Caicedo came on at half time when these sides met earlier in the season, committing one foul in the second period as Chelsea secured a 3-0 win over Forest. Chelsea committed 16 fouls in total on that occasion, so Caicedo should be in the limelight to cover the 2+ foul line here from the start of the game given his personal record this term.

Caicedo has committed 43 fouls across his 28 starts in the Premier League this season (1.58 per 90), and is also averaging 12.2 defensive contributions per 90 - showing just how crucial Caicedo is to Chelsea’s defensive structure in the middle of the park. 

He’s committed a foul in four of his last five Premier League appearances, and should have plenty of work to get through here against Morgan Gibbs-White (1.21 fouls won per 90) and his direct matchup in Elliot Anderson - who has been fouled 2+ times in each of his last four Premier League appearances. 

Elliot Anderson was pretty lucky to avoid being sent off in Forest’s 1-0 win over Aston Villa on Thursday evening as Vitor Pereira’s side drew first blood in the all-English Europa League semi-final between the sides. 

He lunged into a challenge on Watkins, catching his ankle, but avoided further punishment to the obvious annoyance of Unai Emery in the post match press conference.

Anderson was fouled three times in that game, which was partly due to the Villa players wanting a bit of revenge for their team mate, but it’s also a big part of Anderson’s game and one that can come to the fore here against an aggressive Chelsea midfield. 

Anderson has won 73 fouls across his 34 starts in the Premier League this season (2.16 per 90), winning a foul in each of his last five Premier League appearances and winning multiple fouls in three of these games. 

Anderson was fouled four times when these sides met earlier on in the campaign, showing how the tenacity of Chelsea's midfield can lead to Anderson winning at least two fouls in this clash. 

Chermiti has cut a frustrating figure for Rangers this season as he has struggled to live up to his big-money price tag for long periods before flashing into life in the biggest games of the season. The former Everton striker has 12 goals in the league this term, 4 of which came via a couple of braces against Celtic and 3 more of which were scored against Hearts when these sides last met.

No Rangers player has managed more shots on target than the 21-year-old in league play this term, and his price to score looks particularly healthy given he has 1.73 shots on target per 90. Indeed, this is the best figure in the whole of the Premiership by quite a distance.

His shooting stats have been particularly good in recent games as he has chalked up 3 shots on target in each of his last 3 outings. He has at least 2 shots on target – available at 2.75 – in 6 of his last 9 appearances. On top of this, he has 3 goals, surely guaranteeing him a start as Rangers’ in-form striker and making him a strong candidate to find the target again.

Craig Halkett has always been a commanding figure at the heart of Hearts' backline, and Monday's meeting with Rangers feels like the perfect stage for another combative showing. The centre-half has averaged 1.13 fouls per 90 in the Scottish Premiership this season, but his foul and card record sharpens noticeably when the tempo rises in bigger games. Already sitting on 9 yellows, Halkett has a well-documented habit of overstepping the mark when tested by pacey, dynamic forward lines.

Rangers' attackers have drawn a combined 3.2 fouls per 90 across their last five away outings, which means Halkett will be continually pulled into isolated duels where a split-second misjudgement is all it takes. Recent form only adds weight to the case. He's picked up bookings in two of his last five starts, Monday's game carries real significance in the title picture, and the appointed referee has averaged 4.2 cards per match this season - all of which makes backing Halkett to commit a foul a solid angle for this leg of our treble.

Nicolas Raskin has often walked a disciplinary tightrope for Rangers this season, and his combative style could be central to the midfield battle once again. The Belgian has committed 2.09 fouls per 90 and picked up 7 yellow cards in the league, a total that highlights his aggressive approach. Notably, in the most recent head-to-head meeting, he committed 2+ fouls, underlining a trend that tends to emerge in the most physical fixtures.

No Rangers midfielder has walked the line quite like the 25-year-old, and his foul lines look particularly healthy given the threat posed by the opposition. Hearts’ key midfield operator in Claudio Braga averages 1.67 fouls won per 90, suggesting Raskin will have ample opportunity to engage in the sort of scrappy duels that often result in a whistle. Indeed, across the Scottish Premiership this term, his willingness to contest loose balls has made him a regular feature in the referee's book.

His recent run of form further bolsters the case. Raskin has committed at least 2 fouls in six of his last nine appearances. Given the intensity of the occasion and the specific matchup in the middle of the park, backing him to make his presence felt is a strong angle.