Germany looked unplayable in their Nations League opener as they cruised to an emphatic 5-0 victory over Hungary. They fired off 23 shots, nine of which tested the keeper, also accumulating 3.71xG and hitting the woodwork twice. It was an all-round good performance for Nagelsmann’s men who looked defensively astute too, conceding just one shot on target from a mere six shots.

Looking a bit further back, Germany have won or drawn each of their last 10 matches inside 90 minutes. That string of games included tough matches against Spain, France and The Netherlands themselves back in March.

Gravenberch looks a player reborn this season under Arne Slot and has relished his role, operating in a double-pivot, similar to how The Netherlands set up. He’s frequently involved in duels, of which he has won more than any other Liverpool player. This has led to him being effective in the fouls-drawn market, where he’s averaged over 1.3 this season.

He was rewarded for his form by Ronald Koeman and impressed against Bosnia and Herzegovina, winning four duels and being fouled once. He’s now been taken out in four of his five matches this season and should be good value to win one more.

Although AC Milan have had a rough start to the season, picking up just two points from three games, Reijnders has still provided consistent value in the shots market. In his three games, he’s averaged 2.36 shots per 90, offering excellent value here.

The Dutchman is not afraid to shoot from range with five of his six shots in Serie A coming from outside of the box, something that could prove useful if Germany attempt to dominate possession.

In a further boost for backers, Koeman opted to play him in a much more offensive role against Bosnia and Herzegovina, somewhere between an #8 and a #10. As well as a goal and an assist, he accumulated five shots and was The Netherlands’s best-rated player so it’s safe to say he’ll likely take up the same position against Germany.

Although Gakpo is yet to cement his place in Arne Slot’s starting XI this year, we’ve seen enough from him in the past to know his value in the fouls-drawn market.

Last season, the Liverpool ace remarkably averaged 2.08 fouls drawn per 90 in the Premier League, before being taken out another eight times during the Euros.

He drew a foul last time out against Bosnia and Herzegovina despite it being a bit of a walkover and coming off early in the 65th minute.

Germany on the other hand, committed 13 fouls in their 5-0 trouncing of Hungary, making this look even better value. Kimmich, who started at right-back on that occasion, committed one of them but has averaged 2.00 per 90 this season for Bayern.

It’s slowly starting to seem like Kai Havertz is an asset in every market, be it fouls committed, fouls drawn, shots on target, goals or pretty much anyone you could think of but on this occasion, it’s the shots market which presents the most value.

The German has averaged just under three shots per match for Arsenal this season but that figure is probably a lowball given he tends to move into centre-mid for the last 20 minutes of each game.

Last time out, no one bettered his tally of five shots against Hungary which was pretty in line with his 4.37 average during the Euros. If that’s anything to go off than there’s definitely value here.

Having already spoken about Gravenberch’s foul winning tendencies, it’s now time to reference the other end of the stick. The Dutch central midfielder has played almost every minute for Arne Slot this season, averaging 2.68 fouls per 90 in this time.

This is a huge step up from his still impressive 1.6 average last season, but many other elements of his game have also changed so we have reason to believe it’s no coincidence.

He drew two fouls against Bosnia and Herzegovina and played the full 90 on that occasion which adds further value. He didn’t make an appearance for The Netherlands during the Euros but averaged 1.67 fouls per 90 in the U21 Euros where the quality is much lower.

Both sides were involved in high-scoring affairs in their respective Nations League openers with The Netherlands winning 5-0 and Germany triumphing 5-2.

This wasn’t an isolated event for either side. Six out of the seven Euros matches featuring The Netherlands contained over 2.5 goals, meanwhile, Germany finished the competition with an average of 3 goals scored in their games.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in eight of the last ten and five of the last six clashes between these sides with the last two competitive showings ending 4-2 and 4-3.

Florian Wirtz has started this season exactly where he left off, scoring two goals from his seven attempts on target, all in just two games.

He showcased his wide array of talents once more in Germany’s clash with Hungary, racking up a goal, an assist, and two shots on target which is a step up from his 0.97 per 90 average during the Euros.

One of the traits inflating his value in this market is his ability to shoot from both close and long range. During the European Championships, five of his eight shots were from outside the box.

Depending on how the game pans out, this gives him the ability to shoot on sight if confronted by a compact defence, or work through it and find himself in better scoring positions with the help of his teammates.