defensively, and a narrow home win would be what all of the data and analysis is pointing towards for this fixture.
Taking the Draw No Bet price is a safe way of playing this leaning as it removes the problem of a low scoring draw, which is also a possibility.
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