Leny Yoro to commit 1+ fouls is priced at 1.83 with Paddy Power, offering great value compared to odds as low as 1.22 elsewhere, which implies an 82% probability.

Given his recent role in the side and the upcoming matchup, this selection appears overpriced.

With injuries playing a factor, Yoro is expected to start at LCB, where his foul rate this season supports this bet:

Averages 1.01 fouls per 90 minutes this season.

He has committed 11 fouls across his last nine starts (eight of those games with at least one foul).

At Old Trafford, his average rises slightly to 1.05, with 1+ fouls in six of his last seven starts.

If positioned at LCB, Yoro will engage in duels with Arsenal’s right-hand side, which has drawn 16 fouls in the last five games:

Ethan Nwaneri (RW) – 0.53 fouls drawn per 90.
Martin Odegaard (RCM) – 0.9 fouls drawn per 90.
Jurrien Timber (RB) – 1.08 fouls drawn per 90.

However, if deployed at RCB, the value of this bet increases further, as Arsenal’s left-hand side is even more elusive, drawing 26 fouls in their last six games:

Rice (LCM) – 0.47 fouls drawn per 90.
Trossard (LW) – 1.47 fouls drawn per 90.
Lewis-Skelly (LB) – 2.87 fouls drawn per 90.

With Yoro’s consistent fouling record, Arsenal’s dynamic and foul-winning wide players, and the significant difference in bookie pricing, this selection is strongly aligned with the higher implied probability of 82%.