Bolton are underperforming pre-season expectations, currently sat in 12th having drawn five of their six League One games so far. However, the underlying data suggests that before long, a run of wins is on the way. They’ve taken 26 more shots than any other team in the division, and conceded the least by 15 shots as well, so they’re clearly effective at both ends of the pitch.

They’ve won the xG battle in six of their eight league games so far, and such dominance will be rewarded with victories soon enough. 

Wigan are flying high in 8th, however, two of their three victories have come against two of the division’s weakest teams in Northampton and Peterborough. They were excellent in seeing off Doncaster 3-0 last weekend, but Steven Schumacher’s Trotters are a different prospect, especially at home. Wigan have only won six of their last 27 trips on the road, and this local derby could be the perfect occasion for Bolton’s results to start matching their performances.

Barnsley games under Conor Hourihane continue to be chaotic, with nine of his 13 games in charge across all competitions seeing three or more goals. Those matches have averaged 3.69 goals with both teams scoring in 11 of them. This bet would have landed in each of their last three games, and given that it’s an approach that has led them to 3rd place in the table, Hourihane is unlikely to change too much tactically.

Blackpool’s games this season have seen an average of three goals, and matches at Bloomfield Road have been particularly open, seeing 3.6 goals per game. Both teams have scored in all of their league games as hosts, and two of those have ended 3-2. This bet would have landed in both meetings last season, and with Blackpool desperate for three points and attacking Tykes visiting, everything points towards goals in this game.

Pre-season title favourites MK Dons are far from having it all their own way in League Two so far this season, winning just one of their last five games. Three of those games were against sides positioned 4th, 5th and 6th in the table, and they only lost one of the three, so it’s not quite as bad as it sounds, and the underlying numbers are still projecting them as a top six side, with plenty of new players still settling in.

Accrington have picked up six points from seven games so far, with their first and only win coming last weekend against Colchester United. Despite that win, Accrington’s xG data ranks them as the 2nd worst side in the division, just ahead of Cheltenham, who actually beat Stanley 1-0 the week before last.

MK Dons, with the players available to them, the likes of Nathaniel Mendez-Laing and Callum Paterson, should prove too strong for Accrington on Saturday.

This game looks perfect for a BTTS bet. The two sides sit at the top of the both teams to score table with an identical record, the bet has landed in six of eight for both sides.

Salford have only been prevented from scoring in the league so far by Walsall, who have conceded just five goals, which is the joint-best record in League Two. Karl Robinson’s Ammies have managed to keep opponents from scoring just once, against Newport County, who are 22nd in the table.

Swindon have the same record, having failed to score only once against Barnet, in a game where their main striker Harry Smith was forced off with a season-ending injury. Their clean sheet came away against Crewe Alexandra, which was in the middle of an ongoing four-game winless run for the Railwaymen.