Leverkusen managed to get on the scoresheet when these sides last met, holding Bayern to a 1-1 draw at the BayArena, aided by Vincent Kompany’s side going down to 10 men, and then later nine men. Leverkusen were impressive in that game, racking up 21 shots and an xG of 3.23 as well as having two goals disallowed.

They obviously had the player advantage in that game, but I think they can cause Bayern problems again here. Leverkusen have quietly been one of the most entertaining sides in Europe after a turbulent start to the campaign. They have an array of young talent, and will be eyeing up this trophy as a potential stepping stone to bigger success next season. 

Leverkusen are priced at 1.28 to find the back of the net here, I don’t think Bayern will have any issues scoring - seeing as they’ve netted in each of their last 53 matches - so this will come down to the home side finding the back of the net. Leverkusen have scored in each of their last eight Bundesliga matches, and have scored 33 goals across their 15 home games in the German top flight this term (2.2 per game).

The first leg of this tie bizarrely took place over a month ago, but were finally at the second leg and I think Atalanta have the edge after earning a 2-2 draw at an empty Stadio Olimpico. Lazio have been really poor this season, they sit ninth in Serie A - 11 points adrift of the European race, which Atalanta are firmly in.

Their record on the road has been particularly poor under Maurizio Sarri, winning just five of their 17 away matches and only managing to score 12 goals across these games. This doesn’t bode well for Maurizio Sarri’s side who travel to take on an Atalanta outfit who have only lost three of their 17 home games in the Italian top flight this term, notably scoring 25 goals across these games and only conceding 14.

I think Lazio may have had a slight chance of coming through this second leg if they had a lead, but the tie being level really suits Atalanta and can lead to the home side finding a way through this tie having already seen off Juventus in the quarter finals of the Coppa Italia. 

These sides played at the start of the month in a contest that produced four goals with Strasbourg coming away 3-1 winners. That game saw Strasbourg generate an xG of 2.86 from 16 shots overall, suggesting that they could cover this goal line again on their own given the confidence they are currently playing with under Gary O’Neil.

Strasbourg have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, most recently falling to a 3-0 defeat at home by Rennes. They also recently reached the semi finals of the Conference League after coming back from 2-0 down to win 4-0 at home, so this is a side that should have plenty of confidence and momentum even despite that slightly bruising defeat against Rennes last time out.

Strasbourg also saw 3+ goals in the last round of the cup as they saw off Reims 2-1 at home, building on the 3-1 win they managed over Monaco in the round of 16. This means that Strasbourg have seen 3+ goals in each of their knockout round ties of the Coupe De France this term, setting the stage for more goals here.

Our last two Player Matchup bets have won @ 2.4 & 2.0 ✅

Marc Guehi is surprisingly good at winning fouls for a centre back, averaging just under 1.0 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season - putting him alongside the likes of Konsa and Tarkowski as one of the strongest centre backs when it comes to drawing challenges.

Guehi was fouled once in Manchester City’s win over Arsenal at the weekend, faced up by Kai Havertz who was often left to chase down lost causes on his own. Guehi will be faced by a similar striker here in Zian Flemming, who will be at the head of a nasty low block from Burnley  - making him likely to commit fouls as the only real outlet for the Clarets.

Our last two Player Matchup bets have won @ 2.4 & 2.0 ✅

Flemming has committed 38 fouls across his 16 starts in the Premier League this season (2.51 per 90). He committed four fouls against Forest last time out, and also drew three fouls himself  - showing how Flemming will be an active opponent for Guehi here, and be in situations where he can haul down the Manchester City man on at least two occasions.

Flemming has committed 2+ fouls in each of his last four Premier League appearances, showing further how thankless a task it is to lead the line for Burnley at the moment. Flemming will have to chase down lost causes on his own for Burnley, naturally leading to frustration and a few clumsy challenges. He's more likely to bring Guehi down than he is Khusanov, the younger of the pair has been very impressive for City in recent weeks - but winning fouls isn't a strong part of his game, which is reflected when comparing the odds for the two centre backs to be fouled (2.10-1.53).