Facundo Buonanotte is priced at 1.83 on Paddy Power to have one or more shots on target for Leicester against Nottingham Forest on Friday, implying that there is around a 55% chance of this happening. The Argentine is more typically priced 1.67 at Sky Bet.

Buonanotte’s price looks big given that he has had more shots on target for Leicester (five) than any other player this season and he has been central to the Foxes’ mini-revival in the last couple of games that have seen them with two on the bounce.

The 19-year-old has had a shot on target in each of the four games he has played since returning as a starter in the middle of September for the EFL Cup win over Walsall, even mustering a couple in the 3-2 success over Bournemouth prior to the international break.

Confidence will be high. He has scored in each of Leicester’s last two matches, while the volume of shots he is getting away – 15 in the last four games – suggests that he is not shy about trying his luck on a high volume of occasions, naturally increasing his chances of hitting the target.

Forest may have a stern defence, giving up a comparative low 3.88 shots on target per match, but forced to turnaround quickly from Monday’s win over Crystal Palace, it would be understandable if they were not as solid as usual.