In this article…
Man United v Bayern Munich
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Kick Off: Tuesday 12th December at 20:00
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Competition: Champions League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 1
It is matchday 6 in the Champions League, and as ever, our experts have been all over the football going on in Europe. Alongside our Man United v Bayern Munich bet builder tips, make sure you check out our Champions League bet builder tips, including those for PSV v Arsenal; our Champions League accumulator for Tuesday, as well as plenty more free expert football betting predictions from all corners of the globe.
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Tuesday evening’s entertainment takes us to the final stint of Champions League group stage games. Perhaps one of the most exciting clashes will be Man United hosting Bayern Munich in group A. To have any chance at progressing to the knockouts, United have to win here and hope that the other game in the group ends in a draw.
With so much needed to happen for the Red Devils to make it through, it is no surprise that Opta rates their chances of sneaking into the knockouts at just 9.4%.
Further, United still needs to win, and then either Galatasaray or Copenhagen to also win and gain the three points, to make it into the Europa playoffs.
This narrative plays in very well for a bet, as we can expect plenty of shots, cards and fouls given the high stakes United face. Consequently, this article uses the Man United v Bayern Munich Cheat Sheet to break down the key stats and match-ups ahead of this clash, making a series of bet builder predictions. If any of these predictions stand out to you, then why not add them into your Man United v Bayern Munich bet builder?
Man United v Bayern Munich Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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You can find Man United v Bayern Munich match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match stats: Two huge weekend defeats may change the way this game is played
United suffered a huge 3-0 home defeat last Saturday against Bournemouth, perhaps the worst thing that could have happened before having to play this game. This defeat represented one of many issues United have had this season. In the Champions League so far, only Royal Antwerp (15) have conceded more goals than United (14).
Ten Hag’s future will likely be under scrutiny depending on the result here, with investor Sir Jim Ratcliffe close to take control of the club’s operations. After their defeat to The Cherries, Ten Hag had this to say:
“You have to be at your best in every game. That demands a lot of energy, starting with the right focus. When you start like we did, you can’t do it. You get killed.”
He is likely to make sure his players are better prepared mentally to take on Bayern.
The visitors also suffered a shock defeat over the weekend, losing 5-1 to Frankfurt. This will play out one of two ways for United. Either Bayern will be playing with deflated confidence, and given that they have already won the group, will not be gunning for a victory here.
Or, more likely, it means that Tuchel will put out his best XI to restore confidence amongst his players. Given Bayern currently have scored the most domestic goals of any team in Europe, this would dampen United’s chances of qualifying.
However, this all plays in well for betting on match goals and the both teams to score market. Further:
Bayern have seen an average of 4.08 match goals across all competitions this season. Both teams have scored in all but one of their Champions League games so far
United have seen an average of 3.00 match goals over all competitions, again with both teams scoring in all but one of their Champions League matches.
Predictions:
🥅 Both teams to score @ 1.40
⚽ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.45
⚽ Over 3.5 goals @ 2.25
🎯 Shooting stats: Kane can dominate United
Harry Kane is no stranger to scoring against the Red Devils.
In the reverse of this fixture, Kane bagged himself a goal and an assist with a man of the match performance. He has been involved in nine goal contributions over his last eleven meetings with United. What’s perhaps most impressive is his record at Old Trafford: scoring four goals and assisting two in his last five visits there.
This season he has been shining since his transfer to Bayern, scoring 31 goals and assisting six across all competitions this season (27 games). This has seen him average 3.23 shots per match (1.71 shots on target). Specifically in the Champions League, his averages are 2.51 shots with 1.54 shots on target. It would be no surprise if Kane repeated history and dominated United on Tuesday evening.
Predictions:
⚽ Harry Kane to score anytime @ 2.00
🎯 Harry Kane to have 2+ shots on target @ 1.73
🛑 Fouls stats: High stakes will lead to plenty of fouls
United are expected to put up a fight against Bayern; this means fouls. Their last Champions League outing represented just as high stakes as this one, and in that match they committed 18 fouls. This season, over all competitions, United have committed an average of 11.32 fouls. For reference this above both the Champions League and Premier League average.
On an individual level, Luke Shaw is likely to rack up some fouls. The left-back has committed an average of 1.60 fouls so far this season. In his last Champions League outing he registered four fouls. On Tuesday he will likely be tasked with defending against Leroy Sane, no easy task. Sane has a career average of over a foul per game, and has won at least one foul in all of his Champions League starts this season.
Predictions:
🛑 Man United to commit 12+ fouls @ 1.91
🛑 Luke Shaw to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.20
🛑 Luke Shaw to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.91
🟨 Cards stats: United cards are to be expected
In the same vein as fouls, United are likely to accumulate plenty of bookings, especially given their recent disciplinary form. In four of their last five games, United have picked up two or more bookings. Further, domestically they average 2.19 yellow cards per game.
Given United’s European hopes rest on this game, and Bayern have already qualified, it would be surprising if Bayern picked up more bookings than United. Therefore, the team to receive the most cards market looks very attractive, where the hosts are priced at evens.
United are by no means short of players who are likely to get a booking, be it them halting an attack, time wasting, or getting booked for dissent. Perhaps the most likely player for a booking is Bruno Fernandes, and he is surprisingly good value.
Fernandes has already picked up nine yellows over all competitions this season, and always seems to nearly always get a booking in both high stakes games and matches where the result isn’t going his way.
Predictions:
🟨 Over 1.5 Man United cards @ 1.44
🟨 Over 2.5 Man United cards @ 2.50
🟨 Man United to receive the most cards @ 2.00
🟨 Bruno Fernandes to be shown a card @ 3.75
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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