Chris Wood has been the focal point of Nottingham Forest’s attack, netting 13 goals this season. His efficiency in front of goal and Forest’s ability to create chances against weaker opponents make this a compelling pick.

Facing a Southampton side that concedes an average of 2 goals per game away from home and struggle to contain aerial threats, Wood is primed to exploit their vulnerabilities. He’s had at least 1 shot on target in 8 of his last 9 starts, and this matchup against the league’s worst defence boosts the likelihood of him registering multiple attempts on target.

Forest’s midfield enforcer, Ryan Yates, embodies a combative style that often puts him on the referee’s radar. Averaging 1.9 fouls per game, he has committed multiple fouls in 7 of his last 10 starts.

Southampton averaging 13.45 fouls drawn per away game further enhances this selection. With Forest expected to dominate possession, Yates’ role in breaking up potential counter-attacks will likely see him foul multiple times.

Morgan Gibbs-White combines creativity with an aggressive edge, averaging 1.41 fouls per game. His willingness to press high and challenge for the ball has seen him commit fouls in 5 of his last 6 games.

Southampton’s young talent Tyler Dibling has emerged as a rare bright spot in their dismal season.

Averaging 1.29 shots per game, he has registered 2 or more attempts in his last 4 matches. Despite Southampton’s struggles, their desperation to avoid relegation ensures the increased likelihood that Dibling will create opportunities to test Forest’s defence, making this selection logical.

Building on the rationale for his shot volume, Dibling’s accuracy in recent matches strengthens this selection. He has hit the target in 3 of his last 4 games and managed multiple shots on target in 2 of them. Facing a Forest side likely to dominate, Dibling’s attempts from distance or during counter-attacks could easily test the goalkeeper.

Southampton’s disciplinary issues make this a standout pick. Averaging 2.9 yellow cards per game, rising to 3.27 in away fixtures, they lead the league in this statistic.

Nottingham Forest’s ability to pressure opponents at the City Ground has forced visiting teams into frustration and reckless challenges, with 7 of Forest’s 10 home opponents seeing 3 or more cards.

Dibling’s flair and direct running make him a magnet for fouls. Averaging close to 2 fouls drawn per game, he remains Southampton’s most fouled player.

Facing a Forest defence and midfield unit that has committed 13 fouls in their last 3 games, Dibling’s agility and willingness to take on defenders could easily see him draw at least 2 free kicks.

Morgan Gibbs-White remains a dual threat, both as a goalscorer and a feisty competitor.

With 4 goals and 7 yellow cards this season, he frequently impacts games on the scoresheet or the referee’s book. His attacking involvement makes him a goalscoring threat, particularly against a leaky Southampton defence. Simultaneously, his aggressive pressing and physical play increase the chances of a booking.