🎩 Back Andy’s 4/1 Saturday Accumulator with Paddy Power below
🏴 Over 1.5 Goals in Watford v Norwich
🏴 Leeds to Win & Over 1.5 Goals (v Cardiff)
🏴 Birmingham to Win (v Rotherham)
🏴 Peterhead to Win (v Forfar)
Watford v Norwich
Watford have scored in their last 12 matches in all competitions, which is a great record for a team that is apparently in crisis and sliding away from the play-off places. All of which indicates that Watford also concede a lot of goals, which is indeed the case, 11 of the 12 matches in which Watford have scored since the 0-0 with QPR in November, were BTTS Yes matches.
Alongside the most BTTS team in the Championship, we have Norwich, who, under Johannes Hoff Thorup, have a very goals-first mentality.
The Canaries are getting back towards full strength, and the major return of the Sargent is a big plus in the potential goals column. Josh Sargent scored twice in a big 5-1 win last weekend, which were the first goals that Norwich had scored in three matches.
They are in the top six for almost all of the attacking metrics though. Second for goals scored, fourth for attacking xG, sixth for shots on target, and third for big chances missed, a stat which could be helped by Sargent’s return.
The good news for this bet is that Norwich are also poor at the back. They have kept only 4 clean sheets in the league all season, the 3rd worst record, and they are 18th for goals conceded.
Seven of Norwich’s last nine Championship matches have finished BTTS, and combining that with Watford’s record as mentioned above, suggests that this price looks good for both teams scoring here.
Leeds v Cardiff
Leeds continue to be one of the safest bets in the Championship when they play at Elland Road.
Monday night’s promotion clash at Burnley was a total snooze-fest but it kept the chasing pack at arm’s length, and the Whites know that if they keep up their home record their chances of Premier League football next season look very strong.
To dig into that form a little bit more, they have won 12 out of their 15 home matches, losing only once, scoring 35 goals and conceding 7. In those 15 matches, not once have they allowed the opposition to even create 1 xG in the 90 minutes, which is an incredible record.
This bet would have collected in all 12 of Leeds’ home wins, which is 80% of all home matches.
Cardiff have shown signs of improvement of late. They are unbeaten in eight matches in all competitions and are up to 18th in the table. However, they lost 0-2 to Leeds at home earlier in the league, and they have still only won once away from home all campaign.
Despite investing in Yousef Salech and Sivert Mannsverk, it is still a very tough ask to go to Leeds and create much, as was mentioned above. However, Cardiff do pose a big set piece threat, having scored eight times from set pieces this season, and they have increased their height with the signing of Salech in particular.
The Bluebirds have scored in their last nine matches in all competitions, so they could contribute to the over 1.5 goal line, avoiding a potential 1-0 Leeds win, which is the only way that Leeds could win and the bet fails.
There are still only three points between Leeds and the third-placed team, Burnley, so they know that the pressure needs to continue to be applied by Daniel Farke’s men.
Birmingham v Rotherham
Rotherham are in their best run of form all season having lost only 1 of their previous 8 in all competitions. However, there is still a major nagging doubt regarding their away record.
Yes, they did defeat Lincoln 1-0 on the road in that run, but they also lost 4-2 to relegation-threatened Burton Albion on their most recent away assignment, too. It has been a problem for a few seasons now and a sheer lack of away victories over this time places big doubts on them causing a big shock travelling to top of the table Birmingham.
The Millers are the second-lowest away scorers in the division, with their away return itself ranked 20th out of 24.
Speaking of Birmingham, they are just going from strength to strength right now. The Blues extended their unbeaten run in all competitions to 16, of which 13 have been wins, when winning 1-0 away at promotion rivals Huddersfield in midweek.
It was also yet another clean sheet for Chris Davies’ side, their 7th in their last 11 contests. This team has also achieved 7 clean sheets over their last 10 at home in all competitions. They also occupy the only remaining unbeaten home record in League One.
Davies is relentless in his demands of his players and will ensure they don’t suddenly rest on their laurels now they are a few points clear at the top of the table with a few games in hand.
Peterhead v Forfar
Peterhead are an excellent price to continue their excellent home form and ramp the misery up on a struggling Forfar side when they visit Balmoor on Saturday.
The hosts come into this game with one of the best home records in the league. They have picked up 8 wins from 11 matches, with victories in 4 successive games in front of their home support. During this run, they have only conceded 1 goal.
Peterhead have no notable selection concerns save the long-term absence of Ben Armour due to a persistent ankle problem.
By contrast, Forfar have been abysmal on the road. The Loons have suffered 8 defeats from their 9 away matches while they have scored a feeble 5 goals on their travels. They come into this match off the back of a defeat at home to Stranraer last weekend that leaves them 6 points adrift at the foot of the table and currently on a 7-match winless streak.
Peterhead, who have notably bolstered their squad this month with a couple of impressive additions, won the fixture 2-1 when the sides met at this venue in August, and their strength at home is likely to be telling once again.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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