Premier League Betting Tips

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Gameweek: 7 / 38
21 Aug30 May

Premier League Betting Tips

Latest tips from Andy Robson and the team of experts

Football

Ipswich v Nottm Forest Bet Builder 🧱 @ 4.19

Andy Robson

Only six players have had more shots than Enciso in the PL this season

Dan Ndoye has probably been Forest’s most influential player so far this season, scoring two goals across his seven starts in the Premier League and only Liam Delap (18) has had more shots for Forest this season than the Swiss international.

Ndoye has taken 17 shots in the Premier League so far this term (3.28 per 90), managing 2+ shots in each of his last four Premier League games - including getting two shots away against Arsenal last time out, the best side in the league when it comes to keeping the opposition shot count down.

Ipswich are conceding 16.86 shots per game in the Premier League this term, while Forest have had at least 12+ shots in all of their Premier League matches this term - averaging 17.14 shots per game overall.

Julio Enciso is the star player in this Ipswich side and only six players in the Premier League have had more shots than the Paraguayan this term (19 - 3.03 per 90).

Enciso could definitely be a bit more clinical with these efforts, with just five of the 19 finding the target, but that still works out to a healthy average of 0.80 shots on target per 90. He’s willing to shoot from almost anywhere, 13 of his 19 efforts have come from outside the box.

Enciso played his football in Ligue 1 for Strasbourg last season, taking 61 shots across just 22 starts (2.90 per 90) and seeing 22 of those attempts find the target (1.05 per 90). 

He’s found the target in two of Ipswich’s three home games this term, managing two efforts on target in the game against Liverpool. 

Dara O’Shea has settled in really well to his right centre back role for Ipswich this season, playing in a back three alongside Diop and Greaves - who have proved to be a solid base for Ipswich so far this season.

O’Shea’s role as a wide centre back means that he can push on into midfield areas, giving him a wide variety of opponents. 

He’s committed six fouls across his seven starts in the Premier League this season and faces up against a Forest side who are winning 11.43 fouls per game in the Premier League this season.

O’Shea’s direct opponent is likely to be Neco Williams, when the Welshman pushes on as a wingback. Williams has won 12 fouls across his seven starts for Forest this season (1.71 per 90) and pretty much hugs the touchline when looking at his heat map. 

Nottingham Forest are seeing 9.57 corners per game in the Premier League this term, which rises to 10.80 corners per game when looking at their last five matches.

Corners and set pieces were a regular route to goal for Crystal Palace under Oliver Glasner, and he has similar assets in this Forest team with the likes of Murillo, Diomande and Delap all offering a decent threat from these situations.

Only three sides have actually conceded more corners than Forest over their last five matches, suggesting a slight vulnerability of their own that Ipswich could punish.

Ipswich are seeing 8.00 corners per game in the Premier League this term, but there is a tactical element at play here too with both sides set to line up in a 3-4-3 shape and play wingbacks.

These systems naturally make the pitch quite wide, with both sides looking to use their wingbacks to get balls into the box. Forest rank third for successful crosses in the Premier League (5.80 per game), while Ipswich are averaging 4.00 successful crosses per game.

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Football

Andy's Saturday Accumulator 📈 @ 4.40

Andy Robson

Arsenal have won 3/3 at home this season, Barnsley have lost their last five

Arsenal played really well at the Allianz Arena in the Champions League during the week, earning a point thanks to a late equaliser from Declan Rice.

Arteta’s side controlled the game and only conceded to a wonderful defence splitting pass from Harry Kane and a penalty, which the former Tottenham man also converted.

Arsenal have won six of their seven Premier League games this season, with the exception of that 3-0 defeat to Brighton - who are proving to be one of the best sides in the league this term.

Arsenal have won three of their games at home in the Premier League this term, scoring seven goals and only conceding twice. 

They also have a great record against Arteta’s former side at the Emirates under his tenure, winning four of the last five clashes between the teams in North London.

Everton have conceded 2+ goals in both of their matches since the international break against Hull and Chelsea, also notably failing to win any of their three away matches this term.

Barnsley are in a real mess at the moment.

They’ve lost each of their last five matches ahead of this one, and you have to go all the way back to early September for their last win in any competition - a 2-1 victory over Blackpool.

Reading boast the best home record of any side in League One, with only Luton managing to beat them in front of their own fans back on Matchday 1.

Reading have scored 15 goals across their six home games in League One this term (2.5 per game), which is more than any other side at home in the third division.

Barnsley have only managed to win one of their five away games in League One this season, losing three of these games. Reading’s scoring power is likely to be too much for them, Barnsley have only scored five goals across these matches. 

These are two of the best sides in the Championship, and I think Southampton have shown enough this season to back them to get on the scoresheet.

Tonda Eckert’s side have netted 21 goals across their 11 games in the Championship this season (1.90 per game), only Middlesbrough (22) and West Ham (30) have scored more goals than Southampton in the Championship this season.

The only side that has managed to keep Southampton out so far this season was Bolton last week, who were quite fortunate to keep that clean sheet with the Saints registering an xG of 2.19 from their 14 shots.

These sides faced off in the EFL Cup earlier in the season, which saw West Ham come away 4-1 winners. Southampton rotated heavily for that game, and still managed to get on the scoresheet.

This is usually one of the most entertaining games of the Premier League season with the most recent meeting producing three goals as Chelsea came away 2-1 winners over Tottenham at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea have seen 3+ goals in six of their last seven Premier League matches this season. They did look a little more settled against Everton last time out, securing a 2-0 victory, but Tottenham should be able to capitalise more on Chelsea’s defensive issues than the Toffees.

De Zerbi’s side got their first win of the season against Coventry last time out, coming away 3-1 winners. They’ve seen 16 goals across their seven Premier League matches this season (2.28 per game), and have only kept one more clean sheet than Chelsea (2).

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Premier League Tips Feed

A complete list of every Premier League selection from Andy Robson and the team of experts

Dara O'Shea - To Commit 1 Or More Fouls

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Over 8.5 - Corners

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Julio Enciso - To Have 1 Or More Shots On Target

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Dan Ndoye - To Have 2 Or More Shots

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Arsenal - to Win

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Over 2.5 - Goals

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