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Sunday's 10/1 Shots & Shots on Target Tips & Predictions

Sunday's 10/1 Shots & Shots on Target Tips & Predictions

Saturday 9 May, 20263 min read
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Oli Nixon

Oli is a tipster with a reputation for nailing the props and goalscorer markets in football. He writes for a wide range of companies and hosts a weekly show ‘The Propcast’ as well as tipping for AMOK Betting.

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Sunday's Shots & Shots on Target Accumulator Tips
5 Selections @ 11.42

Crystal Palace v Everton

Premier League

14:00

Iliman Ndiaye to have 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.40

Crystal Palace are the first of our teams with little to play for, manager Oliver Glasner is not even attempting to hide the fact that the Premier League is second in their priority list in his post-match interview after defeat at Bournemouth. The Eagles will be battling fatigue from a Thursday night second leg against Shakhtar and sit 15th in the table, nine points above the drop zone and gave up 16 shots last time out, five of which found the target.

If Everton are to take advantage of Palace’s approach, Iliman Ndiaye will likely play a starring role as the Toffees winger is one of their most productive players in the final third. Ndiaye has averaged 0.75 efforts on goal per 90 this season and is in great recent form, working the goalkeeper seven times in his last five league starts. He’s also on penalties and scored in the reverse fixture.

Nottingham Forest v Newcastle

Premier League

14:00

Bruno Guimaraes to have 1+ Shots @ 1.36

Since returning from injury, Bruno Guimaraes has had a shot in all three of his appearances, taking his average for the season to 1.46 attempts at goal per 90. The passionate Brazilian has been linked with a move away from Tyneside in recent weeks and will want to leave his mark on Magpies fans, and so if there is only a few games left for him in a black and white shirt, he will be looking to get on the scoresheet at least once more. 

Forest have a six-point gap to the drop zone with three games to go, and so we may well see Vitor Pereira rotate the majority of his line-up as he did last time out at Chelsea. In any case, Forest have conceded 11.53 shots per game at the City Ground this season, and if Newcastle can manage a similar number, Guimaraes should be involved. 

Nottingham Forest v Newcastle

Premier League

14:00

Dan Burn to have 1+ Shots @ 1.80

If Newcastle are to get plenty of joy in attack, they’ll also, no doubt, be focused on set pieces as only four sides have scored more from such situations this season. Dan Burn has been a focal point for dead ball situations in recent weeks, and capped a spell of five shots in his last three games by netting against his old club Brighton last time out.

By contrast, Forest have struggled to defend restarts all season, conceding the 5th most shots from them in the division at 4.34 per game. In the reverse fixture, Newcastle created 1.02 expected goals from set plays, and so Eddie Howe is clearly capable of exploiting this Forest fragility.

West Ham v Arsenal

Premier League

16:30

Crysencio Summerville to have 2+ Shots @ 1.90

West Ham are desperate for points in their battle to stay in the top-flight and will be heavily reliant on Crysencio Summerville to provide the inspiration to keep them up. The Hammers winger has had an excellent season, averaging 2.07 shots per 90 with two or more in nine of his last 11 league starts at the London Stadium. He’s happy to shoot from all areas of the pitch and will need no invitation to try his luck.

Within touching distance of a first league title since 2003, Arsenal have looked nervy in recent weeks, conceding 38 shots in their last three league games. The Gunners' remit is often to take the lead and then soak up pressure by sitting deep, and if they do so here, West Ham will be throwing the kitchen sink with Summerville key to their chances of recovery. 

West Ham v Arsenal

Premier League

16:30

Taty Castellanos to have 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.80

Speaking of players who are giving their all to rescue West Ham, Taty Castellanos has taken 2.75 shots per 90 since joining Nuno Espirito Santo’s side, with 1.15 per game working the goalkeeper. The physical Argentine has found the target nine times in his last five matches, landing this bet in all of those and playing through the middle, he should get plenty of chances to test David Raya.

Arsenal’s last three away league games have seen Raya called into action on 13 occasions, and with the visitors potentially carrying fatigue after their Champions League semi-final in midweek, West Ham could catch them cold. The Hammers hit the target five times in this fixture last season, and with so much at stake for them, we could see a similar total on Sunday. 

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