Man City have scored an average of 2.30 goals this season in the Premier League, and an average of 3.0 goals per game in the Champions League. They are also unbeaten in the Champions League this campaign, having won all seven of their games so far.

Copenhagen have not won an away match in the Champions League since December 2016 (which came against Club Brugge). Furthermore, the last time they faced City away from home was in October 2022, a match that ended 5-0 in favour of Guardiola’s gang. Copenhagen had just 25% of possession and managed two shots compared to Man City’s 30. It’s safe to say Copenhagen are in for a long night.

This narrative opens up some interesting angles in the handicap betting markets, especially given the low odds of simply backing a Man City win. If you’re unfamiliar, these markets require Man City to win by a certain margin, eg Man City (-1) needs Man City to win by two or more goals to land.

Phil Foden is at a record goal tally individually for a single season (18 across all competitions), and it’s only the start of March. He was once again the standout performer at the weekend, bagging two goals against Manchester United. He also recorded four shots on target from a total of nine shots.

In the away leg against Copenhagen, he managed three shots on target from five shots, securing Man City’s victory in the 92nd minute. So far in the Premier League, Foden has averaged 3.07 shots and 1.26 shots on target per match. His averages are higher in the Champions League: 4.0 and 1.50 respectively.

Despite only starting five matches, Foden has seven goal contributions so far in the Champions League, the most of any Man City player. Given his strong form recently, Foden is expected to be vital once again for City on Wednesday evening.

No team has managed more corners in the Premier League than Man City, who have seen an average of 7.93 per game. When isolating their home games, this average rises to 8.29. In each of their last five Premier League games, Man City have taken at least eight corners (15, 8, 10, 12, 9).

In fact, 74% of Man City’s home matches have seen over 8.5 total corners, with over 9.5 landing 63% of the time and. Over 10.5 has landed 59% of the time. Again, across Man City’s last five in the Premier League, the over 8.5 has landed 100% of the time, with the over 10.5 line winning in 80% of those matches.

Man City will likely perform well in the corner handicap market given Copenhagen’s poor corners record in the Champions League. In their last game against Man City, Copenhagen managed just two corners. Furthermore, across their group-stage games, they averaged 4.0 corners for, conceding 6.33.

This market works similarly to the match handicap markets, with Man City (-4) needing to take at least five more corners than Copenhagen for the bet to land.

Foden has won an average of 1.57 fouls per game in the Premier League, winning four at the weekend against Man United. His pace, skill, and technical ability often leads to his opponents committing clumsy challenges, and this can be expected to happen on Wednesday.

He is predicted to start against Magnus Mattsson and Elias Jelert, who both usually play down Copenhagen’s right-hand side. The former committed a foul against Man City in their last meeting and has now committed at least one foul in three of his last four appearances. Jelert has an average of 0.69 fouls per game in the Danish Superligaen so far, picking up four bookings from 17 starts.

Copenhagen will be keeping close tabs on Foden given his electric form recently, and try to limit the space he finds.