Having recently found his way back into Unai Emery’s starting line-up, Youri Tielemans has been trying to impress in front of goal, firing off eight shots in his last four appearances, at an average of 3.03 per 90. He’s happy to pull the trigger from range and has landed at least one shot at goal in all but two of his starts this season. The Belgian also has the protection of Onana and Kamara behind him, and so should be the most advanced of Villa’s midfield trio.

League leaders Arsenal are conceding just 9.71 shots on the road per game this season, however, injuries to their centre back pairing of Gabriel and William Saliba left them more exposed than usual last weekend, where they gave up 11 shots to 10-man Chelsea. They allowed Villa 19 shots across the two meetings last season, with Tielemans having three at the Emirates and getting on the scoresheet, so this price looks a generous one for him to have a single effort. 

Fresh off his opening goal against Arsenal last weekend, Trevoh Chalobah should be full of confidence. The centre back has been heavily involved in the opposition box all season, averaging 0.97 shots per 90 and tends to be the target for first contact from all dead ball situations due to his aerial prowess.

Only four Premier League sides have conceded more set piece shots than Bournemouth’s four per game and only West Ham have given up more goals from them. Chelsea have scored the second most from set plays in the division and so look well set to take advantage of the Cherries’ fragility with Chalobah their leading threat.

After he landed a shot for us in this column last weekend, we can go again on Elliot Anderson at a similar price. The England midfielder is enjoying life under Sean Dyche, taking at least one shot in six of his seven starts under his new boss and is clearly being encouraged to get into the box as often as possible. His average of 1.15 shots per 90 across the season also suggests we can rely on him to try his luck at least once.

Opponents Everton are conceding 11 shots per game on their own patch this season and have been soundly beaten in two of their last three in front of their own fans, losing 4-1 to Newcastle and 3-0 to Spurs. Forest won this game 2-0 last season and so can travel to Merseyside with confidence and hopefully that results in plenty of attacking action from Anderson.

A regular angle for this column is to get behind Brentford defenders as the Bees average the third most set piece shots of any team in the Premier League. The most potent of their threats from such situations is Nathan Collins who is averaging 0.62 shots per 90 and has taken at least one in seven of his last ten appearances in all competitions. The Irishman is excellent in the air and will be looking to get on the end of all long throws, corners and wide free kicks.

In Spurs, Brentford face an opponent who are giving up 3.69 shots from restarts per game. Thomas Frank is under mounting pressure as the hosts last won a home game in the league on opening day and have conceded in every home game since that victory over Burnley too. Brentford’s set piece threat feels just the sort of thing to upset a fragile Spurs team and Collins can be at the forefront of this at a great price.

Having started the season quietly in terms of goalmouth action, Virgil van Dijk seems to have found his shooting boots, taking 12 shots across his last nine games in all competitions, landing this bet in six of those. The Liverpool captain is renowned for his towering headers and with the Champions going behind so regularly, he’s getting plenty of opportunities to get on the end of corners.

Hosts Leeds have given a decent account of themselves so far on their return to the Premier League, however, having last kept a clean sheet in August, their defensive record will be a concern. Man City’s centre back pairing were allowed three shots between them last weekend, with Josko Gvardiol netting from a corner and van Dijk looks in the sort of form where he could follow suit.