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Saturday's 5/1 Champions League Final Shots & Shots on Target Tips & Predictions

Saturday's 5/1 Champions League Final Shots & Shots on Target Tips & Predictions

Wednesday 27 May, 20263 min read
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Oli Nixon

Oli is a tipster with a reputation for nailing the props and goalscorer markets in football. He writes for a wide range of companies and hosts a weekly show ‘The Propcast’ as well as tipping for AMOK Betting.

The curtain comes down on the club season with the Champions League final in Budapest on Saturday evening.

Arsenal will be hopeful that they can keep the party atmosphere going after securing the Premier League title, whilst PSG are looking to defend their crown as European champions, and in what looks an intriguing clash, there’ll hopefully be plenty of goalmouth action.

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Saturday's Champions League Final Shots & Shots on Target Accumulator Tips
  • PSG v Arsenal
  • Champions League
  • 17:00
5 Selections @ 6.00

Joao Neves Over 0.5 Shots @ 1.33

Portuguese midfielder Joao Neves has had another stellar season for PSG and has averaged 1.75 shots per 90 across all competitions. He’s managed 13 efforts at goal in his last eight starts in the Champions League, including a goal in that crazy semi-final first leg with Bayern Munich and with plenty of shots from outside the box this season, he doesn’t need much encouragement to pull the trigger.

For all their defensive solidity in the Premier League, Arsenal have found it more difficult to keep the opposition out in European action, conceding 11 shots per game. The Gunners also arrive to this game after a week of celebrations having finally got over the line in the league and so may find it difficult to hold off a rampant PSG team in attack.

Desire Doue Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ 1.40

If the Gunners are to become the latest team to be seen off by the European champions, Desire Doue is likely to play a key role in their downfall. The winger is one of the most dangerous players in world football and has been fantastic in this competition, netting five times. Across all competitions, he’s working the goalkeeper 1.27 times per game and having landed this bet in both games of the semi final between these teams last season, he should be full of confidence.

Having mentioned Arsenal’s defensive record already in this competition, it’s worth also noting that they’re giving up 2.79 shots on target per game including 12 in their last four matches. The aforementioned previous meetings from last season saw PSG hit the target ten times and if they manage a similar total, Doue is likely to be involved.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ 1.33

Another key player in the final third who Arsenal will need to keep under control is Khvicha Kvaratskhelia whose pacey dribbling has lit up this year’s competition. The Georgian is in fantastic form with six goals in his last seven appearances for the Parisian club is the third top scorer in the Champions League with ten goals from an average of 1.53 shot on target per game.

This bet would have cashed in each of Kvaratskhelia’s last eight appearances in the competition, a period across which he’s found the target on twelve occasions. Arsenal’s injury issues at right back may also mean he’s up against Cristhian Mosquera who is a centre back by trade and if so, our man can have a field day.

Gabriel Maghalaes Over 0.5 Shots @ 1.44

Despite PSG being favourites to retain their crown, Arsenal should offer plenty of resistance in the final third and if they are to lift the trophy for the first time in the club’s history, set pieces could be key. The Gunners are the kings of dead ball situations, having scored four more goals from them than any other Premier League side and have five set play goals to their name in the Champions League. 18% of the goals that PSG have conceded in this competition have come from set plays and so there could be a weakness for Arsenal to exploit.

Gabriel is undoubtedly the biggest threat from restarts of any of Mikel Arteta’s men, emphasised well by his record of 0.86 shots per 90 this season across all competitions. The majority of Arsenal’s well co-ordinated set piece routines are designed to get the Brazilian a free run at the ball and after missing last season’s semi-final against PSG, he’ll be desperate to make his mark.

Bukayo Saka Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ 1.61

Whilst PSG’s wide men strike fear into any opposition, Arsenal have their own world-class threat on the wing in Bukayo Saka. The England international has averages more shots on target than any other Gunners player this season and has been especially prolific in the Champions League, managing 2.24 efforts on goal per 90. He hit the target three times across the two meetings last season, including a goal in the second leg and will have watched Bayern Munich cut PSG apart with ease knowing he’s more than capable of doing the same.

Luis Enrique’s side have been more concerned with scoring goals than keeping them out in this competition all season and as such are giving up 4.19 shots on target per game against Europe’s elite. Bayern Munich managed 14 attempts on goal across their semi-final matches and with their wingers responsible for five of those, there’s every reason to believe Saka can have a say in the outcome of this final.

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