Since his arrival at Selhurst Park over the summer, Trevoh Chalobah has drawn an average of 1.51 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this campaign.

This bet has landed in six out of six league games so far – a 100% hit rate.

Given that Paddy Power has an implied probability of 47% for this bet to land once more, that seems an inflated price. For context, Sky Bet are offering the same selection at odds of 1.5, an implied chance of 67%. Such a notable discrepancy is uncommon, and works to highlight the value on offer.

Notably, Chalboah has seen an uptick in fouls won at home, fouled three times against Fulham, twice against Spurs and once against Liverpool – averaging 2.0 fouls drawn at Selhurst Park this term.

He has a tendency to go down easily under contact, which makes him an ideal target in this match.