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Tuesday’s EFL Accumulator Tips
Burnley’s incredible defensive record this season surely needs no introduction by now, but let’s run through those impressive numbers nevertheless.
They have conceded just 9 (NINE!) goals in 34 league games, 5 in 17 away from home. The Clarets are currently on a run of 12 league games without conceding a goal, having played all of the other teams in the top 4 during that run.
Cardiff have actually scored in their last 6 home games in a row, so this would go against the grain a little, but if we look at their games against the other teams inside the top 4, who have pulled a good distance away from the rest of the division, they failed to score in their home games against Leeds, Sheffield United and Sunderland.
Looking through the Bluebirds’ home results, there are 2 outliers where they scored 5 at home to Plymouth and 3 at home to Swansea, which account for 40% of their 20 home goals this season. That means they have scored just 12 goals over the other 15 games.
Blackpool are an interesting case this season, with a bizarre home record undermining their ability to push for a play-off spot. 10 of their 15 home games have ended in a draw, their fans being treated to just 3 victories all season, all coming against teams currently in the bottom 6 of the table.
Both teams have scored in 10 of their 15 home games, including 5 of their last 6 games. They’re 12 points from the play-offs and 11 from relegation, so ironically the Seasiders are probably on the beach, which means they’ll possibly play with more freedom and their games may be more open as a result.
Only Wycombe Wanderers’ games have seen more goals per game on the road than Peterborough’s this season, at an average of 3.25 per game. Both teams have scored in 12 of their 16 away league games.
After crucial back-to-back wins last week, Posh have put 4 points between themselves and the relegation zone, but they’re far from safe, and will see this game as an opportunity to pick up at least a point towards their survival bid.
Like Blackpool, Bromley are another side who, but for their home form, would probably be sitting in the play-offs at the moment. They’re 20th in the home table, averaging just 1.2 per game at Hayes Lane.
And whilst Bromley are 4th in the away table, their opponents on Tuesday night Doncaster are 1st, with 3 points more than The Ravens. Each side is on the same number of home games in Bromley’s case, and away games in Doncaster’s, with 17 played, and both teams scoring in 10 of 17.
Both teams have scored in 5 out of Doncaster’s last 6 away games, with Rovers scoring in all 6, and only keeping 2 clean sheets in their last 10 on the road.
Bromley have tightened things up of late, with both teams scoring in just 1 of their last 6 games, but we think this game will see things loosen up again, Doncaster having scored in the first half of their last 6 away games, meaning Bromley would have plenty of time to respond.
Ian Holloway has transformed Swindon since taking the reins in late October, at a time when the club looked to be in freefall. They were 22nd in the table with just 11 points from 13 games. They are now sitting comfortably away from the relegation zone in 14th place, picking up 1.6 points per game since Holloway’s arrival.
In those 21 games, both teams to score has landed 13 times, and in 7 out of 10 home games, in which they have scored in 9 of them.
After a brilliant run where Salford won 7 out of 8 games throughout December and into early January, they’re now experiencing a poor one, with just 1 win in 9 games since they were thumped 8-0 by Manchester City in the FA Cup.
Both teams have scored in 6 of those 9 games. Salford have kept just 1 clean sheet in that time, so up against a team that almost always scores at home, we should be in for a high scoring game here.
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