This selection landed as a gem bet in the first leg and is still generously priced to happen again here. 

Liverpool play with far more control under Arne Slot compared to the constant intensity of Jurgen Klopp’s approach but one thing that Slot has retained from his predecessor is how quickly Liverpool look to win the ball back when they lose it in the final third. 

This is best evidenced by the fact that 58 of the 94 fouls they’ve committed in the Champions League this season have been in the opposition’s half (61%) which is a statistic that puts Vitinha right in the crosshairs of Liverpool’s aggressive pressing approach in the final third. 

Vitinha has won 11 fouls across his 11 appearances in the Champions League this season (1.13 per 90). He’s incredibly influential in this PSG team as evidenced by the 109 passes he completed in the first leg, more than any other player on the pitch. As the conductor of this PSG side, he’s also a target for Liverpool to stop him dictating the tempo of the game. Vitinha was fouled once in the first leg and contested eight duels suggesting he’ll be in the thick of it again here.

Vitinha will once again line up against Dominik Szoboszlai who committed a foul in the first leg and is averaging 1.61 fouls committed per 90 in the Premier League this season. Szoboszlai covers more ground than any other Liverpool player and is likely to have added instructions to get tight to Vitinha to stop him controlling the game as he did in the first leg.

The same selection is priced around 1.5 on other bookmakers making the 1.73 offered here decent value when looking over Vitinha’s numbers in the Champions League as a whole and the first leg of this tie.