This was the exact scoreline that won Spain the European Championship back in 2024, with Mikel Oyarzabal scoring the winner on that occasion after Cole Palmer had equalised for England.

I find it difficult to see how Argentina will win this final; Spain look so complete and have dominated every side they’ve come up against and have only conceded one goal across the entirety of the tournament, with an xG of just 2.15.

That being said, I still do think that Argentina can get on the scoresheet purely through the brilliance of Lionel Messi, who has registered a goal contribution in every knockout game so far, setting up both of Argentina’s goals in the semi-final, marking another man-of-the-match display.

Argentina have seen BTTS in all four of their knockout matches, including conceding 2+ goals against the likes of Cape Verde and Egypt. I don’t think they can keep getting in these situations and getting away with it; Spain will be more punishing than the other sides they’ve faced at this World Cup.