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With the Premier League about to embark on a staggered winter break as we reach the halfway-point of the 2023/24 season, we thought it was an excellent time to revisit our outright picks from the start of the season.
We will still be all over the Premier League despite the light fixture list ahead, with our usual mix of Premier League bet builders and expert Premier League accumulator tips. It’s not just the Premier League either, as Andy’s Bet Club features a huge range of expert football betting tips from around the world.
If you like the sound of those, or any of our outright picks featured below, make sure to check out the various free bet offers and the very latest bookmaker offers that we have here on site to ensure our readers always get the very best value for money.
Premier League outright winner odds
Liverpool to claim a second Premier League crown?
Liverpool have surprised most people, including us, particularly defensively. On Sunday, they dismantled Arsenal, winning 2-0 at the Emirates in the FA Cup. Securing the Europa League bye, into the EFL Cup semis with a favourable draw, securing another favourable draw in the FA Cup fourth round and top of the league, this could be a historic season for Jurgen Klopp’s men.
Liverpool are 2.88 to win the league from their current position with a three-point lead over second-placed Villa. Favourites for the league, Man City, trail Liverpool by five points with a game in hand. Klopp’s side have lost just once this season, picking up vital late points here and there when required to allow them to build a lead at the top.
Virgil Van Dijk has looked back to something near his best alongside Alisson and Konate and Andy Robertson is soon to make a return to sure up this back line even more. If Liverpool can successfully navigate this period without Mo Salah then they will be near favourites.
🏆 Liverpool to win the 23/24 Premier League
Premier League Top 4 odds
Title challenging Liverpool should have no trouble here
Top of the table with one defeat after 20 games is about as good as it gets for a top four tip. However, Klopp and Liverpool have surprised most with their resilient backline, particularly after their shambolic preseason. Having watched Liverpool in preseason, we were banking on Liverpool’s attack to drag them into the top four and maybe more.
In a new system based on inverting Trent Alexander-Arnold, Liverpool drew 4-4 with Greuther Furth, won 4-2 v Karlsruher and lost 4-3 to Bayern. Klopp’s men now have the best defensive record in the league conceding just 18 and keeping clean sheets against the likes of high-flying Aston Villa. That isn’t to say Liverpool haven’t stayed dominant going forward, scoring the second most with 43 goals, with multiple players showcasing quality in the final third.
Ange’s flying start to life in London
Spurs came out of the gate flying under Ange Postecoglou, better than anyone could have expected without Harry Kane. New signings Micky Van de Ven and James Maddison were electric until their injuries and their return in January is greatly anticipated. Destiny Udogie and Pedro Porro have been one of the better full-back pairings with Ange getting the best out of the pair going forward in chance creation.
Despite all their injury trouble, Spurs have won five of their last six, only losing 4-2 at Brighton, a game in which they won on xG. Ange’s men sit just a point outside the top four, five points clear of the chasing pack led by West Ham. The odds have halved from when we tipped Spurs at the start of the season with the Lilywhites now just 2.25 to reach the top four. With injured players returning, this still isn’t a bad price at all.
🥈 Tottenham Hotspur to finish in the Top 4
Emery has taken Villa from 10/1 to odds-on for Top 4
Tipped at 11.00, Aston Villa are now just 1.73 to make the top four and are the talk of the Premier League. Unai Emery has had investment from the board but is coaching the best out of all his players and has plugged them into a highly successful system. Villa are the second top scorers in the Premier League, and have the second-highest xG trailing only Man City and Liverpool respectively. Last season, Villa had 49.10 xG and 51 goals. This season, they’re already at 41.68 xG and 43 goals.
Defensively, Villa have also allowed just 25.84 xGA, the fourth-least. This dominance has mainly come from Villa’s home form. Unai Emery and co have won 9 of 10 home games, scoring 29 goals, surprisingly only dropping points to Sheffield United. This includes wins over fellow title challengers, Man City and Arsenal both 1-0 as Emery showed his ability to transform his side into a defensive resilient outfit.
🥈 Aston Villa to finish in the Top 4
Premier League relegation odds
Looking bleak for the Blades
It was looking bleak for Sheffield United back in the summer and it arguably looks even worse now. The Blades are bottom of the table with just nine points from 20 games. They are seven points off safety and that’s Everton who are flying even with their points deduction. Take Everton out as they’ve been in good form and United are 10 points off safety already.
A change of manager was needed and Chris Wilder is back to instill some passion at Bramall Lane. United beat relegation rivals Brentford and gained a point at Aston Villa, the first team to do so. However, since then they’ve imploded and lost to Luton at home as well as on the road at Man City.
Sheffield United are now almost certain to be relegated and are at odds of 1.04, after we tipped them for the drop at 1.73 at the start of the season. They’ve scored five less goals than any other side and conceded eight more than anyone, including 14 more than any side outside the bottom three. They average just 34.9% possession per game and without any counter-attacking pace, they can’t create chances. Ben Brereton Diaz may well help this but not to the extent that the Blades stay up.
Premier League top scorer odds
Haaland still looks to be the dominant force
Backed at 1.83 and now sitting as low as 1.29, Erling Haaland is honing in on his second golden boot running in the Premier League, as we predicted at the start of the season. Haaland is level with Salah on 14 goals at the top but leads the league in goals per 90 with 0.97 per 90. Haaland’s missed the last five games but no one can keep up with the rate he scores when fit.
Haaland has been dealing with an injury since the defeat away at Aston Villa however he has now resumed training. Whether he plays this week is still to be seen but his return isn’t too far away. With his closest two competitors and three of his closest five at AFCON or the Asian Cup, Haaland’s return could see him gain ground.
In his 15 starts, Haaland has averaged 3.36 shots per game, hitting the target with 55.6% of these. He’s had a shot in every game bar one and has scored in 60% of PL fixtures. When the big Norwegian is back, no one will catch him without injury playing a further role.
⚽ Erling Haaland Top Scorer
Salah looking the most likely of anyone to dethrone Haaland
With Haaland being a robot, it was difficult to see anyone else beating him to the award. Mohamed Salah was exceptionally priced if Haaland did pick up injury and from 10.0 he has now dropped to odds of 4.33. We can expect these odds to drop more and more if Haaland continues to miss time as betting markets have already adjusted for Salah’s potentially lengthy absence at AFCON.
Seeing Salah up at 10’s surprised us with the expected breakout of Darwin Nunez supposedly limiting Salah’s chances. However, Nunez’s inconsistency coupled with Salah’s world-class nature has seen the Egyptian be the focal point yet again. Salah has 14 goals and eight assists in 20 games, the most goal contributions in the league. He also leads the league in shots.
Salah and Haaland are two clear of nearest competitors Heung-min Son and Dominic Solanke. With Son at the Asian Cup he won’t make up ground and Haaland possibly injured for a few more games, Salah’s AFCON absence might not harm his chances as much as expected.
⚽ Mo Salah Top Scorer
Ollie Watkins is another outside shout from the Villans
Ollie Watkins is the best example of a new manager getting the best out of his striker and bolstering the team’s performances. Villa are flying and so is Ollie Watkins with 17 goal contributions already. Annoyingly, Watkins leads the league in assists but he is also seventh for top goal scorer and only five off the lead.
Watkins was tipped at 34.0 and is now down to 26.0. According to the bookies, he is the fourth-favourite to win top scorer with the three lower-odds players all absent at the moment. With Everton, Newcastle and Sheffield United before AFCON and Asia Cup players return, Watkins could gain serious ground on the leaders and slash these odds significantly.
⚽ Ollie Watkins Top Scorer
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