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Fiorentina v Inter Milan Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Fiorentina v Inter Milan Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Saturday 27 January, 20242 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

Fiorentina v Inter Milan

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Kick Off: Sunday 28th January at 19:45
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Competition: Serie A
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 1

Sunday evening sees a huge clash at the Artemio Franchi as Fiorentina do battle with Inter Milan. As ever here on Andy's Bet Club we have a range of European football bet builder tips and European football accumulator predictions. Not only that, but closer to home we also have a variety of expert football tips & predictions from every corner of the UK.

If you like what you see and want to get involved, check out the various free bet offers and all of the best January bookmaker offers so you can be sure you're getting the best value for money in 2024.

Fiorentina will host current leaders Inter Milan in the second part of a Serie A double-header on Sunday evening, with the Stadio Artemio Franchi playing host. This game has all the ingredients to be a classic under the lights and this article will explore the key information needed to help put together the perfect bet builder to accompany the action, what a way to close out the weekend.

The Viola are enjoying a fine season and currently occupy the last Champions League qualification spot at the time of writing, and manager Vincenzo Italiano’s will be hoping to put a dent in Inter Milan’s title charge here. The hosts however have made an indifferent start to 2024 having lost to Sassuolo and drawn with Udinese either side of success in the Coppa Italia and defeat in the Italian Super Cup.

The visitors meanwhile have picked up exactly where they left off in 2023 and have already captured the first silverware of the season having collected the aforementioned Italian Super Cup last week in Saudi Arabia. Simone Inzaghi’s side are locked in what looks to be a two-horse race with Juventus for the Scudetto and they enter this game unbeaten in their last twenty-two in all competitions.

Fiorentina v Inter Milan Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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You can find Fiorentina v Inter Milan match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

🏆 Match stats: This fixture produces goals

Games between Fiorentina and Inter Milan often produce plenty of goals. When looking at the last thirteen head to head games, at both venues, the numbers are staggering. In terms of goals, those matches have produced a total of 52, and that’s an average of four goals per game. That stretch included a couple of thrillers such as a 5-4 win for Fiorentina and a 4-3 win for Inter Milan last term. Interestingly, during that same run of games, 11 of those 13 resulted in both teams finding the back of the net and that’s worth considering here too. Inter Milan have scored 49 goals in their 20 league matches this season and it would be a surprise to see the league's top scorers draw a blank here. Therefore they are fancied to score against a defence that is conceding one per game at home. The visitors also hold the record for the league's best defence, leaking just four goals on the road, but it’s certainly worth considering the hosts grabbing a goal in this one. The heart of the Inter Milan’s midfield will be missing as Nicolo Barrella and Hakan Calhanoglu are both ruled out through suspension and that could disrupt an otherwise solid spine of this formidable and robust engine.

Predictions:

⚽Both teams to score @ 1.75

⚽Over 1.5 goals @ 1.25

🎯 Shooting stats: Frattesi to fire on target

Inter Milan have been breathtaking at times from an offensive perspective, and they currently top the charts in terms of xG, goals scored and chances created. Inzaghi’s side average almost five shots on target per game, and interestingly they had eleven in the reverse fixture and four in this game last season. Lautaro Martinez has been a large part of their success, but there is value elsewhere. With both Barella and Calhanoglu both serving their respective suspensions, there will be opportunities for a couple of fringe players to come into this Inter Milan midfield, and Davide Frattesi is likely to earn a starting place. The Italian has made just one start all season, but is a threat going forward, highlighted by the five shots on target he’s had during his game time, and that’s an average of 1.18 per 90 minutes. Marcus Thuram is another of the Inter Milan side fancied to have a shot on target in this one. The Frenchman is averaging 1.17 per 90 minutes in Serie A and had a big game in the reverse fixture. In fact, he took a total of 6 shots in that match with two of those working the goalkeeper, while he also scored and provided an assist. He’s also amassed one on target in three of his last five league games.

Predictions:

⚽ Davide Frattesi to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.67

⚽ Marcus Thuram to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.40

⚽ Inter Milan 4+ shots on target @ 1.30

🛑 Foul stats: Viola duo on fouls watch

Inter Milan are one of the least fouled teams in Serie A, drawing an average of 10.45 fouls per game. However, with their midfield bite missing, it’s possible they could be a little more vulnerable in this particular contest as Barella and Calhanoglu are rarely fouled, so that could skew figures. It’s noteworthy that Fiorentina committed 12 in the reverse fixture, more than their seasonal average. One likely candidate in that midfield area is Alfred Duncan. The Ghanaian has already committed 15 fouls in his 17 appearances in the league this season, which is almost a foul per game, and as a result has collected a couple of yellow cards for his offenses. In the absence of the midfield generals for Inter Milan, Duncan is likely to attempt to stamp his authority on their replacements in the centre. His midfield partner, Arthur Melo, is also potentially susceptible in the fouls market. The former Barcelona midfielder has made 20 appearances in the league this term and has committed 14 fouls in those games and he’s taken in this game. It’s interesting to consider that the Brazilian made a foul in the reverse fixture and he’s likely to be very combative as they look to dominate the midfield.

Predictions:

⚽ Alfred Duncan to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.30

⚽ Arthur Melo to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.53

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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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