🇩🇪 Germany v Denmark 🇩🇰 (BTTS)
🇪🇸 Spain v Georgia 🇬🇪 (BTTS)
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We have compiled a both teams to score (BTTS) accumulator for this weekend’s Euro 2024 action.
Our BTTS tips come with a 2.5% boost thanks to bet365’s Soccer Acca Boost. These odds represent a bit of value coming from one of the best betting sites for accumulators and one of the top UK bookmakers.
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🇩🇪 Germany v Denmark 🇩🇰 (BTTS)
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Odds: 2.00
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Kick Off: Saturday 29th June at 20:00
Both teams to score is understandably priced at evens for Germany v Denmark, compared to Both teams to score no at 1.72.
This is mainly due to the Danes’ lack of convincing attacking displays in the tournament so far, scoring twice in their three group games.
Having said that, they have the best set piece xG of any side remaining in the competition, averaging 0.52 xG per game from set pieces, compared to Germany’s 0.29.
This could come into play with Jonathan Tah suspended for the tournament hosts, seeing them lose a key aerial presence in defending set pieces, with them set to come up against capable dead ball attackers like Joachim Andersen, Andreas Christensen and Jannik Vestergaard.
The market expects Germany to score, they’re priced at 1.18 to do so, having scored eight goals in their opening trio at the Euros. With that eight including three goals from substitutes.
In their final two group games, Germany rode their luck at the back at times, conceding just once from 1.78 xGA, suggesting they were a little fortunate not to see more goals conceded.
Denmark have created better chances than their goal tally of 2 suggests, generating 3.2 xGF in the competition, and in the likes of Rasmus Hojlund, Christian Eriksen, Yussuf Poulsen and Kasper Dolberg they have players capable of scoring a goal out of nothing, even if they do not create high quality chances at will against the Germans.
🇪🇸 Spain v Georgia 🇬🇪 (BTTS)
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Odds: 2.50
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Kick Off: Sunday 30th June at 20:00
The market is underestimating the likelihood of a Georgia goal in their last 16 clash with Spain. Both teams to score is priced at a massive 2.50 compared to 1.50 on both teams to score. Spain are 1.07 to score a goal in 90 minutes while Georgia are at 2.25.
Spain have not conceded yet in the tournament, hence the prices, but they have allowed 3.0 xGA worth of chances on their goal – a significant overperformance that suggests a regression to the mean would see them concede.
Georgia have scored in every game and sustainably too, netting four times from 4.1 xGF. They’ve generated over 1 xGF in every game, including the 3-1 loss to Turkey when they posted 1.37 – the only match so far where they have not won a penalty.
The underdogs scored against Spain home and away in qualifying and have Euro 2024’s leading goalscorer in Georges Mikautadze, who has netted in every game and twice from the spot.
This Spain defence is being overrated by the market. It is not of similar quality to the great Spanish defences of the past with the likes of Iker Casillas, Gerard Pique, Carles Puyol, Sergio Ramos and the rest. Nacho Fernandez is likely to miss out through injury, and in Aymeric Laporte (31 caps and currently playing in Saudi Arabia), Robin Le Normand (14 caps) and Marc Cucurella (6 caps), there is inexperience that could be overawed by the occasion.
Georgia will relish the underdog tag for the entirety of the match, striving to find the net in the Euro 2024 knockout stages and to produce the moment that it would for their small nation, even if the result is not going their way.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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