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Argentina v Ecuador Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Thursday 4 July, 20241 min read
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Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK and the founder of Andy’s Bet Club. What started as a single social media account back in 2015 has since grown into a multi-platform brand spanning social media, a mailing list, and a website, with a combined reach of over 3,000,000 UK sports bettors every month. But who is he? Is he real? Yes, Andy Robson is a real person but the name is a pseudonym. Andy is based in Scotland, he operates the brand full time and is as passionate about football betting as he was at the very beginning. Andy is supported by a handpicked team of expert tipsters and the full resources of Fanwave Digital, which help him consistently deliver high-quality content across multiple channels to an ever-growing audience.

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Argentina v Ecuador Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

The first quarter-final of this year's Copa America gets underway in the early hours of Friday morning as reigning champions Argentina and Ecuador clash in Houston.

Below, we’ve put together a bet builder at 2/1 and a longshot at 6/1 for this clash, alongside one a signature Argentina v Ecuador betting preview to help you get stuck into the key stats for both sides.

We're all over the action in this huge summer of sport in 2024, with all the best betting angles available here on Andy's Bet Club. We're diving deep into the data in all the competitions so make sure you check back daily for all the football betting tips available here.

We have also collated our favourite free bet offers to ensure you're getting the very best value for money when you bet with ABC. It doesn't stop there either, as our list of the best bet builder bookmakers will help you decide where best to back our bets.

Across the sea from South America, the Euros is getting spicier as the quarter-finals also begin on Friday, so there's no better time than right now to take a look at our Euro 2024 acca tips, Euro 2024 betting tips, and other Euros content.

3/1 Argentina v Ecuador Bet Builder Tip

Load on Paddy Power @ 2.98
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🛑 Piero Hincapie to commit 1+ fouls

📈 Odds: 1.22

Piero Hincapie averages 1.25 fouls per game but picked up two in his last game against Mexico. He’s fouled at least once in seven of his last eight games. Taking that run back further, he has committed a foul in 12 of his last 14 outings for the national side. Last time he played against Argentina in a pre-Copa America friendly, he hit three fouls. He is very rarely substituted, with him playing the full 90 minutes in all of his last nine games. For Ecuador to have any chance of progressing he’ll need to stop their waves of incoming attacks and is likely to pick up a couple more in what should be a physical encounter.

🛑 Moises Caicedo to commit 2+ fouls

📈 Odds: 1.67

The second pick comes from similar logic to the first selection, but with the added bonus that Moses Caicedo is a more prolific fouler. He averages 1.79 fouls per 90 minutes and has picked up five fouls already in this Copa America, with two last time out against Mexico. He also picked up two fouls against Argentina in that pre-Copa friendly and a whopping six fouls in a 1-0 defeat in World Cup Qualifying last year. He will be absolutely key to Ecuador’s chances of progressing and will need to be pressing in the middle of the park, leading to quite a few opportunities for tactical and cynical fouls.

🏆 Argentina to win

📈 Odds: 1.40

A simple play but one that looks very likely in 90 minutes, given the way Argentina have continued to impress without really trying too hard. They won all of their three group games without conceding a goal and have beaten Ecuador 1-0 in their last two outings. With Ecuador looking more vulnerable at the back than might have been expected coming into this tournament, the Argentine side simply looks too strong for them to cope with and can’t see past an Argentina win, and comfortably, within the 90 minutes. History is against the Ecuadorians with Argentina winning nine of their last ten encounters at the Copa America, and Ecuador’s last  victory against the Argentines came nine years ago.

6/1 Argentina v Ecuador Longshot

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🟨 Over 4.5 cards

📈 Odds: 1.83

Andres Matonte is the Uruguayan referee in charge of the game and he isn’t shy about giving out bookings. He averages 5.52 cards per game in his 1276 games as the first official. There were six yellow cards in Ecuador’s final group game against Mexico, and four yellows and a red in their first match against Venezuela. Even though the Ecuadorians were cardless against Jamaica, their opponents still picked up four bookings. Argentina’s last match featured six yellow cards. With the one-off format of this game, we're expecting tempers to flare and the foul count to rack up. This could be a big one on the cards count.

🎯 Lautaro Martinez to have 2+ shots on target

📈 Odds: 2.10

Lautaro Martinez has been in sensational form at this Copa America, leading the Golden Boot race with 4 goals. What’s even more incredible about this is that he has started just one game and had just a combined 31 minutes as a substitute in the first two games. So even if he is a potential substitute risk, his ratio of shots to game time is still impressive enough to look at. He had three shots on target against Peru and two each against Chile and Canada respectively. He averages 1.47 shots on target per 90 minutes and there’s a great chance he can get some joy against this Ecuadorian side.

🚩 Over 5.5 Argentina corners

📈 Odds: 1.65

Argentina hit six corners against Peru, 11 against Chile and seven against Canada in their three games so far. Ecuador have conceded five corners to Mexico, eight to Jamaica and five to Venezuela. All three of those teams would be considered weaker opponents than this Argentine side. A caveat is that Argentina were only able to get three and four corners respectively in their last two encounters with Ecuador, but the nature of this knockout round and Ecuador’s tactical gameplan and new coaching set-up will mean a potential change of strategy. We expect Argentina to dominate the play and Ecuador to potentially frustrate them for a portion of the game, meaning the corner count could rack up fairly quickly.

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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