Patrick Dorgu to commit 2+ fouls is priced at 2.70 with Paddy Power, offering significant value over odds as low as 1.20 with William Hill, with the latter’s price implying an 83.3% probability the bet lands.

In comparison, Paddy Power’s implied probability of 37% appears to undervalue the likelihood of this occurrence, with the additional benefit of Super Sub.

Despite his limited experience, the 20-year-old has already demonstrated an aggressive playing style, fouling with regularity:

• Averaging 2.1 fouls per 90 minutes
• Committing at least one foul in all four of his Man Utd appearances
  2+ fouls in two of those matches

Likely to start in an attacking left wing back role, Dorgu will be tasked with defending Real Sociedad’s dynamic right-hand side, which has been particularly effective at drawing fouls:

• Takefusa Kubo (RM): Has won 2.18 fouls per 90 this season (1.33 in Europa League)
• Jon Aramburu (RB): Has won 1.59 fouls per 90 this season (3.02 in Europa League)

This will also be the youngster’s first taste of European action and his overzealous nature, combined with a potential lack of composure on the big stage, could result in fouls committed.

2.70 represents excellent value, particularly given William Hill’s significantly lower odds.