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Andy Robson

Manchester United v Leeds Longshot Treble @ 21.66

Bruno Fernandes has been brilliant for Manchester United this season, registering 24 goal contributions across his 28 starts in the Premier League. Only Erling Haaland (29) has registered more goal contributions in the Premier League than Bruno Fernandes this season - so it’s fair to say that the midfielder has been one of the best players in the top flight this term.

What makes Fernandes’ goal contribution total even more impressive is the fact that he was playing deeper under Amorim in the early parts of the campaign. Fernandes has thrived under Carrick in his more advanced role, registering 11 goal contributions across Carrick’s 10 games in charge of United so far. 

Manchester United have been one of the brightest attacking sides in the Premier League this season, notably having more shots and shots on target than any other side in the Premier League. The free scoring nature of this United side should aid Fernandes in registering a goal contribution here, with his underlying numbers also reflecting a player that is playing with plenty of confidence:

2.70 shots p/90
3.73 chances created p/90

Only Ethan Ampadu (7) has picked up more yellow cards for Leeds this season than Jayden Bogle (6). He’ll be lining up against Matheus Cunha here, putting him in the limelight to commit a few fouls and test the patience of the referee. 

Cunha is very good at travelling with the ball, he’s averaging 2.08 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League and also likes to drift between different areas of the pitch - potentially causing issues for Bogle as he’ll be dragged out of position when trying to keep a close guard on Cunha. 

Bogle is averaging 1.25 fouls committed per 90 in the Premier League this term, which rises to 1.49 fouls committed per 90 when playing away from home. 

This rise is reflective of Leeds’ general struggles on the road compared to Elland Road - Leeds have only managed to win one of their 15 away games in the Premier League this season, so it’s not surprising that we see a higher level of frustration from Daniel Farke’s side when they are away from home. 

Only Casemiro (8) has picked up more yellow cards for Manchester United in the Premier League than Diogo Dalot. I’m particularly interested in his battle against Gabriel Gudmundsson, who has quietly been one of the best performing fullbacks in the league this term.

Gudmundsson is a great outlet for Leeds, and one of the main reasons as to why their 3-5-2 shape works so well. He’s won 51 fouls across his 28 starts in the Premier League this season (1.94 per 90) - one of the strongest fouls won records in the Leeds squad. Leeds look to Gudmundson more than Bogle on the opposite side to get them up the pitch, so he’s an ideal opponent for Dalot.

Dalot has picked up three yellow cards across his last 10 starts in the Premier League, and committed a foul when the sides met earlier in the season - Gudmundsson was fouled twice in that clash.

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Football
AR
Super Boost

Turbo Boost: Bruno Fernandes 1+ Shots On Target @ 2.00

Bruno Fernandes has once again been a shining light for Manchester United this season, only Erling Haaland (29) has registered more goal contributions in the Premier League this season than Bruno Fernandes (24). Eight of these have been goals, so Fernandes' main strength is his creative ability - but he still has a decent shot and shot on target record to make this boost worth backing.

Fernandes takes all of Manchester United's set pieces, including free kicks and penalties, which gives him a chance to find the target from these situations. He's taken 73 shots across his 28 starts in the Premier League this season (2.70 per 90), which is actually one of Fernandes' best shot volumes during his time at Manchester United.

21 of these efforts have found the target (0.78 per 90), with three of these efforts coming in Fernandes' most recent Premier League display. No side has had more shots on target than Manchester United in the Premier League this season (5.70 per game). Carrick's side are forced to be quite attacking as they haven't managed to keep many clean sheets - only five across the course of the season.

This boost is clearly great value, it's as short as 1.44 with other major bookmakers so i'm all over it.

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