NFL Bet Builder Tips & Betting Predictions

The Ravens may be 4-2 on the season, but they have faced some pretty straightforward opposition, namely the Colts, Saints, Cowboys, Titans, Falcons, and Browns.

They come into this game off the back of a 13-10 defeat to Cleveland last Sunday. The Bengals - who beat the Dolphins 24-31 in Week 5 - represent a step up in class, while they will also be fresher, coming into this game off a bye.

Doubts also persist over whether Lamar Jackson will play having missed the last 2 games, but even if he does, he tends to struggle when coming back from injury. The Ravens (26.0 PPG) and Bengals (25.6 PPG) are evenly-matched offensively, and the same is true defensively (Ravens 22.0 OPP PPG, Bengals 21.8 OPP PPG).

With doubts over Jackson, the Bengals' bye-week, and Cincinnati being the toughest opposition Baltimore has faced, I'm liking the +1.5 on the Bengals.

The Titans' offense is joint-worst in the NFL alongside the Miami Dolphins, with both sides scoring an average of just 14.0 PPG this season. Cleveland, meanwhile, isn't much better. They sit joint-28th with Philadelphia with just 17.7 PPG. Combined, this is a total of 31.7 PPG, 6.8 under this line. 

Defensively, both sides are in the top-half of the standings, with Cleveland joint-5th with the Seahawks and the Jets with an average of 20.3 OPP PPG. Tennessee sits 13th with an average of 21.5 OPP PPG. 

Ultimately, the two poor offenses should keep this game below this total - in addition to their poor scoring, the Titans are also rank bottom in yards per game with just 236.3. They only had 186.0 vs. the Colts last time out. Cleveland ranks 4th-bottom in offensive yards per game with 267.5, with just 237.0 last time out vs. Baltimore.

Tampa Bay's offense has struggled this season - they sit 25th in the NFL with an average of 19.8 PPG. In contrast, Carolina sits 4th, averaging 29.2 PPG. There are question marks over the fitness of Baker Mayfield, but they haven't formed particularly well both with and without him.

Defensively, Tampa Bay and Carolina are quite similar, with the Bucs having an OPP PPG of 23.0 (17th in the NFL) and the Panthers 24.6 (21st).

The Panthers' Bryce Young is having his strongest-ever season, leading the NFL in passing yards per game (309.8). He is 7th in the NFL in passing yards overall (1,549) and faces a Tampa Bay side that ranks 19th in opponent passing yards per game (224.0). This is a clear weakness that Young can exploit - go with the Panthers.

This is a battle between 2 sides with losing records - Dolphins 0-5 and Jets 2-4 - and some of the weakest offenses in the NFL.

The Dolphins have the joint-worst offense in the NFL with the Tennessee Titans, having scored just 14.0 PPG, while the Jets rank 27th with 18.7 PPG. Combined, this is 32.7, 6.8 below this line. 

The Dolphins have scored 13 points or fewer in 4/5 games this season, with 2/L3 Dolphins games having fewer than 39.5 points.

Meanwhile, 4/6 Jets games this season have had under 39.5 points.

Conversely, the Jets have the joint-5th-strongest scoring defense in the NFL alongside Cleveland and Seattle, having conceded an average of 20.3 OPP PPG. Miami ranks 24th on 26.4 OPP PPG - not great, but not the worst in the NFL either. 

The Jets rank 4th-best in passing defense this season with 185.0 yards allowed per game. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have the 2nd-worst passing offense with just 153.6 passing yards per game. The rush could be where Miami succeeds, but it's unlikely to be enough to boost their scoring significantly.

Rodgers has passed for over 229.5 yards in all of his last 4 games, averaging 269.8 passing yards during this period. He is averaging 247.8 yards per game on the season, with 1,487 passing yards in total for 12 TDs.

These stats suggest his 2nd season with the Steelers is going better than his 1st, and he could profit against a Saints side whose passing defense ranks 25th in the NFL with an opponent passing yards per game of 239.7.

This leaps to an average of 267.7 over the Saints' last 3 games. The Saints also struggle to pressure QBs, which should give Rodgers plenty of time to pick his targets.

Warren is averaging 76.7 rushing yards per game this season, 13.2 over this line. This makes 2026 the best campaign of his career so far on this metric.

He has also rushed for Over 63.5 yards in 3/L4 games - 127 vs. Cincinnati in Week 3, 93 vs. Cleveland in Week 4 and 101 vs. Indianapolis in Week 5. This week, he faces a Saints side with a weaker rushing defense than all of them - New Orleans sits 30th in the NFL with an average of 138.0 opponent rushing yards per game.

They are averaging 147.3 opponent rushing yards per game in their last 3 games. New Orleans ranks 24th in opponent rushing attempts per game (28.8, rising to 30.3 over their last 3 games) and will be weakened by the absence of linebacker Kaden Elliss. This suggests Warren should get plenty of opportunity to surpass this total.

Dowdle had his most impressive display of the season last time out in the Steelers' victory over Tampa Bay, rushing for 40 yards from 7 attempts, averaging 5.7 yards per carry with a breakaway percentage of 37.5%.

As previously discussed, he faces a Saints side that ranks 24th in the NFL on opponent rushing attempts per game (28.8) and 30th in the NFL on opponent rushing yards per game (138.0).

At 4.8 opponent yards per rush attempt, the Saints rank 28th on this metric too. Dowdle should be able to capitalize.

Kamara has enjoyed over 12.5 receiving yards in 2/L3 games, with 35 against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 4 and 35 against the New York Giants last week.

He is averaging 15.2 receiving yards per game this season, 2.7 over this line. He is facing a Pittsburgh side that ranks 7th in opponent passing yards per game (204.3), but the Saints are -3.5-point underdogs which suggests their focus is likely to be on the passing game.

The Saints are the 2nd most efficient team in the red-zone, scoring a TD on 84.21% of their drives. Kamara has been key to this efficiency. This should allow Kamara to get over this rather modest line, should he feature.

Fresh from catching the game-winning touchdown against the Buccaneers last week, it is clear that Aaron Rodgers trusts the rookie WR.

He received for 87 yards in that game, with 11 receptions from 12 targets, while in Week 5 vs. the Colts he received for 80 yards with 6 receptions from 9 targets. With Michael Pittman Jr. and Roman Wilson both on injured reserve, Bernard has a chance to step up again against a New Orleans passing defense that ranks 25th in the NFL with an average of 239.7 opponent passing yards per game.

It would not be a surprise if Bernard scored again too, considering New Orleans is conceding 3.5 opponent TDs per game, the 3rd-worst record in the league alongside Buffalo.