Pasalic has struggled for minutes this season and even when starting, he tends to come off early, averaging 63 minutes played per match. That won’t be a problem for us because even if he does come off we’ll have Super Sub on our side, he’s likely to be replaced by De Roon who’s averaged an impressive 1.48 fouls per 90 minutes.

When given adequate game time, Pasalic has proved himself reliable, sinning at least once in 7 of his 9 league appearances lasting 75 minutes or more.

Barcelona’s expected starting midfield will consist of 1 of Europe’s most efficient foul-drawing trios, featuring Marc Casado (1.77 fouls won per 90), Gavi (1.71 won per 90) and Pedri (1.41 won per 90).

We also expect Lookman to slip up at least once and there’s plenty of evidence to support this reasoning. The forward has averaged 1.43 fouls committed per 90 in Serie A, sinning at least once in each of his last 9 starts in the competition.

Additionally, he’s committed at least 1 foul in 3 of his last 4 Champions League appearances despite playing limited minutes in each.

Coming up against La Liga’s 4th most-fouled side, Lookman is likely to slip up at least once, particularly given he may well be expected to drop slightly deeper to offer support to Atalanta’s midfield to prevent them from getting overrun.

Retegui has been on fire this season and it’s no surprise he’s the frontrunner for the Capocannoniere (Serie A’s Golden Boot) given his league-topping average of 1.80 shots on target per 90 (including players to have started at least 1 game).

The forward has made 15 league appearances lasting 50 minutes or more and has tested the keeper at least once in 13. He’s maintained a similar standard in the Champions League where he’s started 5 games, and hit the target in all 5, in addition to once more off the bench against Real Madrid, despite being on the pitch for no more than 17 minutes.

Lewandowski’s league average of 3.84 shots per 90 ranks amongst Europe’s best and implies he should have no problem in firing off at least 1 in each half.

Lewandowski has managed at least 2 shots in 85% of his appearances in La Liga this season including each of his most recent 6. In the Champions League, he’s tested his luck twice or more in all of his last 6 games, totalling 21 shots over the period.

Atalanta have conceded an average of 10.4 shots per game in Serie A this season, implying Barcelona and Lewandowski should have ample opportunities in front of goal.

Lamine Yamal looks to have been massively overpriced to fire off 2 or more shots on target, as evidenced by his average of 1.48 shots on target per 90, the 3rd-most of any starting Barcelona player, albeit negligibly so, with Raphinha and Lewandowski averaging 1.53 and 1.52 respectively.

The youngster has tested the keeper at least once in 13 of his last 14 games, registering 2 shots on target in 8 of those games including clashes with Real Madrid and one with Dortmund. This selection has been a winner in 4 of his 6 Champions League matches including in each of the last 3.

Atalanta have averaged exactly 4 shots on target conceded per game in Serie A and their attacking philosophy is sure to give Barcelona and Lamine Yamal a handful of chances on Wednesday.

Raphinha has undoubtedly been Barcelona’s star player this season, with no player topping his 32 goal contributions in just 31 appearances.

It’s important to note that there’s no reason to believe this trajectory is unsustainable with the Brazilian winger also averaging 1.15 xG+xA per 90 minutes across all competitions.

He comes into this clash having posted 7 goal contributions across his last 5 games and 10 in his 7 UCL clashes. With the bookmakers understandably pricing ‘over 2.5 goals’ as short as 1.3, it looks like a goal-laden game is on the cards.

Over the last season or 2, Lookman has been on fire in front of goal, surely aided by his transition from a winger into an out-and-out forward.

Lookman has averaged 1.43 shots on target per 90 minutes across all competitions this season, with only Retegui boasting a higher rate. He’s tested the keeper at least once in 12 of his 17 league starts, coming off early in 4 of the 5 times he hasn’t had a shot on target, being played out of position as an attacking midfielder in 3.

In his last 2, he managed 3 shots on target against Real Madrid, followed by another 3 against Sturm Graz despite only coming on at half time.

Operating alongside Lookman, Retegui has been Atalanta’s other star player this season, leading the Capocannoniere race with 16 league goals in limited game-time, averaging 1.25 per 90.

His form is promising to say the least, having bagged in each of his last 4 games,scoring 5 goals in just 228 minutes across the period.

Retegui has tested the keeper at least once in all 5 Champions League starts, finding the back of the net 3 times across his last 2 in the competition. Barcelona have already conceded 11 UCL goals and if they are to be breached, Retegui feels the most likely to do it.