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⚡ Premier League Darts Finals Night Tips & Boosted Double
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🎯 Over 5.5 Luke Littler 180s v Michael Smith
🎯 Luke Humphries to win v Michael van Gerwen
Over 5.5 Luke Littler 180s v Michael Smith
The final four on finals night at the O2 promises to be special and the reason for this is not only does it feature the last four PDC World Championship finalists, but all four play the game at a nice fluid pace which should elevate performance levels.
In this respect, Luke Littler v Michael Smith should have a glut of 180s and we fancy ‘The Nuke’ to smash in six or more maximums in this match to get our semi-final double off to a winner.
The pair clashed seven times in the league phase and Littler notched 6, 5, 2, 1, 4, 3 and 6 maximums in those encounters. The matches were best of 11 legs, however, whereas the semi-finals are a much longer format and are best of 19 legs.
Despite the league phase being played over a shorter format, Littler surpassed the target twice in those games against Smith and fell just one short in another, suggesting this prolonged match should allow him to hit this mark again, but with greater ease.
Across the seven games between these two, Littler has hit 27 maximums in 65 legs of darts. At that rate, and assuming the match has around 14 to 15 legs, you’d think this has every chance of cashing. This is backed up further by the fact that games between the two have seen 65 of the possible 77 legs played, suggesting that this match is likely to run to 16 legs or more.
Luke Humphries to win v Michael van Gerwen
Luke Humphries comes into this match having won each of his last six clashes against Michael van Gerwen and we can see him extending that impressive streak to seven here.
MVG won their first clash of this season, 6-5 in the final of Night Three in Glasgow but since then, it’s been one-way traffic. ‘Cool Hand’ has won their subsequent four Premier League clashes 6-3, 6-4, 6-5 and 6-3 and he’s also won two meetings with ‘Mighty Mike’ on the Euro Tour 8-1 and 6-3.
Once again, the pace of the two should suit and Humphries seems to relish it. In his seven clashes with MVG this season he’s averaged 101.37, 92.03, 112.66, 100.34, 99.99, 101.34 and 104.10, for an overall average of 101.38.
In comparison, MVG has been outplayed by the world no. 1. ‘Mighty Mike’ has only once averaged 100+ against him this season, has had the lower average in all but one of the seven matches and his overall average across their head-to-head meetings is 95.10, some 6.28 points lower than his opponent.
Humphries also ended his Premier League campaign the better of the two, reaching the final of the last two weeks, winning one and finishing runner-up in the other. The Dutchman on the other hand has reached just one final in the previous five weeks and just two in the last 12.
Take the world champion and world no. 1 to continue his strong form and to move just one game away from another huge title.
Premier League Darts: Finals Night
Our darts predictions are back for Premier League Darts. We were on red-hot form throughout Christmas as our darts betting tips for the PDC World Darts Championships saw consistent winnings throughout the tournament. If you placed £10 on each of our bets for the event at Alexandra Palace, you would have been over £200 in profit.
You can back our Outright Premier League Darts betting tips and as always we’ll highlight the best free bets and bookmaker offers during the event to help you bet smarter.
The O2 Arena in London stages Finals Night of this year’s Premier League Darts, and our expert is here to guide you through the last Premier League clash of the year as one of the four qualifiers is set to walk away with the trophy and £275,000 in their back pocket. We come into finals night on decent form having landed two boosted doubles in the last three weeks.
Premier League Darts Outright Winner
🏆 Luke Humphries to win
At the start of this year’s Premier League, our pre-tournament picks were Luke Littler (4.50) and Michael Van Gerwen (4.33) so we hold a strong hand as we head into the final night of action.
It’s perhaps the strongest possible semi-final line-up and it’s impossible to rule any of the four out, as they are all capable of having a ten-minute spell where they can obliterate their opponent.
The likely final – as the betting suggests – is a rematch of the most recent World Championship final between the two Luke’s, Littler and Humphries, but you must remember that ‘Bully Boy’ Michael Smith leads his head-to-head clashes with Luke Littler 5-2, despite ‘The Nuke’ averaging 100+ against him in four of those seven matches. Smith also comes into this having won the final night of the league phase, which included a 6-5 victory over his semi-final opponent.
The best bet is to back Luke Humphries to prevail and add to his impressive trophy haul over the past eight months. Yes, MVG has been there and done it in this event, but as mentioned in our semi-finals boosted double above, Humphries holds a fantastic recent record against the Green Machine.
Despite finishing second in the table behind Littler, ‘Cool Hand’ boasts the best tournament average in the field at 100.49 and has averaged over a ton 19 times in this year’s event already, four more than the next best, which is Luke Littler with 15.
All-in-all when he’s been at his best, Humphries has looked the most likely winner, almost unplayable at times and in this kind of form, he appears the most likely to perform to that level on the big night.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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