Fulham have been on a very poor run of form, conceding in each of their last eight matches and letting in 15 goals during that time. They have had three or more goals in 66% of their matches this season, rising to 69% at Craven Cottage. This selection has landed in four of their five most recent matches against City (including the reverse fixture at the Etihad). These two sides have met seven times at Craven Cottage since 2010, with 26 goals being scored in that time. The Cottagers have scored seven of those goals with both sides finding the back of the net in five of those games. In fact, dating back to 2003, Manchester City have played here 13 times, and in 11 of those, both teams have scored, with three or more goals in ten of them.

Manchester City have been on a blistering run of form, scoring at least three goals in eight of their last nine matches. They have also conceded in five of their last seven games. They have kept just two away league clean sheets in 2023, and they have had 5.9 xGA (expected goals against) across their last four Premier League and Champions League games. This selection has landed in 68% of their games in the Premier League this season, including in seven of their last ten, and their games have seen an average of 3.16 expected goals.

Harrison Reed has committed the fourth-most fouls of any Fulham player this season, with 32, resulting in five yellow cards. On average, he commits 1.16 fouls per 90 minutes and has conceded a foul in his last three matches. He has started 15 league matches at Craven Cottage this season and committed 15 fouls in those games, with this selection landing in ten of the 15. In the reverse fixture, he was booked for his only foul.

Kenny Tete has committed 32 fouls this season at an average of 1.36 fouls per 90. Ignoring one game this drops to 1.15 fouls per 90 but that game was the reverse fixture at Manchester City when he made six fouls, getting booked. He could not deal with Jack Grealish, who was fouled four times in just 63 minutes then, and the Englishman has since improved.

Grealish has drawn the third most fouls (70) of any player behind Wilfried Zaha (71) and Jordan Ayew (74) in the league despite playing fewer minutes. He is fouled at an average of 3.38 times per game, more frequently than any other Manchester City player, with Mahrez (City’s second most fouled player per 90) drawing just 2.09 fouls per 90. Grealish has started 20 games for City in 2023, being fouled 60 times at an average of exactly three per start. He has been fouled at least twice 16 times and in 11 of his last 13, he has drawn two or more offences.