Accrington Stanley v Cheltenham Town
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Saturday 2nd April – 3:00PM KO
We are entering a difficult period of the season where player motivation can be hard to quantify with teams knowing they will be in League One next season. That is the case as Accrington Stanley host Cheltenham Town at the weekend, but a top half finish is still up for grabs.
The Robins are sitting 12th while Stanley occupy 13th, but would leapfrog the visitors in victory on Saturday. Both teams have got on the scoresheet in eight of Stanley’s last nine home games and they rank 19th for season-long expected goals (xG) against, as per Wyscout. Cheltenham have seen over 2.5 goals in six of their last seven, with the exception to that rule seeing two goals involved, they have also scored in six of seven.
Alfie May is on fire for the visitors and will fancy his chances of hitting 25 league goals before the campaign is out, it may be tricky for Michael Duff to keep him in the summer. Stanley have scored in all of their last ten home games and will be hoping to make up for their 2-1 loss to Gillingham last time out, where the scoreline did not reflect a solid performance.
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Prediction: Both Teams to Score, 1.73 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Ipswich Town v Cambridge United
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Saturday 2nd April – 3:00PM KO
Ipswich Town have kept nine clean sheets in their last 11 games, only conceding twice in that run. They have kept six clean sheets in a row at home as Christian Walton continues to demonstrate why he is too good for the level. Cambridge United were winless in four without scoring, before they got the better of lowly AFC Wimbledon last time out to a 1-0 scoreline, and Mark Bonner’s have been far more leaky defensively since building an unassailable cushion on the relegation zone.
Liam O’Neil and Jack Iredale are doubts for the visitors who will be hoping to perform better than fourth placed Plymouth Argyle did at Portman Road last weekend. A 1-0 defeat flattered the Pilgrims as they only mustered four shots, none on target, and just one from inside the box, which was blocked, against an imperious Ipswich side.
The Tractor Boys are firing on all cylinders and it would not be a surprise at all for this game to be over by half time. Cambridge have enjoyed an excellent first season in the third tier, but they may have their work cut out in Suffolk this weekend.
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Prediction: Ipswich to Win, 1.40 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Milton Keynes Dons v Shrewsbury Town
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Saturday 2nd April – 3:00PM KO
MK Dons have been on an outstanding run in League One to give themselves an outside chance of automatic promotion heading into the final stretch. However, looking at the data it has not been entirely sustainable, the rate they have been scoring and conceding considering the chances they are creating and conceding. Liam Manning’s men take on in-form Shrewsbury Town this weekend, who have kept six clean sheets in their last seven, rank eighth for season-long xGA. The Dons are fourth, and they still have a top half finish to play for when they arrive at Stadium MK.
The Dons are the better side there is no doubt about that and the table speaks for itself in that regard, but the defensively sound Shrews will not go down easily and could stand firm for extended periods. MK Dons have seen under 2.5 goals in 13 of 18, and they may have difficulty breaking down the Shrews who are extremely well drilled out of possession by Steve Cotterill.
The Shrews too have been overperforming in front of goal of late and regression in both sides’ offensive play could take place in the same match.
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Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals, 1.60 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Sheffield Wednesday v AFC Wimbledon
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Saturday 2nd April – 3:00PM KO
Mark Bowen has one of the most unfavourable opening games as AFC Wimbledon manager, taking the Dons to Sheffield Wednesday without a win in their last 20 third tier outings. The Owls on the other hand have been sensational since the turn of the year and the market is starting to show them the respect they deserve in pricing this one.
Wednesday have won nine, drawn one and lost one in their last 11 matches at home. They have a long injury list but a deep squad to deal with the absences of Josh Windass, Liam Palmer, Tyreece John-Jules, Lewis Gibson, Dennis Adeniran and Olamide Shodipo. Lee Gregory has had a great impact on his return from injury in recent weeks and edged the Owls in front with a sublime finish in a 4-1 win, that we were on, against Cheltenham Town last weekend.
George Byers, Barry Bannan and Massimo Luongo should be able to establish control once again at Hillsborough against a very low on confidence Wimbledon side. The pressure is on Wednesday to take maximum points to keep Sunderland and Wycombe Wanderers at bay, now finally inside the top six.
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Prediction: Sheffield Wednesday to Win, 1.40 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Plymouth Argyle v Oxford United
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Saturday 2nd April – 3:00PM KO
Fourth host fifth in one of the biggest games in the third tier this weekend. Plymouth Argyle’s six match win streak ended abruptly at Ipswich Town last weekend but the Pilgrims are still well placed to hold onto their play-off place.
Steven Schumacher’s men will face five of the current top eight in their last six fixtures but already have a sizeable cushion inside the play-offs. Ryan Hardie is sidelined and James Bolton could also miss out to give Karl Robinson’s Oxford United a boost. James Henry and Elliott Moore are poised for a return for the visitors and both teams to score has cropped up in the Yellows’ last five.
Oxford have scored in 12 of 13, and attack is the best form of defence for Robinson’s side, seeing a lot of thoroughly entertaining matches play out this term. Oxford have the joint worst defence in the top 11 and Argyle have scored in 18 of 21. Even in Hardie’s absence the hosts should be confident of breaching the Oxford rearguard.
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Prediction: Both Teams to Score, 1.57 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
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