Brian Robinson is coming off a fantastic showing after taking care of business in a blowout against the Titans. He was dealing with some injuries before that, but looked healthy and now had a full bye-week to rest. He recorded 16 carries for 103 yards and a touchdown against the Titans’ solid defence. They now get a depleted Saints team, as -7.5 point favourites. This means the game script should be perfect for Washington taking the lead and controlling the game on the ground.

The loss of Austin Ekeler is also huge for Robinson’s workload. He averaged over 12 touches per game and they really don’t have a backup to replace him, meaning that volume is going towards Robinson. We saw Chris Rodriguez come in and get 13 carries, but that was fully because of the crazy blowout. The Titans got dominated with time of possession after multiple turnovers, and Washington rested starters at the end.

Another huge blow to this Washington receiver room is the loss of Noah Brown, who has been ruled out for this week and likely the season. While Terry McLaurin is the most notable player on the offence, Brown operated as the number one target over the last 5 games. Washington was already criticised for the lack of depth in their wide receiver room, and will need to turn to guys like Dyami Brown and rookie Luke McCaffery for help. With Daniels and Robinson at the helm, this was already a run heavy team and should continue to be one.

The rookie running back has shown off his chops as an explosive playmaker on the ground this season, but we are starting to see some of Tracy’s full skillset unleashed. The crazy thing is Tracy actually has only been playing the receiver position full-time for one year, converting from a receiver in his final season of college. Knowing he has the ability to run routes and make plays in space is huge. Tracy has now gone for 25+ yards in three straight games, coming off his highest usage game of his career.

We actually cashed on a Tracy under a couple weeks ago because the Giants were splitting his usage, but with the season officially in tank mode it makes perfect sense to give the young players bigger roles. Everyone already knows what Devin Singletary looks like as a full time back, but getting Tracy more usage can help plan out your future better. Last game Tracy played 83% of snaps, which ranks 3rd on the team.

While the Ravens run defence has been fantastic, they have given up plenty of receiving yards to RB’s. They currently rank 3rd worst, allowing an average of 42 RB receiving yards per game. With the Ravens favoured by 16-points, it’s likely the Giants will be forced to drop back and pass for most of this game. With their terrible quarterback play, I’m imagining we are going to be seeing plenty of checkdowns.

I honestly went back and forth between Ford’s rushing and receiving props, considering I think he’s in store for a good workload this week, but settled on his rushing line. While every Cleveland newspaper can write about the positive vibes around Nick Chubb, he still simply isn’t that same RB1 with an insane workload anymore. They are constantly taking him out for drives and giving Ford more opportunities, but I don’t think the books have fully priced that in thanks to the name value of Chubb.

I think The Browns will have a real tough time against a top ranked Chiefs rush defence. We already know Winston likes to drop back, but he may be down a couple of his favourite targets. David Njoku is not going to play this weekend, and it looks like WR2 Cedric Tillman may be joining him. Jerry Jeudy has been an absolutely dangerous weapon since Jameis Winston took over, but I think this could be a down week for him. The Chiefs play the most press coverage in the NFL, which Jeudy see’s big dips in efficiency against.

Ford has exceeded this line in his last 2 matches (v Pittsburgh and Denver), and looks good to do so again here.

Dalton Schultz has been a little inconsistent this season, but coming off the bye week, I have high expectations. This Texans team has an opportunity to make a real run in the postseason, but the offense coordination needs to be figured out. This team simply relies too much on Joe Mixon, and while I don’t see that changing, they should be well prepared to take advantage of Miami’s defensive weaknesses.

While the Dolphins are strong against opposing running backs, they struggle more in the receiving game. When you look a bit closer, it’s mostly over the middle, with TE’s being huge beneficiaries there. The Dolphins are currently 23rd in TE DVOA and are allowing 56 yards to the position.

In two of his last three games we’ve seen Schultz targeted 7 times each. While his usage downfield can be tricky, he does have the ability to pile up a bunch of short yardage targets. A huge part of improving this offense will be getting the ball out quickly, as Stroud’s numbers take a huge hit under pressure.

The TE’s is a QB’s best friend, and I expect Schultz to continue to operate as a safety blanket for his quarterback. This is one of the best matchups possible for the position, and I think we see an impressive performance from the Texans in a very important regular season game.