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Both Liverpool and Aston Villa have plenty to play for with two games remaining in their season, which makes for an intriguing contest between both teams at Villa Park this weekend.
Villa can move ahead of Arne Slot's team with a win, which could prove pivotal in the race for a top-four finish in the Premier League.
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Aston Villa v Liverpool Match Preview
Aston Villa could move ahead of Liverpool in the race for a top-four finish in the Premier League on Friday evening, as the two teams face off at Villa Park.
Unai Emery's side haven't been at their best in the last month, and will be eager to get back to winning ways, after a frustrating draw with already-relegated Burnley last time out.
Liverpool have endured a frustrating league campaign to date, and there's growing pressure on Arne Slot as a result of that.
The Reds are without some key players, which includes Mo Salah and Hugo Ekitike, whilst Ibrahima Konate remains a doubt heading into the clash with Villa.
How to Get Your Free Bets on Aston Villa v Liverpool
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Both Teams to Score @ 1.44
I think Friday night’s clash at Villa Park has all the makings of an entertaining encounter. Both sides will likely be going all out to secure three points that would significantly boost their Champions League qualification hopes, so that should lend itself to an open contest.
Moreover, BTTS has been a running theme in Aston Villa’s Premier League matches of late, with each team finding the net in 7 of their previous 11 top-flight fixtures, the most recent being last Sunday’s 2-2 draw with Burnley. What’s more, there have been goals at both ends in 4 of the hosts’ last 5 league games at Villa Park.
As for Liverpool, they are among the highest-ranked sides in the Premier League for BTTS this season, with both teams scoring in 24 of their 36 matches. Even more encouraging is the fact that each team has obliged in the Reds’ last 4 top-flight assignments away from Anfield.
Over 1.5 Liverpool Cards @ 1.50
I’m keen to back Liverpool to collect at least 2 cards on Friday night. Aston Villa have proven to be one of the most effective teams in the Premier League this season when it comes to forcing cards from their opponents. That is underlined by the fact that Unai Emery’s side are drawing a league-high average of 2.44 yellow cards from their top-flight foes this term.
Looking more closely at Aston Villa’s home games in the Premier League this season, a sizeable 15 of the 18 sides to visit Villa Park have picked up a minimum of 2 cards.
Now set to come up against Liverpool on Friday night, I think there is plenty of scope for that trend to continue. The Reds are receiving an average of 1.89 yellow cards per game when on their Premier League travels this season, racking up a combined total of 7 bookings across their last 3 away days. It is also worth noting that Arne Slot’s side were shown 2 yellow cards against Aston Villa in this season’s reverse fixture.
Matty Cash To Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.40
Matty Cash is one of my go-to Aston Villa players in the foul markets, and it’s easy to see why. The Villa right-back plays with an aggressive edge and plenty of intensity, traits that often see him fall foul of referees.
That is reflected in his numbers, with Cash committing an average of 1.25 fouls per game in the Premier League this season. Digging deeper into the data, it can be seen that the Villa defender has been penalised in 11 of his last 13 top-flight appearances, including last week’s 2-2 draw with Burnley. It is also worth pointing out that Cash gave away 1 free-kick in both legs of Aston Villa’s recent Europa League semi-final tie with Nottingham Forest.
The prospect of Alexander Isak returning to Liverpool’s starting XI on Friday night could also work in our favour here, as it would likely allow Cody Gakpo to move back into a left-sided attacking role. That only strengthens the case for Cash to commit at least one foul, given that Gakpo is drawing an average of 1.47 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season.
Matty Cash To Be Fouled 1+ Time @ 1.62
While the aforementioned Matty Cash has a habit of giving away free-kicks, he is also effective at winning them for his own side. The Poland international is drawing an average of 0.94 fouls per game in the Premier League this season, having been brought down at least once in 6 of his last 9 starts.
That trend has also carried over into Europe, with Cash being fouled in 6 of his last 7 Europa League appearances, including each of his previous 4 outings on the continent.
As already touched upon, Cash could be involved in a direct duel with Cody Gakpo on Friday night. The Dutch attacker has built something of a reputation for conceding cheap free-kicks this season, with an average of 1.47 fouls per game in the Premier League, which only adds weight to this selection. Cash could also cross paths with Milos Kerkez, who commits an average of 0.92 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this term.
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