Kyler Murray is one of the most exciting bounce-back candidates coming off a couple of seasons dealing with injury problems. Not only did we see the emergence of tight end Trey McBride last year, but now they’ve added Marvin Harrison Jr, who has been touted as a generational QB prospect.

On the Bills side, they have already lost key linebacker Matt Milano, and while they have a strong defence front, their secondary is weak. Damar Hamlin was even named the starting safety, despite being a third-string guy for almost all of his career.

Being six-point underdogs I think Kyler Murray will be put in situations where he has to throw the ball, but luckily for him, this Bills matchup isn’t as intimidating as last season. I think Connor will have a tougher time running the ball against that line, and Kyler will test the inexperienced secondary with some deep ball attempts.

Diontae Johnson is one of our favourite targets to have a spike week against the division-rival Saints. While he’s leaving the Steelers and going to another below-average team, there is some hope for improvement with the Panthers bringing in known QB whisperer Dave Canales. The Panthers are a team a lot of people are expecting to improve from last year’s dumpster fire, and I think we will see those improvements in a trailing gamescript in week 1.

The Saints are also a good matchup considering they played the fifth-most man coverage in the league last year and have the same coaching staff returning. Johnson posted great marks against man coverage, posting a top 10th percentile win percentage. He’s known as one of the shiftiest wide receivers in the league, and that route-running ability really shines against this coverage.

Diontae is another receiver that showed incredible hands only posting two drops on 86 targets last season, despite bad quarterback play from Kenny Pickett. In the offseason, the Panthers talked about needing Diontae to step up as the number 1 guy and I expect that to happen sooner than later.

Despite a small sample size thanks to dealing with injuries, Anthony Richardson has proved to be incredibly dangerous with the Colts. He scored four rushing touchdowns in the four full games he played and looked like the best QB goal-line weapon since Cam Newton.

With his build at 6’4, he’s simply bigger and stronger than the linebackers trying to make those tackles. Jonathan Taylor being back and healthy adds another dimension to this offense, which we expect to be one of the deadliest rushing attacks in the league.

It was also incredibly positive to see Shane Stechien’s reaction to questions about his rushing usage this season. While reporters pressed him about limiting Richardson’s usage, he fired back with a comparison about limiting Stephen Curry’s 3-point shooting.

He acknowledged that it was a big part of Richardson’s game and something they were going to take advantage of. The coach appears to be willing to trust one of the best up-and-coming young quarterbacks in the league to do what he does best.

Gabe Davis is one of my absolute favourite under-the-radar off-season additions. While he may not be the flashiest name on the board, he has provided consistent value to the Bills over the last couple of seasons and should help fill the void that Calvin Ridley left from last year.

Gabe Davis was a very reliable downfield target possessing a 15.2 average depth of target. Despite being used so much downfield, his 3.7% drop rate highlights that reliability. The Miami Dolphins are projected to be one of the most explosive offensives in the league with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle healthy, meaning the Jaguars will likely be playing in a negative gamescript.

With Trevor Lawrence forced to throw more, his top two targets should be Christian Kirk and Gabe Davis, with the rookie Brian Thomas growing and becoming more involved as the season gets deeper. All this means targeting his alternate lines at odds-against makes a lot of sense in a matchup where they should be throwing plenty.

Justin Jefferson is one of the most dominant wide receivers in the NFL, and we expect him to show everyone in Week 1. One of the biggest things that made the NFL community fall in love with Jefferson was his ability to catch anything thrown in his area, so we’re less concerned about the QB downgrade than most.

Sam Darnold isn’t as good as Kirk Cousins, but he’s been a serviceable backup over the last couple of years, and we tend to see those types of quarterbacks really feed the number 1 targets on their teams.

The Minnesota coaching staff will all return, and that was the same group that passed it 631 times last year, fourth-most in the league. This Giants matchup is not a bad one either, with them having to rely on Adoree Jackson and Deonte Banks, two solid but not elite corners. With a close spread and a lacklustre opponent, it’s the perfect opportunity for Jefferson to open the season with a bang.