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Leicester v West Brom Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Leicester v West Brom Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Saturday 20 April, 20242 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Leicester v West Brom

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Kick Off: Saturday 20th April at 12:30
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Football

The Championship title race is getting even more heated and Andy's Bet Club has you covered for all the drama running up to the end of the season, including a variety of EFL betting predictions and EFL accumulator tips. As ever on Andy's Bet Club we also have a huge range of football tips and expert betting predictions from across Europe's best footballing action.

If you want to see some content outside of this matchup, check out Andy's Bet Club's brand new btts tips and player fouls betting tips to include in your bets this weekend.

Before you place your bets though, make sure you browse our carefully curated selection of free bets and all of the best bet builder bookmaker offers to make your money work for you.

The narrative doing the rounds at the top of the Championship at the moment is: “no one wants to win this league”.

Of course, this couldn't be further from the truth. The truth is that each of Leicester, Ipswich, and Leeds, want promotion so much that it is part of the problem of why they are stumbling so badly.

In essence, from a data and dominance perspective, it is difficult to criticise Leicester too much. They have beaten both Millwall and Plymouth on xG and in terms of shots, but there does appear to be something about the moment that is affecting the final actions.

In a way, it could be more free knowing that they are playing a team more on a level with them in West Brom.

The Baggies have been in 5th place in the league for what seems like an eternity. It is unclear whether Carlos Corberan and the team would benefit from staying in 5th or not, more likely the Baggies simply want to secure their top-six place with a positive result here regardless of final position.

Here's some of the best selections for Leicester v West Brom.

Leicester v West Brom Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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You can find Leicester v West Brom match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

🏆 Match stats: West Brom tactics likely to frustrate Leicester

Recently we have seen low-block and low-possession tactics work against Leicester by Millwall and Plymouth. Leicester had 70% or more possession in each game but failed to score. While both matches were away from home, it is more than likely that West Brom will copy some elements of those tactics. The Baggies have been one of the best defensive teams in the league this year. They have conceded the third-least goals in the Championship, alongside the fifth-best expected goals against (xGA) record and the second-highest number of clean sheets. Leicester continue to have good attacking data, though they have dropped off from their peak expected goals for (xGF) per match totals. They are a narrow second to Leeds in xGF with 76 xGF from 42 matches, now short of 2 xGF per match, when they were over this mark during the season. The Foxes have won seven of their last ten at the King Power Stadium, but West Brom are unbeaten in seven away Championship matches as well, albeit they have won only two of those seven. The way that this match should pan out is that Leicester will have more possession, more shots, and probably a greater xGF, they are running at +1.2 xGF per match better than their opponents at home over the last ten matches. It is just a case of whether Leicester can take those chances, at the moment, and at the odds that they are still being priced up, it is hard to be confident of that.

Predictions:

⚽ West Brom double chance @ 2.20

🎯 Shooting stats: Mavididi to provide the goal threat for Foxes

Only Brandon Thomas-Asante averages over one shot on target per 90 for West Brom this season. The forward is unavailable for this match following his red card last time out, so there are slim pickings for the visitors in this market. With Leicester's depth in the forward area, it should pay to pick players who are most likely to start and play the vast majority of the match. Stephy Mavididi and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall were the Foxes’ most frequent shooters in the Plymouth match, and both landed a shot on target as well. Mavididi has played the full match in all of his last eight, bar one minute v Norwich, and he plays on the opposite wing to his stronger foot, which means he can dip in and shoot on any occasion. Dewsbury-Hall is the leader of the attacking unit, coming with runs from deep and carrying the ball. He had four shots last week, to add to his 6 from the previous 3 matches. The midfielder is the one trying to provide the spark to get Leicester back into the Premier League and is a decent price to get another one on target here.

Predictions:

⚽ Stephy Mavididi to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.22

⚽ Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to have 2+ shots on target @ 1.57

🛑 Fouls stats: West Brom a low-fouls team, the home side a better bet

West Brom's tactical style and discipline makes them a difficult team to assess when looking for players to foul. Almost all of their players average less than a foul per 90, which, when the odds being offered are generally odds-on, feels difficult to accept in terms of likelihood and value. For this section, we will be sticking to Leicester suggestions, where the options are plentiful. Abdul Fatawu has played a lot of minutes of late as a result of his improvement in contribution going forwards, but he also supplies some good, hard running in defence, which has produced a stream of fouls committed. He committed four in his last match. In West Brom's 4-3-3 formation, the wide forwards are key threats, especially in transition. Leicester's full backs can both invert, which could potentially leave their flanks light on defensive cover in these situations and leave them chasing, and, potentially, fouling. Callum Doyle is averaging well over a foul per 90 and he is a value option in this market. On the other side, Ricardo Pereira would’ve been a winner in this market against Plymouth last Friday, as he made it ten matches in 12 that he has fouled in.

Predictions:

⚽ Abdul Fatawu to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.57

⚽ Callum Doyle to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.22

⚽ Ricardo Pereira to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.50

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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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