Breda came away 2-1 winners when these sides met earlier in the season, registering an xG of 2.06 in that triumph, which was right at the start of the season. Things have changed quite dramatically since that result for the away side here, who find themselves in the relegation zone - three points from safety. 

They travel to take on a Fortuna Sittard side who have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions. Fortuna Sittard have seen 47 goals across their 14 home matches in the Eredivisie this season (3.35 we game), and aren’t quite safe from the threat of relegation yet, with eight points currently keeping them from the drop zone.

Breda have only managed to win one of their 14 games on the road this term, so it may be worth taking Sittard to win alongside any goal angle you take here. Breda have failed to win any of their last five matches across all competitions, seeing 3+ goals in four of these games. 

I’m expecting plenty of goals when Falkirk take on Rangers on Sunday. John McGlynn’s side always look to play on the front foot, no matter who they're facing, and that should set the stage for an entertaining afternoon at the Falkirk Stadium. 

That’s certainly been the pattern in recent months, with five of the Bairns' last six home matches across all competitions seeing over 2.5 goals. It’s also worth noting that Falkirk come into this game off the back of a thrilling 3-2 win at Motherwell.

As for Rangers, they were involved in their own goal-laden contest last weekend, beating Dundee United 4-2 at Ibrox. That means six of the Light Blues' last eight league matches have produced at least three goals, with six of those games also clearing the 4+ goal mark - one of which was a 2-2 draw away at bottom side Livingston.

The initial league meeting between these sides produced four goals as Heerenveen ran out 3-1 winners over Alkmaar, despite being slight underdogs on that occasion. Each of the last six head-to-head meetings between these sides, stretching back to 2023, has seen 3+ goals, with five of these games seeing more than three goals.

Only one point separates these sides in the Eredivisie table, so it’s fair to assume that they are pretty well matched and will be motivated to increase their chances of finishing inside the Conference League playoff spots, which are hotly contested in the Eredivisie at the moment. Alkmaar have only lost two of their 14 home matches in the Eredivisie this season, seeing 52 goals across these matches (3.71 per game). 

Heerenveen enter this clash in good form, having avoided defeat in each of their last five matches across all competitions, seeing 3+ goals in all of these games. Their most recent assignment produced five goals as they came away 4-1 winners over Heracles - marking the second occasion across Heerenveen’s last five matches where they’ve covered this line on their own. 

I can’t see this being a low-scoring affair, both sides desperately need the points for different reasons, and Chelsea haven’t managed to keep any of their games under Liam Rosenior tight so far. 

This is mainly due to Chelsea being unable to keep clean sheets; they’ve only kept four since Rosenior took charge, with these coming against Hull, Pafos, Brentford, and Port Vale.

Manchester City enter this clash having just put four goals past Liverpool in the FA Cup. I wouldn’t be surprised if the away side cover this line on their own again here, given the issues that Chelsea are currently facing - but the individual quality of the Blues always gives them a good chance of getting on the scoresheet themselves.