Paddy Power’s price for Alphonso Davies to pick up a single foul is 1.5, which represents amazing value. This suggests there is a 66.7% chance of the Canada international left-back being able to draw one foul against PSG, but the reality is that the chances of this are much higher. Sky Bet price this same market at 1.36, which implies a 73.5% probability of the defender picking up one foul, for example.

Davies has been fouled 23 times in all competitions this season, which works out as 1.65 per 90 minutes.

This increases in the Champions League, where he is FCB’s most-fouled player with eight fouls drawn. He is doing so at the rate of exactly 2.0 per 90.

Making Davies a more attractive bet to draw a foul is the consistency he has been doing it in Europe. He has won exactly two fouls in each of his four outings in this competition.

In his last 14 Bayern games, he has picked up at least one foul on 11 occasions (78.6%), drawing at least two fouls in eight outings.

Up against Ousmane Dembele in this match. The winger has committed eight fouls in the competition, which is the joint-highest figure at PSG (tied with Achraf Hakimi, who will also play on Davies’ flank).