Football Accumulator Tips Today

Dundee United are one of the form teams in the Scottish Premiership, and I think they can at the very least avoid defeat when they host Motherwell on Saturday.

Jim Goodwin’s side extended their unbeaten run to six matches with a hard-fought 2-2 draw away at Celtic last midweek.

The Terrors have also beaten Hibernian and Aberdeen at home during that run, so they will fancy their chances of adding to their points tally against Motherwell.

The Steelmen had taken just one point from seven league games before beating St Mirren 1-0 last weekend.

Moreover, Alfred Johansson’s side have won only once away from home in the Scottish top flight this term, and that came against bottom-of-the-table Hibernian on the opening weekend.

I think Livingston look well placed to score at least once away at Inverness on Saturday.

The Lions picked up their most impressive result of the season last Friday night, claiming a convincing 3-0 win away at Stenhousemuir.

That followed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Arbroath, so Livi are beginning to build momentum after a stuttering start to life back in the Scottish Championship.

Moreover, they have now scored at least once in seven of their last eight league matches, including a 2-2 draw with Inverness in the reverse fixture.

Confidence could be low in the Caley Jags camp after a 5-1 hammering at Dunfermline last Saturday, and Livi can get on the scoresheet in the Highlands.

Partick Thistle can bounce back from last weekend’s setback by winning away at Queen’s Park in the Scottish Championship on Saturday.

Mark Wilson’s men were unbeaten in five league games, winning four and drawing one, before a shock 3-2 home defeat to Morton.

I suspect that will prove a blip, and that the league leaders can get their title charge back on track at the first attempt this weekend.

Thistle have won away at Livingston and Ayr in recent times, while their last road trip ended in a 1-1 draw with an in-form Dunfermline side.

Queen’s Park should pose less of a test, with the Spiders bottom of the table after losing seven of their last eight matches, including the last three.

It might not be pretty, but I think Partick’s superior class will tell and see them claim all three points at Lesser Hampden.

I think Hamilton can return to winning ways in Scottish League One by defeating Cove Rangers on Saturday.

Darian McKinnon’s side have played out a pair of 1-1 draws in their last two league games against Ross County and Montrose, who sit first and third in the table respectively.

Before those stalemates, the Accies were enjoying a seven-game winning run in the league, which included victories away at Alloa, East Kilbride and Airdrie.

While Cove Rangers picked up a morale-boosting 1-0 win away at Airdrie last weekend, they remain bottom of the table and have lost seven of their 12 league games this season.

It’s also worth pointing out that Paul Hartley’s side were trailing East Kilbride in their last league game at home before it was abandoned due to severe weather conditions.

Hamilton edged the reverse fixture 1-0, and I fancy them to come out on top in another low-scoring game on Saturday.

Ross County have been really strong at home in Scottish League One this season, and I think they can put Peterhead to the sword while scoring at least a couple of goals in the process.

The Staggies have won 11 of their 13 league games this season, including five of their six matches at home.

Their only dropped points in Dingwall came in a 1-1 draw with title rivals Hamilton.

Stuart Kettlewell’s side have collected maximum points from their other five home games, scoring multiple goals in each.

As for Peterhead, they tend to do the majority of their best work at home, underlined by the fact that they have lost four of their last five away matches.

What’s more, the Blue Toon have conceded at least two goals in all four of those road defeats, and I think they will suffer the same fate on Saturday.

Jayden Bogle didn’t manage to get a shot off against Bournemouth last weekend, breaking a six-game streak. The Leeds wingback likes to get forward and join in with attacks, so he is averaging 1.09 shots per 90 across all competitions this season. He has even managed to find the back of the net once, against Brighton back in September.

Spurs are a team in good form at the moment, but Elland Road is one of the tougher away days in the Premier League. Daniel Farke’s men are unbeaten in four league matches at home this season, and Bogle has accounted for five shots in that time.

Kai Havertz scored the only goal of the game last weekend, as Arsenal secured a huge three points at Anfield. The German international was in the right place at the right time to convert a cross from Declan Rice early in the first half.

