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Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Tuesday 9 January, 20242 min read
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In this article...

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid

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Kick Off: Wednesday 10th January at 19:00
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Competition: Spanish Super Cup

The first of two Spanish Super Cup semi-finals comes from Saudi Arabia, as Real Madrid look to continue their fine run of form over bitter rivals Atletico. We've not taken our eye off the ball though, with coverage continuing from across European football betting and beyond with our experts supplying the usual range of expert football tips & predictions that you've come to expect.

If you like what you see and want to get involved, check out the various free bet offers and all of the best bookmaker offers so you can be sure you're always getting the very best value for money.

Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid will contest the first of two semi-final matches in the Spanish Super Cup as KSU Stadium in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia takes centre stage for this year's tournament. In terms of qualification, Real Madrid arrive here having won last season's Copa del Rey whereas Atletico Madrid sealed their place having finished third in La Liga, behind the already qualified Barcelona.

Carlo Ancelotti’s side have won this competition on twelve occasions, including twice since it moved to a four-team format in the 2019/2020 season, and there is every reason to suggest they atone for the 3-1 loss against Barcelona in the final last year. Since defeat to Atletico Madrid in late September, Real Madrid have gone on an unbeaten run of nineteen matches and arrive here in great form.

Both Barcelona and Real Madrid have dominated this competition as expected, but Diego Simeone’s side have claimed two titles, back in 1985 and then more recently in 2014. Atletico Madrid will certainly be hoping for a repeat of this season's first El Derbi Madrileño, a game which they comfortably won 3-1, but if they are to make an impression here, they’ll certainly have to address their patchy form of late.

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Cheat Sheet

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⚽ Match stats: Ancelotti on a Real revenge mission

Both of these sides rested key players in their respective Copa del Rey wins at the weekend and should therefore be fresh for this mini-tournament. As such, there could be a fairly open feel to this game with plenty of goals, probably at either end. Interestingly, 50% of the games which these teams have been involved in this season have seen both find the net, and something similar is expected. Since comfortably losing the El Derbi Madrileño, Ancelotti’s side have won sixteen and drawn three of their nineteen matches in all competitions and are firing on all cylinders. They have already secured passage to the Last 16 of the Champions League and the Copa del Rey, where they will again meet Simeone’s side, and it now looks like a two-horse race with Girona for the La Liga title. Atletico Madrid meanwhile have been very hit-and-miss since the derby win, losing three of their last nine matches. Significantly, those three defeats came against Girona, Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao, all of which are key rivals in the race to secure Champions League football next season and it remains to be seen how highly Simeone has this particular competition on his list of priorities.

Predictions:

⚽ Real Madrid to qualify @ 1.50

⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.65

🎯 Shooting stats: Form players to shine on big stage

With this one expected to be an explosive affair, we could see a fair few shots on target for both teams. In fact, these two rank 2nd and 3rd in La Liga in this metric, with Real Madrid amassing 117 and Atletico Madrid having 100 in their nineteen league fixtures, an average of 6.16 and 5.26 per game. Looking at the likely candidates here, the in-form Rodrygo and Alvaro Morata make the most appeal. Following the departure of Karim Benzema in the summer, Rodrygo has really stepped up to the plate and continues to deliver alongside compatriot Vinicius Junior. The Brazilian has now scored eleven in his twenty-six matches this campaign, with six of those coming in his last nine games. Averaging 1.28 shots on target per 90 minutes, he backed to get involved, especially given his form. Atletico Madrid’s talisman is enjoying one of the best goalscoring seasons of his career with a hat trick last time out against Girona taking his tally to seventeen in all competitions. The former Real Madrid player also scored against his old club in the derby and is averaging 1.57 shots on target per 90 minutes in the league this term. Morata’s fancied for a big game and is taken to test the goalkeeper.

Predictions:

⚽ Alvaro Morata to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.40

⚽ Rodrygo to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.33

⛳ Corners stats: Real to rack up corner count

Real Madrid certainly rank highly when it comes to the corner count, something which is a product of their high possession statistics as they average 59.4% of the ball per game (compared to 51.7% for Atletico Madrid). Ancelotti’s side have won a total of 119 corners in their nineteen league matches this season, an average of 6.26 and they are fancied to outperform their opponents in this particular match. Taking Real Madrid to win five or six corners during the course of 90 minutes is more than achievable, especially when you consider that only a stubborn Alaves side have prevented them from reaching at least five during their last eight matches. With the likes of Fran Garcia and Daniel Carvajal overlapping from the full-back areas, the corner count could quickly rack up here and that’s definitely the sensible play. Real Madrid are also taken on the Corner Match Bet market. Their league average of 6.26 is better than their opponents who average an inferior 4.63, which comes as no surprise as they employ a more compact system with minimal width. Furthermore, during the last five head-to-head matches between these sides, Real Madrid have won this particular market in four of those, and that’s a solid selection.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 4.5 Real Madrid corners @ 1.62

⚽ Over 5.5 Real Madrid corners @ 2.20

⚽ Real Madrid corner match bet @ 1.67

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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