Swansea picked up a valuable win at the weekend, seeing off Derby County to take them one win away from the usual 50 point safety mark. They have another home game here against the worst side in the league over the course of the season.

The stats suggest Swansea were a tad fortunate to come away with all three points against the Rams, but they did create the clear best chance in the game. They've won three of their last four home league matches and kept three clean sheets along the way (wins v Blackburn, Middlesbrough and Derby).

Plymouth’s away form has been a disaster for most of the campaign, and the main reason that they are anchored to the bottom of the table. They have recorded just one away win which was against Portsmouth, they also drew in their last away game at Watford - those two games account for 44% of the their points on the road all season. We think Swansea will have enough to see off Plymouth and secure their safety here at a nice price.

Things change very quickly in the Championship, with Coventry City being a very good example as to how. After a sensational run of form which saw The Sky Blues climb from the bottom half of the table into the playoff spots, back to back defeats against top three sides have seen Frank Lampard’s side slip back outside the top six.

They will be grateful then to have a good opportunity to bounce back against the second worst away side in the division. Portsmouth are in terrible form on the road, having lost 10 of their last 11 away games, a solitary victory against Oxford United being the only exception. Of those 10 losses, eight have seen three or more goals scored.

Coventry’s home game are also a good spot for goals, with 16 of their 20 home games seeing three goals or more this season. Take Coventry to win here and bag a few goals along the way.