Our expert’s shots & shots on target selections are back again for this Saturday’s Premier League action, with five strong selections in store. Our acca comes in at 9.89, and a £10 bet returns a huge £98.88 if it lands.
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Saturday’s Premier League Player Shots/Shots on Target Predictions
Having won for us last weekend in this column, it would be rude not to take on Michael Keane for a shot again. The centre-back has now had 10 shots in 11 matches in all competitions this season with at least one shot in each of his last three.
With only one Premier League side having scored more set-piece goals than the Toffees’ four this season, we can expect Sean Dyche to stick to his patented style of direct football and attacking set pieces which should help Keane get chances to shoot.
West Ham have conceded the joint third-most goals from set pieces this season and seem to have lost some of their defensive solidity under Lopetegui. The Hammers have given up plenty of shots to opposition centre-backs, including allowing both Murillo and Milenkovic of Nottingham Forest two shots last time out.
In fact, those opposition centre-backs have combined for 17 shots against West Ham in all competitions this season.
At the other end of the pitch in this basement battle, Rayan Ait-Nouri looks much more comfortable with Wolves having reverted to playing wing backs in their last three matches. This has given the Algerian more attacking freedom and he has had three shots across these fixtures.
He has averaged 0.6 shots on target per 90 minutes in all competitions this season and has chipped in with three goals in his last five league games, including having scored against both Brighton and Liverpool.
Opponents Southampton have conceded the second-most shots on target per game in the Premier League with 6.29. With Saints also utilising wing-backs, the attacking nature of Kyle Walker-Peters at right wing-back tends to leave space in behind which Ait-Nouri should be able to exploit.
They’ve not faced many sides with back-fives this season but with opposition left backs in back-fours combining for five shots across their last six Premier League matches, it looks an area that Wolves can exploit.
Centre-back Taylor Harwood-Bellis has become Saints’ biggest threat from set pieces with eight shots in his last six Premier League games. The only game amongst those in which he has failed to have a shot was away at Man City but he has had two shots in three of those games and has scored three goals this season in all competitions.
All of his shots have come from set pieces and with an opponent vulnerable from set plays in Wolves, he should be a key target for Russell Martin’s side.
Wolves have struggled significantly when defending set pieces this season and have conceded two more goals from such situations than any other Premier League side with nine in just 10 games.
Crystal Palace exposed this weakness last weekend with two centre-backs getting on the scoresheet and with Southampton desperate to follow up their first win of the season, they should be prioritising exposing this Achilles heel.
With Pep Guardiola last having lost four consecutive games as a manager in 2015, he’ll be desperate to avoid defeat here. With Grealish still out injured and Doku returning to fitness, Savio should start on the wing for City.
The Brazilian has had 3.12 shots per 90 minutes across all competitions this season and managed at least two shots in each of his five starts. In the Premier League, he’s had 2, 4, 2 and 5 shots in his last four appearances.
Brighton are not conceding many shots this season at just 11.8 per game – the sixth-lowest total in the division. However, with City having won five of the last six meetings between these two sides, they should be looking to attack.
The last four right-sided midfielders against the Seagulls have all had at least two shots with Salah, Luis Diaz and Brennan Johnson all managing three and getting on the scoresheet which might also suggest it’s an area that Man City can attack.
Ollie Watkins has had at least two shots in 8 of 10 Premier League appearances this season, despite seeing his minutes drop from last season due to the emergence of Jhon Duran.
He had two shots in both head-to-heads last season and having only scored once since September, he’ll be chomping at the bit to get his form in front of goal back.
Liverpool have looked solid under Arne Slot and are only giving up 9.8 shots per game which is a record only Man City side can better. However, the last meeting between the sides which ended 3-3 is an indicator of the damage that Emery’s side can cause this Liverpool team.
In that game Villa had 19 shots and with Liverpool having allowed at least two shots from an opposition striker in each of their last six games in all competitions, Watkins looks the best candidate to benefit from this.
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