Liverpool have conceded six goals across their two games since the international break. They haven’t managed to get on the scoresheet themselves in these matches, though those games were against PSG and Manchester City. 

Liverpool desperately need all three points here to keep their chances of finishing in a Champions League spot alive, though Fulham will prove to be an awkward opponent, as they were for Liverpool earlier on in the campaign. Fulham held Liverpool to a 2-2 draw earlier in the season, marking the seventh consecutive head-to-head meeting between the sides that has seen BTTS.

Fulham are not very good at keeping clean sheets, with only 6 across their 31 matches this season. Only Leeds, Manchester United, and the three sides in the relegation zone have kept fewer clean sheets than Fulham this season. If we extend this to last season as well, Fulham have only kept 11 clean sheets across their last 69 Premier League matches (15%). 

Liverpool still have plenty of firepower at Anfield, having scored 27 goals across their 15 home games in the Premier League this season (1.8 per game). Only four sides have scored more goals at home than Liverpool in the Premier League this season, suggesting that the individual quality is still there for the Reds to get on the scoresheet. 

I think this is quite a generous price for Liverpool to commit at least nine fouls in this contest. It’s been priced like this due to Liverpool’s low foul count in the reverse fixture (4) and Liverpool’s modest foul count throughout the season (9.80 per game) - which is still above the line we need for this leg of our Bet Builder.

Liverpool committed 12 fouls during the week as they lost 2-0 to PSG, having committed 10 fouls at the Etihad Stadium the previous game. Their last Premier League fixture saw them commit 11 fouls against Brighton, so Liverpool are clearly quite a frustrated side at the moment, and that can feed into them committing nine or more fouls in this must-win clash for Arne Slot’s side. 

The four fouls that Liverpool committed at Craven Cottage earlier in the season can be seen as an anomaly in my view. Liverpool do like to play with intensity, especially at home, and the context surrounding this game should make them more likely to rush into challenges and give away cheap free kicks against a Fulham side who don’t really have much pressure on them at all. 

Harry Wilson has been brilliant for Fulham this season, netting 10 goals across his 27 starts in the Premier League, which makes him Fulham’s top scorer in the division with one more goal than Raul Jimenez. His role on penalties and set pieces have aided him in getting to his goal tally, and can also help him find the target here. 

This tally represents Wilson’s highest-ever goal output in the Premier League, so it’s no exaggeration to say that he is currently playing as well as he ever has done in the Premier League, which is momentum that can aid him when it comes to finding the target against his former club. 

Wilson has taken 66 shots in the Premier League this season (2.61 per 90), seeing 24 of these efforts find the target (0.95 per 90). He scored from three shots when the sides met earlier in the season, and enjoyed a pretty strong international break - having 3+ shots in both of his matches against Bosnia and Northern Ireland. 

Konate has struggled quite a lot this season, and we saw that again in midweek as PSG’s front three caused him all sorts of problems as Luis Enrique’s side came away 2-0 winners. Konate committed four fouls in that clash, adding to the three fouls and yellow card he collected in the other game that Liverpool contested since the international break, which ended in a 4-0 defeat to Manchester City. 

Fulham should be encouraged by the vulnerability of Liverpool’s backline at the moment. Konate is the more aggressive of Liverpool’s centre-back pairing, committing 30 fouls across his 29 Premier League starts this season (1.09 per 90). This foul average is far higher than Van Dijk’s (0.45 per 90), suggesting that Konate is regularly the more active in challenges against the opposition striker.

He’ll be faced by Raul Jimenez here, who is very strong when it comes to holding up the ball. Jimenez was fouled once when these sides met earlier in the season, and I’d expect Fulham to draw more fouls from Liverpool than they did in that game (4) - which was a dramatic underperformance on Liverpool’s foul average over the course of the season (9.80 fouls per game). 

Dominik Szoboszlai has easily been Liverpool’s best player over the course of the season, and has maintained a pretty decent output for the Reds - registering 20 goal contributions across his 45 appearances across all competitions. 

This is the highest tally that Szoboszlai has managed since joining Liverpool, showing how he’s improved his output, which was always one of the main criticisms of Szoboszlai's game. Szoboszlai has recorded eight goal contributions in the Premier League this term, with only Gakpo, Salah, and Ekitike registering more goal contributions in the Premier League than Szoboszlai for Liverpool this term. 

Szoboszlai’s underlying numbers also give him a good chance of registering a goal contribution here. He’s averaging 2.01 shots per 90 - also the highest average he’s maintained since joining Liverpool - while also averaging 2.01 chances created per 90, showing that he is proficient in both the scoring and creative side of the game. 

I really like Oscar Bobb. I’m keeping my stocks invested in him for now while he battles through a period of injury and inconsistency, but I do think there is a very talented player there if he can get over those setbacks. Bobb never really got a chance at City; every time he looked like breaking into the first team setup, he had to take two steps back due to injury. 

In the flashes he did show for Guardiola's side, he looked really promising and could nail down a starting spot in this Fulham side when he gets a proper run of games together. He’s taken seven shots across his eight starts for Fulham so far (0.82 per 90), which admittedly isn’t too standout - but he’s looked better every time I’ve watched him for the Cottagers and can act as a shot threat for Marco Silva’s side here.

Liverpool are clearly vulnerable at the back at the moment, having conceded six goals across their last two matches since the international break. I expect Fulham to get quite a bit of joy against them at times, and Bobb to start showing why he was so highly rated before joining Fulham from Manchester City.

No Fulham player has picked up more yellow cards in the Premier League this season than Joachim Andersen (7). 

This surprised me when I saw it. I’d expect Lukic or even Jimenez to be top of the pile for Fulham cards, given Andersen’s relatively tame foul average in the Premier League (1.02 per 90), but it does show that the fouls Andersen does give away tend to risk a caution. 

He picked up a yellow card over the international break as Denmark failed to qualify for the World Cup, and has picked up two yellow cards in his last five appearances for Fulham across all competitions. Andersen was very fortunate to avoid a card when these sides met earlier in the season, committing three fouls in that game, which accounted for 27% of the total fouls that Fulham committed in that clash.