Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall’s leveller against Brentford last weekend capped a spell of six shots on target in his last four league starts. The attacking midfielder has been a bright spark for Everton all season, working the goalkeeper an average of 0.55 times per 90 and looks highly motivated to finish the season on a high, having missed periods through injury.

Liverpool come into this Merseyside derby carrying fatigue from their midweek humbling by PSG and having lost their last two trips away from Anfield at Brighton and Wolves. Arne Slot is under mounting pressure from Reds fans, and with them giving up four shots on target per game on the road, there’s every chance Dewsbury-Hall and Everton can give him another difficult afternoon.

One bright spark for Liverpool this season has been the emergence of young talent Rio Ngumoha, who Liverpool fans are desperate to see more of. He was given a start last time out against Fulham and hit the target twice, including netting a stunning goal to show what he’s capable of. At just 17 years of age, he’s generally been limited to cameos from the bench this season, but with Hugo Ekitike out injured, he could well be thrust into the derby limelight here. 

Everton have not found life at their new stadium easy, and despite winning their last two in front of their own fans, they’d not won on their own patch since December before those victories. Visiting sides to the Toffees have averaged 4.06 shots on target per game, and with Ngumoha chomping at the bit to get involved, he could well be the beneficiary for Liverpool.

Dan Ballard is set to return from injury for the trip to Aston Villa, and with a record of 1.26 shots per 90 this season, he’s highly likely to get involved in the Villa box. The Black Cats defender is a monster in the air, and with all set pieces aimed at his head, it should come as no surprise that he’s landed this bet in 11 of his last 13 starts across all competitions, managing 16 efforts at goal in that period. 

Aston Villa have been vulnerable from set plays all season, conceding four shots per game from such situations. Ballard managed a shot from a restart in the reverse fixture despite only appearing as a substitute, whilst centre back partners Nordi Mukiele and Omar Alderete were also afforded three shots between them, and so Regis Le Bris is clearly capable of creating set piece routines to trouble the Villans.

Burnley are as good as down but seem to be giving it a good go in recent weeks to avoid finishing bottom of the Premier League pile. One player who they’ve been able to rely on in the final third is Jaidon Anthony, who has scored four goals in all competitions since the start of 2026 and has now managed a shot on target in seven of his last eight league starts.

Forest will be tired from their Thursday night Europa League exploits, and with this such a huge game in terms of their own survival bid, it could be a nervy atmosphere at the City Ground. Burnley have nothing to lose and so can attack at will, and with Anthony in such great form, the Clarets will be looking for him to threaten the Forest goal. 

In what should be a backs-to-the-wall performance with 11 men behind the ball in a desperate attempt to secure a point, Arsenal will be inviting plenty of City pressure on Sunday in a game that could decide the title race. The Gunners are desperate to avoid another disastrous defeat, and given that they conceded 33 shots in a draw on their last visit to the Etihad, this could be an uncomfortable watch for their fans. 

If City are to dominate the ball, Rayan Cherki will be heavily involved, and with the Frenchman having such a stellar debut season in the Premier League, he’ll need no encouragement to try his luck. City’s attacking midfielder averages 2.28 shots per 90 and has had at least two shots in five of his last six league starts. Given that his showboating in the EFL Cup final was heavily criticised, he’ll want to make the headlines for the right reasons in this one.