Thierno Barry is developing really well at Everton, I was keen to keep an eye on him when he arrived from Villarreal last summer and he took some time to find his feet in the Premier League but can definitely offer a real threat to Chelsea here.

Barry is Everton’s top scorer in the Premier League so far this season having netted three goals across his six starts. He netted eight goals across 21 starts last season, so he’s made a decent start and should be able to match if not exceed the tally from his debut campaign.

Barry has taken 22 shots across his six starts in the Premier League (3.92 per 90), seeing eight of these efforts find the target (1.43 per 90). He’s clearly playing with more confidence than he did last season, with a clear increase on the 0.66 shots on target he averaged throughout last campaign.

Morgan Rogers has settled into his new role at Chelsea really well, and is thriving with the setup of Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer alongside him in Chelsea’s front three.

Rogers has scored four goals across his six starts in the Premier League this season, most recently scoring Chelsea’s second goal against Bournemouth in a 5-1 rout - finding the back of the net after just three minutes in that game.

Rogers has taken 17 shots across his six starts in the Premier League (2.93 per 90), seeing six of these efforts find the target (1.03 per 90). Both Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer are notably shorter than Rogers to have an effort on target here, despite Rogers having very similar underlying numbers.

It’s now 22 games in the Premier League without a clean sheet for Chelsea after they conceded against Bournemouth last time out, and I can’t see them keeping out this Everton side on Saturday afternoon.

Chelsea have conceded multiple goals in games against Leeds, Hull, Brighton, Brentford and Fulham which is a record to suggest that Xabi Alonso’s side have some very concerning underlying defensive issues which go beyond getting a bit unlucky at the back.

Chelsea have conceded the joint most goals of any side in the Premier League this season, shipping 13 goals across their six games. Seven of these have been conceded in their away games as well, they’ve only managed to win one of their three games on the road so far. 

Everton have scored five goals across their three home games so far, avoiding defeat in all three games. They’ve avoided defeat against Chelsea in each of the last three head to head meetings in the Premier League with Everton as the home side, coming away 3-0 winners last season. 

James Tarkowski is seriously good at winning fouls for a centre back and is at a nice price to be hauled down at least once here having drawn 10 fouls across his six starts in the Premier League so far (1.67 per 90).

That record puts Tarkowski in the 89th percentile when compared to other centre backs in the Premier League when it comes to winning fouls. He was fouled once in this fixture last season, and was also hauled down once in Everton’s defeat at Stamford Bridge during the 25/26 campaign.

Tarkowski will be in a battle with Joao Pedro, who has committed five fouls across his five starts in the Premier League so far this season (1.04 per 90) and should engage in an entertaining battle with the Everton centre back that sees Tarkowski fouled at least once.

Thierno Barry is developing really well at Everton, I was keen to keep an eye on him when he arrived from Villarreal last summer and he took some time to find his feet in the Premier League but can definitely offer a real threat to Chelsea here.

Barry is Everton’s top scorer in the Premier League so far this season having netted three goals across his six starts. He netted eight goals across 21 starts last season, so he’s made a decent start and should be able to match if not exceed the tally from his debut campaign.

Barry has taken 22 shots across his six starts in the Premier League (3.92 per 90), seeing eight of these efforts find the target (1.43 per 90). He’s clearly playing with more confidence than he did last season, with a clear increase on the 0.66 shots on target he averaged throughout last campaign.

Enzo Fernandez has quickly established himself as a starter in the Man City midfield alongside Elliot Anderson, following his summer move from Chelsea.

The Argentine international is given more attacking freedom in that pairing, and he has landed this bet in his last four starts. 

Fernandez is averaging 2.13 shots per 90 across all competitions as a Man City player, and he also found the back of the net against Sunderland just before the international break.

Enzo Maresca knows how to get the most out of Fernandez, having managed him at Chelsea, and City come into this clash against Ipswich at the weekend as massive favourites. If the visitors sit deep, Fernandez will be able to play more advanced than usual.

