Players as consistent in the fouls market as Morata are hard to come by, and it’s a real surprise the bookies are pricing him as generously as this given his 2.39 per 90 average.

Across all competitions and including appearances off the bench, Morata has sinned at least once in 21 of his 24 games this season, including each of the last 11.

Roma are one of the league’s most fouled teams, averaging 12.65 drawn per 90 and given Morata’s responsibilities, it’d be a massive surprise if he didn’t sin at least once.

Emerson has left much to be desired since his move to Milan, and his average of 2.23 fouls committed per 90 minutes reflects his struggles.

He’s sinned at least once in 12 of his 14 league appearances to date, as well as in a further 3 Champions League displays.

Right-back is a typically difficult role to play against Roma given the overlaps they form on the wing. Emerson is likely to struggle to contain El Shaarawy and Angelino, particularly if they target the Brazillian fullback as some other managers have confused to doing.

Averaging 1.40 fouls per 90 in the limited minutes Terracciano has achieved, backing him to commit a foul is a sensible option and it’s easy to see him getting exposed out there.

He’s sinned at least once in 5 of his 6 starts in defence for Milan, being penalised 8 times in total and also picking up 3 yellow cards across the period.

Additionally, the Italian is likely to be tasked with handling Kone who averages a remarkable 3.18 fouls drawn per 90 minutes, as well as Dybala when he drifts infield, who averages an even greeted 3.51 fouls won per 90.

Angelino has demonstrated impressive fouling consistency this season and could struggle, particularly given the manner in which Chukwueze and Emerson will overlap and exploit the space in behind him.

The Spaniard has committed at least one foul in 12 of his 17 appearances this season, including 7 of the last 8. He sinned twice and was booked for his troubles last time out against Parma despite Roma coasting to a 5-0 win.

He’ll be tasked with protecting against both Chukwueze who averages 1.20 fouls drawn per 90, but also the offence-minded Emerson Royal who averages 2.15 fouls won per game.

Reijnders has offered fine value in this market all season but his pricing now surely represents an error on the bookies’ behalf given the new position he’s expected to uptake.

It’d had been speculated for some time that Reijnders could ease Milan’s offence-related issues if played as an attacking midfielder as he does for the Netherlands, and Fonseca finally gave in, starting Reijnders further forward v Verona where he scored, took 2 shots, and got man of the match.

Despite generally being burdened with greater defensive responsibility, Reijnders has averaged 1.90 shots per 90 in the league this season with this selection a winner in 8 out of 14 appearances (30+ minutes).

El Shaarawy has averaged 2.19 shots per 90 minutes this season despite initially spending the majority of his gametime as a wing-back.

This seems to have changed in recent times with Il Faraone starting in the attacking midfield or even further forward in a strike partnership. This has yielded great success and we’ve seen the Roma veteran fire off 9 shots in his last 4 games despite playing just 233 minutes over the period.

Milan have conceded an average of 9.8 shots per game, rising to 11.5 when you consider only their last 12 games which bodes well given the offensive position El Shaarawy is expected to take up.

Neither side have found any consistency this season and it’s entirely possible that this could be a cagey, low-scoring affair.

9 of Roma’s 17 league games have produced fewer than 3 goals, averaging 2.7 overall, and given the magnitude of this clash, it’s a reasonable expectation that they will take a more conservative approach.

Milan’s games have been atypically low-scoring affairs this season with 6 of their most recent 9 games producing under 2.5 goals, averaging just 1.89 scored per game over the period.

Milan rank 3rd in the league in terms of corners won per 90, having racked up 91 in just 16 games – an average of 5.69 per match.

They’ve managed an impressive 17 corners across their last 2 league games, conceding just 5 in the same space of time.

That represents a big difference compared to Roma whose 67 corners puts them in 15th with regards to that metric, despite having played a game more than the Rossoneri.