Havertz is averaging 2.01 shots per 90 in the Premier League this season, which is nothing to write home about, but over half of his efforts have hit the target. That shows how the majority of his chances tend to be of a high-quality nature, and the Gunners should be able to generate some clear-cut opportunities against this Hull side who are in a poor run of form.

After a poor start under Alvaro Arbeloa, Fulham have picked up seven points in their last three league matches, which has lifted them out of the bottom three. Alex Iwobi has been a key reason for that, as he scored Fulham’s only goal against Hull to kick-start their unbeaten streak. Iwobi had three shots against Aston Villa last time out, with one of those on target, and he was guilty of missing a couple of great chances.

Iwobi is averaging 1.9 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, rising to 2.22 when playing at Craven Cottage, where he has landed this bet in each of his last three matches.

After completing a £20 million move from Man City to Nottingham Forest in 2025, James McAtee will face his former club for the first time this season. The 24-year-old has emerged as a regular starter under Oliver Glasner this season, and he will be determined to make an impact against his former team.

McAtee is averaging 1.86 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, and he has landed this selection in five of his last seven starts. That includes two shots against Arsenal at the City Ground a few weeks ago. Both of those efforts came from outside the box.

Tottenham cruised to victory last weekend against Crystal Palace, as the visitors were reduced to ten men early on. Jan Paul Van Hecke had very little defending to do, and he didn't record a foul. However, the centre back is averaging 1.13 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, and he landed this bet in seven successive starts prior to last weekend.

Van Hecke should be called into action a lot more at Elland Road here, and he will be primarily up against Dominic Calvert-Lewin. The Leeds striker was fouled three times against Bournemouth last time out, proving a difficult player to contain for opposing centre backs.

Ezri Konsa is averaging 1.97 fouls drawn per 90 in the league this season - not only is that one of the highest figures in the Arsenal squad, but it's also one of the highest of any Premier League player this season. The centre back is adept at drawing contact, and he has landed this selection in six of his seven league starts overall.

Konsa has an excellent matchup this weekend to improve that hit-rate, as he will be directly up against Oli McBurnie. The Scottish striker is averaging 1.35 fouls per 90 this season, and he will look to make life hard for those Arsenal centre backs at the Emirates.

Newcastle have the worst disciplinary record in the Premier League after nine matches, with 26 yellow cards and two reds. The Magpies come into this clash following back-to-back defeats, so they will be desperate to bounce back at Craven Cottage here. Their midfielders have been notable contributors to their card record so far - Nico Gonzalez is averaging 2.81 fouls per 90 across all competitions, and he should occupy the same zone of the field as Josh King this weekend.

The 19-year-old has been pulling the strings from an advanced midfield position, averaging 1.59 fouls drawn per 90. He has landed this bet in four of his last six starts.

Elliot Anderson is almost always a target for opposition sides to bring down due to how good he is at splitting lines with his passing range, and that should be even more exaggerated here as he lines up against his former club.

Anderson has won more fouls than any other player on the pitch here (28 - 3.61 per 90). He’s out on his own in that regard too, James McAtee is the second most fouled player set to line up at the City Ground and he has won 13 fewer fouls than Anderson in the Premier League this season.

This has landed in each of Anderson’s last five Premier League matches, and he was also fouled twice in the Champions League during the week against Leipzig.

He’s been fouled in all four of City’s away matches, winning 3+ fouls in three of these games - even being fouled 8 (!) times against Liverpool a few weeks ago.

Stoke are in a false position, the league table lies and they are not the 4th-best team in the Championship.

The xG data shows that: they sit 18th on expected points, and have unsustainably overperformed in both boxes, scoring 22 from 14.9 xG and only conceding 17 from 21.4.

They’re also preparing for a second consecutive away game this week, where Pompey are at home for the second time in five days, beating 5th-placed Swansea 3-1 on Tuesday.

