🏆 53/1 UEFA Nations League Final Bet Builder Predictions, Tips & Cheat Sheet

Andy Robson
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- UEFA Nations League Final: Croatia v Spain
- UEFA Nations League Final Cheat Sheet
- Form of past Nations League Finals
- 🏆 ABC's 53/1 UEFA Nations League Final bet builder
- 🏆 ABC's 5/1 UEFA Nations League Final bet builder
- Back either of the UEFA Nations League Final bet builders below ⬇️
- Haven't got a Paddy Power account? You're in luck...
UEFA Nations League Final: Croatia v Spain
Watch live: Channel 4
The UEFA Nations League final pits Croatia against Spain on Sunday evening in Rotterdam at the Stadion Feijenoord 'De Kuip'. For Spain, it is a second Nations League final appearance, the only country to boast such a record since the competition began in 2018, and they will be aiming to go one better than 2021, when they were beaten 2-1 by France at the final hurdle.
They will do so against a Croatian side who stunned the home team, The Netherlands, with two goals in extra-time to win 4-2 on Wednesday. Last time they met, a thrilling 5-3 win for Spain saw them progress in Euro 2020, while their two previous Nations League meetings have produced 11 goals between them.
Spain will be under a different coach, Luis de la Fuente, who is already under pressure, and victory in this final could buy him crucial time ahead of European qualifiers. De la Fuente’s side were shocked by a defeat to Scotland in March, but have bounced back with their 2-1 win over Italy in the semi-finals on Thursday.
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UEFA Nations League Final Cheat Sheet

Spain's technical style revolves around ball retention, and their midfield and forward lines are filled with players who keep the ball extremely well under pressure, often drawing fouls. Gavi will almost certainly start, and he will likely be up against Marcelo Brozović during the game.
Gavi draws over 3 fouls per game, whilst Brozović commits over 2, so the Croatian will have his work cut out and backing him for fouls, or to pick up a card, looks like a great option for any UEFA Nations League final bet builder.
As for Croatia, Andrej Kramarić was the one to open the scoring for his team in their semi-final, albeit from the penalty spot. He also opened the scoring in their recent Euros qualifier against Wales and has been averaging 2.35 shots per 90 minutes for Croatia since his two-goal performance against Canada at the World Cup.
Form of past Nations League Finals
When it comes to detecting trends for the Nations League final, there are only two previous finals to look at for this still relatively new competition. The first final was in 2019 and host nation Portugal defeated Netherlands 1-0, before France overcame Spain 2-1 in Milan in 2021.
The first final was a very scrappy occasion, and Portugal secured victory in a game in which they had 0.7 xG and Netherlands had 0.26 xG. In the second final, France posted 1.0 xG and Spain 0.7 xG in that game of three goals.
What’s interesting is that, as a whole, the Nations League Final Four does tend to produce goals. Looking at all the Nations League semi-final and final matches held so far, seven out of eight of them have seen both teams score.
The only Nations League semi-final or final to produce a clean sheet so far was that Portugal vs Netherlands final from 2019, a game characterised by the conservative approaches of Fernando Santos and Ronald Koeman.
Overall, Nations League Final Four games, not including the third-placed playoff, have produced 3.35 goals per 90 minutes, with 29 goals having been scored across eight matches, two of which went to extra time, including Croatia’s 4-2 after extra time win over the Netherlands on Wednesday.
It seems the players are approaching the Nations League matches in a more carefree way, willing to take more chances in attack and remaining less disciplined in defence, something we clearly saw in the two midweek semi-finals.
As former Spain coach Luis Enrique famously said after the last edition: “I felt less pressure in the Nations League Final Four, which was like a bonus for the players.” If that’s the approach of the Spain and the Croatia players on Sunday night, we could see many goals.
🏆 ABC's 53/1 UEFA Nations League Final bet builder
For this UEFA Nations League final, we’ll be backing a high odds Croatia vs Spain bet builder on Paddy Power, where you can take advantage of the 53/1 bet builder odds our scout has put together ahead of Sunday night’s big game.
⚽ Over 3.5 goals
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⚽ Both teams to score
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🛑 Domagoj Vida to commit 2+ fouls
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🎯 Gavi to have 2+ shots on target
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🏆 ABC's 5/1 UEFA Nations League Final bet builder
For those wanting to have a more cautious approach, we also are supplying readers with this 5/1 UEFA Nations League Final bet builder which will increase your chances of leaving the day in profit.
✅ Spain to win
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🎯 Joselu to have 2+ shots on target
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🛑 Gavi to commit 2+ fouls
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