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Aston Villa v Man United Bet Builder Tips

Aston Villa v Man United Bet Builder Tips

Friday 4 October, 20241 min read
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James The Betting Desk

James has been involved in a number of different betting, data analysis websites and football podcasts over the years. What started out as an interest in data analytics and building football data models by scrapping various free websites in his spare time, has now become the backbone for his betting with professional data and models to assist with his insights and predictions. A subject expert, he focuses on the Premier League and EFL with extensive data analysis covering all aspects of underlying performances. James is a season ticket holder at his beloved Ipswich Town and attends both home and away.

In this article...

Aston Villa v Man United

Our expert has put together two bet builders for this Sunday afternoon's Premier League fixture, level 1 is 2/1 and level 2 is just shy of 11/1. We also have further in-depth coverage of this game in our Aston Villa v Man United betting preview.

3/1 Aston Villa v Man United Bet Builder Level 1

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11/1 Aston Villa v Man United Bet Builder Level 2

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Level 1 Bet Builder Tip

🛑 Noussair Mazraoui to commit 1+ Fouls

📈 Odds: 1.30

Mazraoui has committed 10 fouls in his 6 starts this season, making at least 1 in 5 games. Utd will be desperate to keep Villa at bay this weekend given their two disappointing games over the last seven days. He likely to be up against Lucas Digne and Jacob Ramsey. Ramsey is fouled on average 1.08 times per 90 minutes and 0.83 times. There is a chance that Philogene could come in for Ramsey and he has been fouled four times in 45 mins of Premier League football this season.

🥅 Both Teams to Score

📈 Odds: 1.44

Both teams are likely to score when Aston Villa face Manchester United on Sunday. Villa have scored in five of their six matches this season but are yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding two goals in two of their three home games. They’ve averaged 3.95 goals across their last 20 home Premier League games, with both teams scoring in 15 of them. Villa's recent match against Bayern Munich may also have left them fatigued, increasing defensive vulnerability. Manchester United, despite inconsistent form, have scored in three of their last six matches and are under pressure to perform. They’ve struggled defensively, conceding 16 shots in the box per 90 minutes over the last four games. With both teams boasting decent attacking numbers but shaky defences, the chances of both scoring are high, especially with United playing on short rest.

🟨 Over 3.5 Cards

📈 Odds: 1.20

There will likely be at least four cards in the game, based on both teams' recent discipline and referee Rob Jones' officiating style. Manchester United have received two or more cards in all three of their away games this season and picked up at least one in 20 of their last 22 away fixtures. Villa’s opponents average 2.86 cards per game at Villa Park, with only three teams avoiding at least two bookings over their last 22 matches. Rob Jones, the referee, has a history of issuing numerous cards, averaging 6.25 per game this season. Last year, he averaged 4.91 cards per match and handed out five in this fixture, with both teams receiving two or more cards.

🚩 Over 4.5 Aston Villa Corners

📈 Odds: 1.33

Aston Villa are in a strong position to win at least five corners in this match, given their solid corner-taking record at home. This season, Villa have earned 16 corners across their home games, averaging 5.33 per match. Looking back at their last 22 home fixtures, they’ve averaged 5.92 corners per game, managing to hit five or more corners in 16 of those games. Manchester United’s defensive struggles, especially in away games, also contribute to this expectation. In their last 22 Premier League away matches, United have given up an average of 7.45 corners per game. Although they’ve slightly tightened up this season, allowing only 8 corners in 3 away matches, their recent displays against Spurs and Porto have hinted at a return of last season’s defensive weaknesses. Last season, United conceded five or more corners in 16 of their 19 away games, making it highly likely that Villa will win at least five corners in this match

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Level 2 Bet Builder Tip

🩹 Youri Tielemans to be Fouled 2+ Times

📈 Odds: 2.00

Tielemans will partner with Onana, but he is expected to have more involvement in Villa's play, being responsible for driving the team forward. This will likely see him on the ball more frequently, making him a prime target for opposition fouls. So far this season, Tielemans has been fouled 11 times across 6 games, with at least one foul in every match and two or more in 4 of those. Following their disappointing performance last weekend, United are likely to press aggressively, with players like Bruno Fernandes, Ugarte, Mainoo, or Casemiro focusing on Villa’s key men. Ugarte committed 3 fouls in his only start, Mainoo has racked up 9 fouls in 6 appearances, and Casemiro—despite having slowed down slightly—continues to pose a threat with his physical style of play.

🎯 Jhon Duran to have 1+ Shots on Target

📈 Odds: 1.44

Duran is quickly becoming a super sub scoring four times this season all from the bench. He has only played 163 minutes in the Premier League and managed 10 shots and 5 shots on target which equates to a shot every 16 minutes and a shot on target every 33 minutes. The only two game he came on and didn’t have a shot on target was against Arsenal and Ipswich. Against Man Utd I suspect he might get longer than 20+ minutes following his brilliant goal midweek against Bayern Munich.

🟨 Over 4.5 Cards

📈 Odds: 1.50

There will likely be at least five cards in the Aston Villa vs. Manchester United match, considering both teams' recent disciplinary records and the strict officiating style of referee Rob Jones. Manchester United have consistently struggled with discipline, receiving two or more cards in all three of their away games this season and at least one card in 20 of their last 22 away fixtures. Villa’s home games also tend to be card-heavy, with visiting teams averaging 2.86 cards per game over their last 22 matches. Only three opponents have escaped Villa Park without picking up at least two bookings. Referee Rob Jones further increases the chances of multiple cards, as he has averaged 6.25 per match this season. In last year’s meeting between these teams, Jones issued five cards, with both sides receiving at least two each. In this fixture last season there were five cards dished out.

🛑 Youri Tielemans to commit 2+ Fouls

📈 Odds: 2.50

Tielemans has made a total of 11 fouls in 6 games this season, making at least 2 or more fouls in four games and 1 or more in all 6. He will play in the middle of midfield up against Bruno Fernandes, Mainoo and Ugarte, who made 3 fouls in the last Premier League game. Mainoo has made at least 2 fouls in 4 of the 5 games where he has played more they 45 minutes.

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At Andy’s Bet Club, our in-depth expert football tips are everything you could need when planning your punting throughout the 2024/25 season.

Our experts have also put together a selection of shots on target predictions, card betting tips and player fouls predictions that you can include in your bet builders. Meanwhile, our bet builder stats tool allows bettors to access the data to inform their own selections.

You should also be making your money go further by backing our tips on the top bet builder sites, best UK sports betting sites and by using the best weekly free bet clubs and taking advantage of the best Premier League free bet offers.

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