Despite back-to-back defeats, I feel confident that West Brom are close to Leicester in terms of neutral ground performance, by which I mean if these teams were rated independently without home/away factors, there isn't much between them.

Therefore, when West Brom's home form and Leicester's away form are factored into the thinking, I am leaning towards being more positive about WBA. All of their home matches have been tight affairs, with the match they lost to Derby actually being the most convincing performance of the three.

Leicester have been questionable at best on the road. They were outplayed and beaten at Preston, outplayed at Charlton but scraped a 1-0 win, and outplayed at Oxford but snatched a 2-2 draw.

I fancy West Brom to edge the performance; therefore, they are the better double chance option here.

This looks like a very makeable line for Leicester here. West Brom conceded four shots on target to Portsmouth, and although Derby and Blackburn only managed one each, they are not teams of the attacking level of Leicester, and there is a danger that this line has been underestimated as a result of those stats.

Leicester have actually hit 14 shots on target across their last two matches alone, indicating that Cifuentes is getting there in terms of unlocking the Leicester attack. Even in matches where Leicester have been very poor, they have managed at least two shots on target, i.e., Charlton and Preston, so their uptick in shots on target should bode well here.

This selection can be broken down into two parts.

Mepham himself does make enough fouls to make this a good bet. He has started the last three West Brom matches and committed a single foul in each of them, three out of three for this bet being won for Mepham at West Brom.

There is also the side of Jordan Ayew being a player who seems to win a lot of fouls when playing as the #9 for Leicester. He is averaging 2.57 fouls against him per 90 over Leicester’s last 30 matches. He has been fouled at least once in every match he has played in this season, and he has played as a #9 in all of them, so Mepham, at some stage, will be a direct opponent.

Heggebo has been a starter from the beginning of the season, and he is playing almost all of the minutes available in the Championship so far.

He is a hustling, bustling type of centre-forward, and although he is fouled more than committing the fouls, there is a trend towards him fouling more of late.

Heggebo has committed a foul in each of his last three matches in the Championship overall this season. He is averaging 0.87 fouls per 90, but we also have to consider that our referee here, Stephen Martin, is above average when it comes to giving fouls, which gives this a slight upgrade.

This is very much a price play. Whilst West Brom probably do deserve favouritism in this market, there is not much evidence to suggest that it should be so lopsided towards the home team.

In most cases, the home team are favourites for this market, but West Brom have already lost this battle once at home this season, to Portsmouth 3-4, and West Brom are only averaging 4 shots on target per match at the moment.

We have already seen that Leicester are very much in the groove when it comes to getting shots on target at the moment, nine last time out against Coventry and five at Oxford, so there is a market opportunity here to take, banking on Leicester continuing that sort of shooting form.

Campbell has replaced Darnell Furlong at right-back for West Brom and he has collected yellow cards like they are going out of fashion.

Including the Carabao Cup match where he made his debut vs Derby, Campbell has three yellows in six matches. Two of those cards were for fouls, but, interestingly, one was for an argument, so there are multiple ways in which Campbell could get carded here.

He will be up against either Stephy Mavididi or Jeremy Monga, either of whom are keen on a dribble and getting past their man, every chance for multiple fouls, or a foul to prevent a potential goalscoring opportunity, both of which could be bookable offences.

James has been massively underestimated here, in my opinion.

The Welsh international started in the #10 role against Coventry, and has every chance of keeping his place here. He fired off two shots in the 69 minutes that he was on the pitch for, and for him to be a price above 6/4 for him to repeat the trick here looks overpriced.

That was his first start for Birmingham, and James didn’t play regularly for Rennes in France, so his data is somewhat unreliable. He also played a bit deeper for Birmingham when he last played in the Championship as a teenager, so again, relying on that data doesn’t make sense.

This is a price play based on his position and likely opportunities in this Leicester team, and 2.62 looks value if he plays the same role as against Coventry.