There is no getting away from it, Newport County are in wretched form. They are without a win in ten matches in all competitions, and nine of those ten were losses.

Of the eight league games that make up this woeful run, they have been really tough fixtures. Tranmere aside, who were the team they earned a point against, the rest of their opponents are currently top ten sides. It’s not about to get any easier either, as second-place Swindon Town are this weekend's opponents. 

The problems lie at the back for The Exiles, with no clean sheet during that run, but they do carry a threat, scoring in seven of those ten games, including four of the five home league games. 

Swindon, tied with Grimsby, are League Two’s top scorers, averaging 2.1 goals per game, but they do give you chances at the other end, conceding 13 goals in 10 matches, with both teams scoring in four of their five away games.

I remain unconvinced by Leicester City. They aren’t showing great signs of improvement under Marti Cifuentes, and I think that Swansea have a great chance of getting something from this match.

Leicester have lost the xG battle fairly decisively in every Championship away game so far this season. Their most recent one against West Brom (0.99 xG v 1.72 xG) needed a last-minute own goal to salvage a point, they drew 2-2 v Oxford (0.89 v 1.45), scraped past Charlton 1-0 (0.77 v 2.36) via a wonder goal, and lost to Preston 1-2 (1.23 v 1.99).

There is no evidence to suggest that Swansea won’t be just as tough a challenge as any of the away matches that Leicester have faced so far, either. The Swans have only lost twice in the league so far this season, and both by a narrow 0-1 scoreline.

Swansea have won three out of four xG battles at home, as well as remaining undefeated in actual goals, and they have scored at least once in all of their home matches as well.

This goal line seems generously priced, given the data that both teams have racked up so far this season.

Whilst any Derby home game may feel as though it should have a low expectancy of goals, it hasn’t really been deserving of that feel thus far this season. Firstly, Derby hosted one of the craziest games of the season so far, their 3-5 with Coventry, but also two of the remaining three matches surpassed this 1.5 goal line.

Southampton are starting to find their attacking rhythm as well. They were unlucky against Liverpool in the EFL Cup, but they seem to have used this as something of a catalyst to give their season a bit of a boost. Saints were unfortunate to only draw with leaders Middlesbrough, and then they deservedly beat Sheffield United in midweek as well.

Adam Armstrong is starting to look like the player that he often looks like at this level, finishing a class above almost anyone else in the league, and if Saints can find a way to progress the ball effectively on a consistent basis, then he will score a lot of goals.

Seven of Southampton’s eight Championship matches have gone over 1.5 goals, with all seven of those seeing BTTS land as well, so Derby could easily contribute to the goal haul here as well.

Last weekend’s 3-0 victory at local rivals Peterborough sent Lincoln up to third in the League One table. The Imps have lost just one of their opening ten league fixtures, and having won their last three in a row, they’ll return to Sincil Bank full of confidence.

They’re yet to taste defeat on home soil this season, with only Mansfield and Wigan leaving with a point, and so will be looking for another three points.

Opponents Exeter sit 23rd in the form table across the last five League One gameweeks, and they’ve been particularly poor away from home, scoring just twice in five games.

They’ve lost five in a row across all competitions and have only found the back of the net once across those matches, and so a trip to a top-three side should hold plenty of fear.

Another side flying high are second-placed Stevenage, who have won all four of their home games, conceding just once in the process. Such is the dominance that Alex Revell’s side have enjoyed on their own patch that it took until September 20th for them to face a shot on target at the Lamex Stadium.

Like Lincoln, they’re high on confidence, and their 3-2 victory from behind at Orient will have fans starting to believe this excellent start can be maintained.

Local rivals Luton make the short trip to Stevenage in indifferent form, with Hatters fans starting to question if Matt Bloomfield is the right man to lead them back to the Championship. They needed a stoppage time penalty to rescue a point at struggling Blackpool in midweek, and this means they’ve now won just once in their last five away games in all competitions.

Having won on a handicap opposing Luton last weekend, Stevenage feel a solid side to secure at least a draw to land us this bet again.

The Peninsula Stadium guarantees goals at the moment in League Two, with all five games played there so far seeing both teams find the net, and a total of 18 goals scored. 

This game sees 4th play 5th, and it was a similar story last time Salford played on home turf, where they met another high flyer in Swindon in a game that finished 3-2 in wet conditions.

The Mariners travel to Salford on the back of a 7-1 victory over nine-man Cheltenham. They have already played 14 games so far this season, owing to their remarkable progress in the Carabao Cup, recording victories over Manchester United and Sheffield Wednesday.

They have only drawn a blank in two of those games, and have only kept three clean sheets, so they are a perfect candidate for both teams to score.

Karl Robinson and David Artell are both known for producing attacking football teams, so we should be in for a treat here.