Ryan Sessegnon got on the scoresheet against Ipswich last time out, with a wonderful strike from the edge of the box. However, his efforts were in vain as Fulham squandered their advantage to lose 2-1. Sessegnon started in place of Antonee Robinson who suffered a minor injury whilst training, and he is unlikely to be rushed back into first team action. 

Sessegnon recorded three shots against Ipswich last time out, and two efforts against AFC Wimbledon in his only other start of the season. He is an attack-minded fullback who likes to contribute going forward, and this matchup against Hull looks like a good one.

Johan Manzambi has settled in really well to this Villa side, registering four goal contributions across just five appearances. 

His most recent involvement came during the week against Fenerbahce, scoring from his two shots as Villa recorded a 6-0 win in the Champions League.

Manzambi scored his first Premier League goal in Villa’s win over Tottenham in North London a few weeks ago and has taken 11 shots already across just two starts in the English top flight (5.35 per 90).

Manzambi has seen three of these efforts find the target (1.46 per 90). He also scored five goals across 26 starts in the Bundesliga last term, notably averaging 2.19 shots per 90.

Pedro Neto has been playing in a slightly unfamiliar position under Xabi Alonso this season, at right wingback. He is given more of a defensive responsibility than he might like, meaning he has recorded a foul in four out of five starts this season across all competitions, including two fouls against Brentford. 

This weekend, he will draw the matchup of Jack Grealish, and that is a battle to keep an eye on. The English international is averaging 3.58 fouls drawn per 90 this season across all competitions, and he has drawn multiple fouls in all three starts. Grealish is one of the best players in the league at drawing contact, which makes this price stand out.

Sasa Lukic has committed 14 fouls in six Premier League appearances this season since arriving at Portman Road from Fulham. In fact, he has committed more fouls than any other player in the Premier League this season.

Lukic has landed this selection in each of his last three consecutive league starts, with exactly three fouls against Crystal Palace, Everton and his former club Fulham, respectively. 

Man City are expected to dominate possession at the Etihad this weekend, which will give Lukic plenty of defensive work to get through. The Serbian international will have to deal with the likes of Rayan Cherki and Jeremy Doku, so it's an incredibly tough matchup.

Josh King is averaging 1.37 fouls drawn per 90 for Fulham this season, which is one of the highest figures in the squad, and there is every reason to expect that figure to rise this weekend.

Hull travel to Craven Cottage with the worst disciplinary record in the Premier League - they have picked up 20 yellow cards in just six league matches. The Tigers are aggressive in their press, especially in midfield, and Josh King will be directly up against Matt Crooks this weekend.

The 32-year-old was booked against Everton last time out for a late challenge on Grealish. He has now picked up four yellows in just five appearances this season, averaging 2.19 fouls per 90.

Victor Munoz is expected to return to the starting eleven on the ring wing for Liverpool this weekend, as Andoni Iraola still has to contend with injuries to several key players.

Alexander Isak, Cody Gakpo and Hugo Ekitike are injured. Munoz has looked sharp when he has played, always looking to make a positive impact when he gets the ball. The Spaniard has won 11 free-kicks in eight appearances across all competitions this season, averaging 2.5 fouls drawn per 90. 

He will be up against El Hadji Malick Diouf this weekend - the fullback is still getting used to life at Brentford after joining from West Ham over the summer. He committed four fouls against Aston Villa last weekend, and this looks like another difficult matchup for him.

Nico Gonzalez made his return to the starting eleven for Newcastle last weekend, after recovering from injury. The former Man City man played the full 90 as Coventry won 4-1, and Gonzalez committed two fouls.

He has landed this selection in four of his five starts as a Newcastle player, with the only failure coming against Leeds when he was withdrawn after 19 minutes with an injury. 

Gonzalez is averaging 3.37 fouls per 90 this season. He also recorded an average of 1.74 fouls per 90 across all competitions for Man City in the previous campaign, which is impressively high considering how they typically dominated possession. Gonzalez will now be directly up against Johan Manzambi here - he is averaging 2.13 fouls drawn per 90 since arriving from Freiburg.