Player Fouls Treble @ 2.12 on Paddy Power
🛑 Mario Lemina to commit 1+ fouls (v Liverpool)
🛑 Lewis Cook to commit 1+ fouls (v Chelsea)
🛑 Idrissa Gueye to commit 1+ fouls (v Arsenal)
The bet covers 3 players to commit at least 1 foul in the Premier League.
The player fouls odds are taken from Paddy Power, which means the new Super Sub feature is in play.
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Mario Lemina to commit 1+ fouls (v Liverpool)
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Competition: Premier League
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Kick Off: Sunday 19th May at 16:00
It is impossible to believe that there won’t be an incredible atmosphere inside Anfield for this match. Neither team has got anything to play for here but with it being Jurgen Klopp’s final match in the dugout in front of the Kop there is likely to be a highly emotionally charged atmosphere.
Into the fray then come two teams with high foul averages and with Liverpool containing players in their team with really high fouls against data. Alexis Mac Allister is one of the most fouled players in the league, Dominik Szoboszlai is a good ball carrier who encourages fouls against him, and Luis Diaz also draws a high numbers of fouls.
While one would expect Joao Gomes to be the Wolves midfielder doing the majority of the tackling and fouling, Lemina is no shrinking violet. He has committed fouls in his last two matches, and despite a two game lull before that, he had eight matches in a row just before that where he fouled at least once. That means it is ten matches in 12 where this bet has landed, 13 fouls in total in that time.
Lewis Cook to commit 1+ fouls (v Chelsea)
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Competition: Premier League
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Kick Off: Sunday 19th May at 16:00
This is a meeting between two of the highest fouling teams in the league. Bournemouth top those particular standings, and it seems as though Andoni Iraola doesn’t understand the meaning of the phrase “on the beach”, which is fairly ironic as manager of Bournemouth.
This is also a match with something riding on it for Chelsea. The second half of the season revival of the Blues has put them into sixth place in the table and they need something from this match to defend that position from Newcastle, and a win could even see Chelsea overtake Tottenham for fifth, which would be a very respectable finishing position for Mauricio Pochettino.
All this is to suggest that this will be a competitive match with an edge to it. Lewis Cook will be up against Moises Caicedo and Conor Gallagher in midfield, both players who are foul magnets, both in terms of committing fouls and being fouled themselves. Lewis Cook is highly likely to start for Bournemouth and he committed four fouls last time out against Brentford and he has given away 16 fouls in his last 13 matches.
Idrissa Gueye to commit 1+ fouls (v Arsenal)
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Competition: Premier League
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Kick Off: Sunday 19th May at 16:00
As unlikely as it may seem, Arsenal have to do their job on Sunday and push themselves to win the game against Everton in case of a slip-up from Manchester City. Even if City do take an early lead in their match, Arsenal will want to finish their season at home on a positive note. Meanwhile, it is difficult to believe that any Sean Dyche team, under any circumstances, takes its foot off the pedal while on the pitch.
It is from this perspective that selecting an Everton player to make a foul makes the most sense. Arsenal have one of the most fouled attacking players in the league in Bukayo Saka. He is obviously most likely to be on the receiving end of foul play, but his direct opponent is likely to be Ashley Young. There are a couple of reasons why Young isn’t a good bet here though, his foul rate is low, and he will also be defending on his stronger side as Saka cuts inside.
However, if and when Saka does cut inside Idrissa Gueye will probably be waiting for him. The Senegalese has had an outstanding season, but he didn’t commit a foul last week against Sheffield United, and that was the first time in ten matches he didn’t do so. He hasn’t gone two matches without committing a foul all season.
Written by Andy Robson
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