The Champions League is back, with qualification already well underway just a week after the conclusion of the Euros.
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Tuesday’s Champions League Accumulator Tips
Bodo/Glimt v RFS
Both of these teams play in summer leagues so are well into their respective seasons and are fully up-to-speed. Both clubs are going well and sit at the top of their respective divisions.
Bodo/Glimt have won 11 of their 16 Eliteserien games this term, and sit six points clear of Brann in second place, with a game in hand. Their home record is outstanding, they are unbeaten in the league at home this season, and have won their last three matches at home 3-1, 5-1, and 2-1, so the goals are certainly flowing.
Bodo/Glimt’s last Champions League campaign in 2022 saw them win their home qualification matches 3-0 v KI of Iceland, 8-0 v Linfield of Northern Ireland, 5-0 v Zalgiris of Lithuania, and 1-0 against Dinamo Zagreb of Croatia. While they did eventually fail to qualify for the group stages in the end, their home form was excellent.
RFS stand well above any other club in Latvia at the moment and dismantled Larne 7-0 over two legs in the first qualifying round, however, this is a big step up. In 2023, RFS lost home and away in the second qualifying round of the Conference League to Sabah FK from Azerbaijan, and athough they made it into the Conference League group stages in 2022, they failed to win a game and had a generous route through to that point in truth, only having to beat Hibernians of Malta and Linfield of Northern Ireland to get there.
Norway are currently 12th in the UEFA coefficients whilst Latvia are 37th of 55 UEFA nations. This demonstrates the gulf in class. Bodo/Glimt have the experience to be reliable in getting the job done.
Lincoln Red Imps v Qarabag
Qarabag won their third Azeri Premier League title in a row last season, by a vast margin as well. They scored 97 goals in 36 matches in marching to the title, amassing 83 points, having won 90 points the previous season as well.
They combined this domestic success with a good Europa League run as well. They qualified for the group stage, and despite losing home and away to Leverkusen in the group stages, they won three and drew one against Molde and Hacken to progress. Unfortunately, they drew Leverkusen again in the knockout rounds and despite a draw in Azerbaijan, they lost narrowly in Germany having threatened to end Leverkusen’s unbeaten run in both legs.
To go toe-to-toe with the German champions shows the superior quality that Qarabag possess, and that should shine through against the champions of Gibraltar. Lincoln Red Imps actually lost at home to Hamrun Spartans of Malta in the last round of qualification, but ultimately squeaked through on penalties.
These two clubs actually met in the first qualifying round of the Champions League last season. Qarabag won 2-1 in Gibraltar on that occasion, and followed that up with a 4-0 win in Azerbaijan. Indeed, Lincoln have avoided defeat on only two of their last 11 home matches in UEFA competition.
Gibraltar are ranked 54th of 55 nations in UEFA’s country coefficient, and Azerbaijan are 25th, mainly off the back of Qarabag’s exploits in recent years, and so Lincoln are up against it here, despite home advantage.
Ferencvaros v TNS
The Welsh Champions are into the second qualifying round of the Champions League for the first time since 2017, but they have a very tough assignment in trying to progress any further.
The away leg has often been a tricky one for TNS in their European assignments. The -1 handicap has been covered on a regular basis in their European campaigns when playing on the road.
In last year’s first qualifying round they lost 1-3 to Häcken in Sweden, in 2022 they lost 0-2 in Northern Ireland to Linfield then in 2021 they made it to the third qualification round of the Conference League, but lost 1-3 to Viktoria Plzen away. The trend continues even further back, with 2019 seeing a 0-5 loss to Ludogorets in Europa League qualification, whilst in 2018 they lost 1-3 to Midtjylland and 0-5 to Shkendija.
As we saw in the Euros, Hungarian football is in a pretty strong place, and Ferencvaros is a traditional club that has UEFA competition experience. Ferencvaros are six-time Champions of Hungary, a league which is ranked much higher than the Welsh Premier, and though they suffered a shock first qualifying round loss to KI of Iceland last season, they are regularly in the latter qualifying rounds or even in the group stages.
Last week Ferencvaros warmed up for this match with a home friendly against West Ham and drew the match 2-2. The Hungarian team were 2-0 up at half-time, and while West Ham got goals back through Danny Ings and a last-minute equaliser from Nayef Aguerd, it demonstrates the standard that Ferencvaros are capable of compared to TNS.
Shamrock Rovers v Sparta Prague
Shamrock Rovers are playing catch up in the Premier Division as it seems like their run of titles is going to come to an end. They have won only nine of their 23 league matches, and only five of their 11 home matches in the league as well, leaving them fifth of 10 in the League of Ireland Premier Division in home results.
They did reach the Conference League group stages in 2022 though, and drew two of their three matches, despite scoring only once in the whole group stage. They will try to keep it tight here, but their domestic form is much worse than it was when winning the league again that 2022 season, or indeed their 2023 season.
They lost 0-2 to Ferencvaros in Conference League qualification last season, and 0-1 to Breidablik in Champions League qualification as well in that 2023 campaign.
Sparta Prague have only just begun their season in Czechia, but they did open with a win in the defence of their title from last season. They were fairly unfortunate in Champions League qualifying last season as they drew both legs with FC Copenhagen but went out on penalties.
They did then go on and have a good run in the Europa League though, qualifying out of their group which also involved Rangers, beating Galatasaray in the play-off round, and then unfortunately drawing Liverpool in the round of 16, where they were hammered by the English club.
The UEFA country coefficients, which indicate the strength of the competitions by their performance in UEFA competitions, show us that Czechia are currently ranked 10th, whereas Ireland are 32nd, combining this gulf with Shamrock Rovers’ questionable domestic form, it looks tough for the Irish team to get a result here, even with them home advantage for this first leg.
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Written by an Andy verified content writer