Libertad vs Gurani
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Saturday 27th August – 9:00PM KO
Daniel Garnero’s Libertad are looking to make it ten successive wins at home as they welcome Guaraní to La Huerta on Saturday. The visitors head into the game having relied on former Libertad player Néstor Camacho to rescue them in the previous two matches, scoring in the 87th and 89th minute against Nacional and Cerro Porteño respectively.
Libertad are likely to be more ruthless than the two teams from Barrio Obrero and not leave anything up to chance. Since their last meeting with Guaraní, a 1-1 draw, they have scored 2 or more goals in nine out of 11 games. Only failing to go over 1.5 in the title deciding win over Cerro Porteño (1-0) and the shock opening day defeat to Ameliano (0-2). The trident of Melgarejo, Santa Cruz and Óscar Cardozo have been prolific racking up 12 goals between them in the last six games. Especially impressive since all three are rarely on the pitch together, Cardozo has been used off the bench often for Santa Cruz.
Fernando Jubero has serious issues in the creativity department, without Camacho’s late salvos they would have gone five league games without scoring including four straight 1-0 defeats. The fact they have only kept one clean sheet this season (a 0-0 with Resistencia) points to how much they miss Roberto Fernández – the young central defender moved to Dinamo Moscow in the off season. His replacement in the starting lineup, Julio González, was sent off in late on against Cerro so will miss this match.
With Libertad purring and Guaraní sputtering, all the signs suggest a comfortable home win for the defending champions.
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Prediction: Libertad Win & Over 1,5 Goals, 1.83 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Olimpia vs Resistencia
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Saturday 27th August – 11:30PM KO
Olimpia have overcome adversity to find themselves joint top of the table, three wins in a row by the same scoreline (2-0) has seen them leapfrog Cerro and join Libertad at the summit. Resistencia meanwhile ended their five-game winless run in the championship with a well-deserved victory over Ameliano.
Derlis González has been the inspiration for the recent pick up in form, the 28-year-old forward scored in three consecutive Paraguayan league games for the first time in his career. His only similar such run was in January 2019 when he netted three in a row in the Paulista State Championships with Santos. Behind González the team has been kept together by talismanic captain Richard Ortiz but more importantly they finally seemed to have the right defensive formula. Julio César Cáceres, a centreback himself back in his playing days, has partnered Mateo Gamarra and Saúl Salcedo in the last three games which have all been clean sheets.
Resistencia continue to punch above their weight and Roberto Torres will have been delighted to see Diego Martínez back on the scoresheet to end his eight-game drought. Fernado Escobar has also impressed in recent matches which is why he has kept veteran Pablo Palacios out of the starting lineup. The defensive pieces of the jigsaw haven’t fallen into place though, the goal conceded to Ameliano means that the team from downtown Asunción have conceded in 12 of their previous 13 games.
The last meeting between these two was a rout in favour of Olimpia, they ran out 6-1 winners getting revenge for the 2-1 defeat earlier in the year. With Torres knowing attack is his best form of defence and Julio César Cáceres also employing a very direct style we will likely see a similar end-to-end battle at the weekend.
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Prediction: Both Teams to Score, 1.83 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Tacuary vs Sol de América
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Sunday 28th August – 11:00PM KO
Is it finally time to take Iván Almeida’s Tacuary seriously? The head coach is best known for being a TV pundit but he is now ubeaten in five in all competitions, winning three of his last four league matches. Sol de América meanwhile have recently picked up two wins but in convenient circumstances – winning against nine men (vs Guaireña) and with a late penalty (vs Guaraní).
Almeida plays a forward-thinking formation with two strikers in Jorge Ortega and youngster Marcelo Fernández. But it is the loanee Lucas Sanabria that is really impressing so far, playing in midfield the 22 year old has been making key passes and breaking the lines. In the last game Emanuel Biancucchi made his debut and scored, the first goal in Paraguayan football for Lionel Messi’s cousin since March 2017 with Rubio Ñú.
Guiñazú has continued to tinker as he tries to find his ideal side and now finds himself in a dilemma following the victory last week. New signing Jaime Moreno scored off the bench and will be pushing for a starting place alongside Óscar Coronel who had also found the net. That would mean dropping Cristian Duma, the Argentinian was also brought in during the off season but both his goals have been from the penalty spot.
Earlier this year this fixture ended 2-2 and prior to that Sol scraped a 1-0 win, but the tables have tilted since that last meeting in June with Tacuary now in the ascendency.
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Prediction: Tacuary Draw no Bet 1.60 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐)
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