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Inter Milan v Fiorentina Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Inter Milan v Fiorentina Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Tuesday 28 October, 20254 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

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Inter welcome a Fiorentina side still searching for their first win of the season having drawn four and lost four of their eight matches in Serie A so far this term.

Inter have won three of their four home matches this term and sit fourth in Serie A. All three points here could put them temporarily at the top of the table. 

These Inter v Fiorentina Betting Stats also offer further insight ahead of this midweek Serie A clash.


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Inter Milan v Fiorentina Bet Builder Best Bets
  • Inter Milan v Fiorentina
  • Serie A
  • 19:45
4 Selections @ 3.00

Ange Yoan-Bonny to have 1+ Shots on Target

Bonny has been sensational in the early weeks of the season with six goal contributions across just 262 minutes of football in Serie A this season (3 goals, 3 assists). He’s had six shots across these matches (2.06 per 90) with three of these attempts finding the target (1.03 per 90). 

Bonny has also pitched in via the Champions League with an assist from the bench in Inter’s 4-0 thrashing of Union Saint Gilloise. Bonny netted six goals and provided four assists in Serie A last season which was a very decent return considering that he was playing for Parma who finished just five points above the relegation zone. He averaged 2.26 shots per 90 and 0.78 shots on target per 90 across these matches.

Fiorentina look really vulnerable at the back in the early weeks of the campaign with 12 goals conceded across their eight matches. Only Lecce (13) have conceded more goals in Serie A this season than Fiorentina, so you would expect Inter and Bonny to have a few clear cut chances here. 

Nicolo Barella to commit 1+ Fouls

Barella has committed eight fouls across his eight appearances in Serie A so far this term (1.13 per 90). He’s naturally quite an aggressive midfielder and will have quite a battle on his hands here as he faces up against as many as four players in central areas for Fiorentina.

Two of these players really catch my eye when it comes to winning fouls. Caviglia has won 10 fouls across his six Serie A appearances this term (2.06 per 90) while Mandragora has won 14 fouls across his eight appearances in the Italian top flight (2.21 per 90). This pairing, as well as the general busyness in the middle of the park for Fiorentina, should tempt Barella into committing at least one foul in this contest.

Barella committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card in this fixture last season. All three of Inter’s midfielders were shown a yellow card on that occasion, highlighting the strength of Fiorentina’s midfield when it comes to winning fouls. Inter committed 16 fouls overall in the game so we can expect quite a feisty encounter here.

Inter to Win

Inter have won three of their four home games in Serie A so far this season with the exception being their surprise 2-1 loss against Udinese. This can go down as a freak result rather than the remnants of a pattern with Inter producing an xG of 1.97 in the game and having 16 shots in total.

Their 3-1 defeat against Napoli last time out brought an end to a run of eight games unbeaten across all competitions, but I’m confident they can bounce straight back here and get back to winning ways. They take on a Fiorentina side that are yet to win their first game of the season having drawn four and lost four of their eight matches in Serie A so far.

Three of these draws have come in their away matches so there has been a bit more joy for Fiorentina on the road than there has been at home this season. 

That being said, Inter have scored more goals than any other side at home in Serie A this season (12) which is a scoring power that should be able to brush Fiorentina outfit aside that have started the season really poorly. Inter ran out 2-1 winners in this fixture last season, posting an xG of 2.24 to Fiorentina’s 1.04.

Inter to have 5+ Shots on Target

Inter have had the joint most shots on target in Serie A this season with Chivu’s side averaging 5.40 shots on target per game across their eight matches this term. Napoli are the other side tied on this shot on target count which makes them the two best sides in Serie A when it comes to finding the target.

Fiorentina have conceded 33 shots on target across their eight matches in Serie A this season (4.1 per game) and are likely to come under real pressure from Inter here.

Inter managed 22 shots and eight shots on target in this fixture last season. They hit three shots on target against Napoli last time out having previously hit seven against USG in the Champions League.

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📈 Inter Milan v Fiorentina Form & Tactics

Inter’s unbeaten run spanning eight matches was brought to an end by Napoli last time out who ran out 3-1 winners over Chivu’s side which was a result that sent Napoli back to the summit of Serie A as they attempt to retain their Scudetto crown.

Inter have been strong throughout the campaign so far despite that damaging loss. It was always going to be a difficult transition with Inzaghi leaving the club after such a long spell, but Chivu has picked up the pieces and is assembling a really complete side that can compete in the Champions League as well as Serie A this term. Inter now have real attacking depth, they used to rely too much on Martinez and Thuram but the additions of Esposito and Bonny offer real attacking depth. 

Fiorentina have had a disastrous start to the season as they remain one of just four sides that are yet to register a win in Serie A this season. The other sides in this quartet are Hellas Verona, Pisa and Genoa so it’s not really the company you’d usually expect Fiorentina to keep with the club battling for European spots in previous campaigns.

Fiorentina’s only success so far has come in the Conference League where they’ve won both of their matches without even conceding a goal - a stark contrast to their league form where they’ve conceded the second most goals in the entire division (12). 


📔 Inter Milan v Fiorentina Formation & Team News

Inter continue to line up in a 3-5-2 which has been their shape for a few years. Chivu hasn’t changed the shape or instructions too much from Inzaghi’s time in charge with the former manager assembling his squad around this formation. There are a few key players that will be absent for Inter Milan here with Mkhitaryan and Thuram expected to be sidelined for this encounter.

Inter’s wingbacks are obviously crucial in this system with Dimarco and Dumfries managing to maintain their high levels from last season in these roles. The back three also takes on a familiar feeling to Inzaghi’s time at the club, but with new personnel like Manuel Akanji becoming part of Inter’s backline.

Fiorentina are expected to line up in a similar shape here with a 3-5-1-1 being their preferred structure this term. Moise Kean leads the line as the main striker, with Albert Gudmundsson sitting just behind him as a number 10. Fiorentina haven’t had too much success with this shape so there could be a change in structure here, but it is likely to be pragmatic to try and quell the serious attacking threat of Inter.


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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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