Manchester United v Leicester Cheat Sheet
Manchester United v Leicester
Sunday afternoon sees Leicester travel to Old Trafford to face off with high-flying Manchester United. The home side are flying and have only lost one game since early November – a 3-2 loss at Arsenal. They come into this one on the back of a creditable 2-2 draw out in Spain in the Europa League and they will feel confident that from here, they can win the tie against Barcelona. The visitors have had a rollercoaster of a season, starting slowly, finding form before another run of poor results following the World Cup. However, they are on the back of three consecutive wins in all competitions and have scored four goals in each of their last two league games. Last time out they beat Spurs 4-1.
Manchester United have been flying since a humiliating loss to Manchester City at the start of October and they have lost just two games since. Their only league loss at home remains their opening match at home to Brighton and they have an outside shot at winning the league title, being five points behind Manchester City and Arsenal coming into this round of fixtures – meaning that Erik Ten Hag could still win four trophies in his first season as Red Devils’ manager having reached the EFL Cup final and still in both the FA Cup and Europa League. Their match in midweek was their 16th game since the World Cup and they have won an incredible 12 of these – suffering just one defeat. A big part of that is Marcus Rashford who has scored a phenomenal 14 goals with four assists in that time and having a goal contribution in 14 of the 16 games in all.
However, they will be without Casemiro who is serving his third game on the sidelines having been sent off against Crystal Palace although he will be back for the EFL Cup final next weekend. Antony and Anthony Martial will also miss out, along with long-term absentees Christian Eriksen and Donny van de Beek. Scott McTominay is a doubt here.
Leicester were struggling after the World Cup break, with their only wins in the first eight coming against MK Dons and Gillingham in the domestic cups and just picking up just one league point, but they have since won 3 matches on the bounce. Whilst it was only 1-0 against Walsall in the cup, they had 28 shots and 75% of the ball and this attacking threat has been shown in the two games since – scoring four goals at Aston Villa and then at home to Spurs in successive weeks. Those two results have taken some pressure off boss Brendan Rodgers but they still remain just six points above the drop zone despite being in 13th and they have not kept a clean sheet since the World Cup. A win here would be the first time the Foxes have won three consecutive league matches in over two years. They will be delighted to welcome back Youri Tielemans and Boubakary Soumare but Jonny Evans is not available yet. James Justin and Ryan Bertrand remain long term absentees.
Manchester United have been flying since the break and have seen plenty of goals. They have scored at least two in 14 of their games and in each of their last eight. A big part of that has been Rashford and his incredible run of form but others have contributed too. At home, they have scored at least two in every match since October (11 games) and have won all but one of those. There have been three or more goals in nine of those games too. Defensively, they are slightly more vulnerable here without Casemiro and they have conceded plenty of goals in the games where he has not been involved – two here against Leeds last time out and six across their opening two matches to Brighton and Brentford. Across the season, league games at Old Traffod have seen three or more goals in 73% of matches and in each of the last five such matches.
Leicester have been much improved in recent weeks, but the fact still remains that they are yet to keep a league clean sheet since the World Cup – seven matches. In those games, there have been three or more goals in five of them and they have conceded at least two goals in six. Across the season, they have seen three or more goals in 64% of their matches, which rises to 73% away from the King Power Stadium. They have scored at least two goals in half of their away matches and conceded at least two in over half (57%) of them, showing that Leicester games always tend to have goals. There is more optimism around the Leicester team than there was a few weeks ago as a result of back-to-back wins and since they are struggling at the back and thriving going forward, they will likely try to take the game to Manchester United and try to outscore them. They are yet to draw a game away from home this season showing their emphasis to try to attack teams and force a result one way or another. Their total of 46 goals in 11 away matches is the highest of any team in the division with Bournemouth (41) being the closest to that margin.
Kelechi Iheanacho has never made a full impact on Brendan Rodgers at Leicester despite having a decent goal record. He is now in his sixth season with the club and has started just 60 league games for them, scoring 28 goals in that time, at an average of a goal every 210 minutes. In three of his six seasons, he has averaged over one shot on target per 90 minutes and this season he is averaging 1.22. In all competitions for Leicester this season he has had five starts and has had 19 shots in those games, with six of those on target. He has also scored in each of his last four starts and has three in three across all appearances – with ten shots (six on target) in those games). Against the red devils, the former Manchester City forward hit one shot in his 15-minute cameo earlier in the season, and has had at least one shot on target in each of his last five appearances against them across the last three seasons before that (scoring three times).
Harvey Barnes has been impressive this season and has been a big part of their attacking threat. He has scored eight goals – one off of his highest return in a league campaign 0 and has had one assist. He is also averaging 2.49 shots per 90 and has had 23 shots on target. The winger has had at least one shot in all but one of his 25 starts in all competitions this season, having at least two on 19 different occasions – including in four of his last five. This season, against the traditional “big six” sides, he has played six times, amassing 16 shots with seven on target, including two shots against Manchester United earlier in the season. With Leicester, he has only started once at Old Trafford which was last season where he managed six shots. Given that Leicester will want to attack, the Englishman should be a big part of that.
Manchester United average 6.13 corners per game at home this season, having at least five in 87% of those games and at least six in 60% of them. They also don’t concede too many, averaging 3.53 corners against per game at home. In only one third of their home matches have the opposition had five or more corners and in 27% of matches, the visitors to Old Trafford have had less than two corners. Since the World Cup, Manchester United have played ten home games, having the most corners in seven of those games – the exceptions being Crystal Palace (5-5), Manchester City (1-2) and Nottingham Forest (9-9).
Leicester average 4.43 corners per game away from the King Power Stadium but also concede six per match. They have had six or more corners in 29% of matches but have conceded six or more in over half (57%) of their games. They have also conceded eight or more in 36% of their games. Since the World Cup, Leicester have played four away games against Premier League opposition, conceding an enormous 30 corners, and having just 17.
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