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Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams
Week 10 of the NFL is here, and the Miami Dolphins head to Los Angeles to face the 4-4 Rams, in a highly anticipated game in Inglewood. We’ve got two expertly crafted bet builders at 3/1 and 12/1 below.
3/1 Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams Bet Builder Level 1
12/1 Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams Bet Builder Level 2
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Level 1 Bet Builder Tip
🏈 Jonnu Smith 4+ Receptions
📈 Odds: 1.91
While it’s been really hard to trust any tight ends on the Dolphins over the last couple seasons, Jonnu Smith has been looking to break that curse. So far he’s doing a pretty good job, considering it’s really hard to ignore the recent involvement in this offense. He’s now over this line in four of his last four games, and three of four in games started by Tua this year. What really stuck out to me was his usage after the bye week. While you’d think Tyreek Hill and Jayden Waddle would have been the focus, Smith has been way more involved since.
The Rams defense has struggled across the board, especially against tight ends where they rank 24th in DVOA against the position (per FTN Fantasy).
🏈 De’Von Achane to Score a Touchdown
📈 Odds: 1.91
While we’ve already won plenty of bets on Achane in the receiving market, I think his touchdown prop is a great stop to take advantage of. This is a guy with one of the most explosive skill sets in the NFL, and his ability to score through the air and on the ground is the most impressive aspect of his game. We’ve normally targeted his receiving yards in the high twenties, but it was posted at close to fifty this week, implying a lot of market respect for the backs receiving game.
The Dolphins offense is just so much more efficient with Tua at quarterback that they are in much better position to take advantage of mid level team. The total is currently set at 49.5 and it’s very fair to expecting a lot of scoring. Los Angeles has allowed one or more rushing touchdowns to six opposing players this season, I think Achane’s duel threat ability makes him number eight. Trusting one of the most dynamic backs in the league to take care of business in primetime.
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Level 2 Bet Builder Tip
🏈 Cooper Kupp 100+ Receiving Yards
📈 Odds: 3.75
Cooper Kupp has been one of the best wide receivers in the NFL over the last couple seasons, and I’m honestly surprised to see a number so low here. After coming back from an injury, Kupp was in standard form dominating target share with 14 targets for 11 catches on 104 yard. While 14 targets is a career high for most high level receivers, he has multiple 20+ target games in his career including just a couple weeks ago.
Miami has struggled against zone-beating slot WRs all season and has been forced to mix and match slot corners of late due to injuries. Jalen Ramsey is playing in the slot more of late, but he’s much better out wide vs in the slot at this point. On a limited sample of snaps covering the slot, 8 of the 9 targets vs Ramsey have been caught. Not something to be scared of anymore.
🏈 Kyren Williams to Score 2+ Touchdowns
📈 Odds: 3.10
Kyren Williams has had some crazy usage this season thanks to the Rams injury problems in the wide receiver room. He’s currently tied for the 4th most carries this season at 161, with an additional 25 catches through the air. While the name value may not be there for a guy like Kyren, his usage is literally up there with the best players in the league. In a game with a high total between two strong offensive teams, Williams should have plenty of red zone scoring opportunities.
With the Rams did draft Blake Corum before the season started, Williams has clearly dominated touches. He leads the team in red zone opportunities and should continue to carry an incredibly heavy workload. The Dolphins interior defensive line has been banged up this year and I expect them to continue to struggle with Williams strong inside run game. Even if he isn’t the most efficient in the world I’m still expecting a strong red zone preormances.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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