Stoke were also victorious in midweek, but it was not a convincing or repeatable winning performance, they scored a free kick and an own goal to win 2-1 at Blackburn, in a game where Rovers were arguably the better side.

Forget their recent history, Portsmouth are play-off challengers, one point outside the top eight heading into this match, and their xG process has been better than Stoke’s in both boxes this term.

They’re expected goal difference for the season is at -0.6, where Stoke’s -6.4 is the 6th-worst for that metric in the league.

Charlton are dropping like a stone, 11 winless in the league and they’ll be fighting the crowd as well as the threat of relegation if they go behind early.

The hosts are the worst team in the league going forward, them and Derby have scored 11 from 14 games, while Charlton have the worst xG for (13.0).

They’re now without a clean sheet in seven as well, and this could well be Nathan Jones’ last game in charge.

Sheffield United have picked up of late, three wins in four and their 3-2 win at Preston on Tuesday evening was more comfortable than the scoreline suggests - with Sydie Peck netting a first half hat-trick from midfield.

They’re a bet at odds-against quotes to win the game, I’m happy to take Draw No Bet for the acca.

Poor old Preston are very opposable once again.

They’re nine points adrift of safety already, with five points from 14 games, and though this is a double home week for them compared to Southampton’s two away trips, there was nothing in their Tuesday night defeat to suggest they’ll make a better fist of it on Saturday.

PNE managed only six shots in their 3-2 defeat to Sheffield United, they only had one shot in the entirety of the first half and that shot actually gave them the lead after two minutes.

Saints have great squad depth to cope with the busy schedule and a win will likely have them on the brink of the automatic promotion places heading into the international break - which is really impressive considering they started the season with a four-point deduction.

This is an understandable short price given the gap in quality between the two sides.

Preston have conceded 14 goals in their last five, just under three per game, and Saints have the talent to expose that backline again at Deepdale.

The schedule’s in their favour with a double home week compared to Millwall’s double away, and the Baggies gave a really good account of themselves in a 1-1 draw with Southampton on Tuesday.

This bet has won in five straight for West Brom, and in six of their seven home league games so far this term.

Millwall were 3-0 down, as it stayed, at Birmingham on Tuesday night and their only away win since the opening weekend came at rock-bottom Preston.

West Brom were utterly dominant in the first half in midweek, going in 1-0 up against the Saints without allowing their visitors a single shot.

The second half was a different story, but they’ll consider themselves unfortunate not to win the game having won the xG battle 2.46-1.38.

Injury issues have impacted Millwall’s rhythm this season and they should be in a better place after the international break, but a trip to The Hawthorns following their limp defeat in Birmingham on Tuesday is a big ask.

Fulham are better than the table suggests, they have the 7th highest xG in the league and expected points has them 11th, rather than 15th.

They’ve actually lost just one of their last six and have won two of their last three.

Newcastle are dreadful right now. It took them 85 minutes to have a shot on target against Everton on Monday and they should be four places lower in the table based on expected points.

Charlton are on a run of 11 matches without a victory. They’ve lost four in a row, failing to score in three.

They have the lowest xG in the entire league and the highest xGA.

Sheff Utd have found a good run of form and are unbeaten in four, winning three and they’ve won each of their last two away matches.

They scored three away in midweek and come into this one full of confidence.

Boreham Wood are favourites here despite being two divisions below their opponents.

They’ve scored 44 times in 16 league games.

They do concede goals too and BTTS has landed in 75% of their National League matches.

Wigan do ultimately have a stronger squad and should be able to capitalise on Boreham Wood’s defensive frailties.

The Latics have scored in five of their last seven, and should’ve scored from the 1.58 xG they created against Mansfield.

Carlisle have won four on the spin, scoring 11. The defence is still suspect though, conceding in three of those.

Carlisle create the most chances in the National League with a 1.83 xGA but they’ve managed just 3 clean sheets in 17 across all comps.

Salford have won seven League Two games on the spin with BTTS landing in each of their last four and they’re averaging 1.53 xGA on the road in League Two.