
Premier League
England
Chelsea
Tomorrow
Man City
ABC Tips
Chelsea v Manchester City Longshot @ 17.01
Erling Haaland has been the most productive player in the Premier League this season, registering 29 goal contributions across his 28 starts - including seven assists.
This is just one short of the assist tally he managed in his first season in the Premier League, which reflects how he’s developed his game and been a more well-rounded asset for City this term.
Haaland registered a hat trick against Liverpool last time out as City came away 4-0 winners. He’s got a good record against Chelsea too, having scored in each of his last two visits to Stamford Bridge.
I think he’ll cause Chelsea plenty of problems with the confidence he should have after that hat trick, and he’s also on penalties for Manchester City, should that angle present itself.
Man City are the team that Caicedo has been carded against the most (6), and that's across just eight games. Across the season, he is averaging 1.69 fouls per 90 and has picked up nine bookings already this season. He's actually yet to manage a win when playing against City, and has committed the most fouls for Chelsea.
He'll have a tough task on his hands, up against this fluid Man City frontline, the likes of Marmoush (2.81 fouls drawn per 90), Cherki (2.07 fouls drawn per 90), Haaland (0.86 fouls drawn per 90), Semenyo (0.57 fouls drawn per 90), and Doku (2.92 fouls drawn per 90) are all names you'd expect to be brought into battles with Caicedo.
Rodri may not be getting as carded as he used to be, but most times I've watched him, he's looking a lot less sharp. Ideal for us against this Chelsea attack and midfield, it's likely he'll come into contact with Pedro (1.79 fouls won), Caicedo (1.65), and Palmer (1.59).
He was carded against Liverpool and is prone to committing a tactical foul if a player gets around him. There's potential if he's subbed, it's for Nico Gonzalez, who's been carded six times already this season, too.
Andy's Sunday Premier League Accumulator @ 3.92
Tottenham have really struggled to exert control on their games this season, and because of that, they rank fourth in the Premier League for total fouls committed, which has translated to the second-most yellow cards.
They have also received the second-most red cards behind Chelsea. Cristian Romero alone has eight yellows and two reds to his name, making him the only player in the division to be sent off more than once this campaign.
De Zerbi's Marseille ranked fourth in Ligue 1 for total yellow cards before his departure, and his side also picked up five red cards in their 27 matches. The former Brighton manager likes his side to be aggressive in their press, which can often leave the defence exposed.
Tottenham games are likely to remain quite chaotic and open, which bodes well for backing the cards market once again, especially as Spurs have it all to play for.
Selhurst Park has not been a particularly difficult ground to visit this season, as Crystal Palace have only won three of their 15 league games at home. Of their 39 points this season, only 16 have been picked up at home, as the Eagles have only won one of their last ten home matches in the league. That victory came against Wolves, too, who are rock bottom of the standings.
Newcastle, meanwhile, may have hit a rough patch before the international break, but they come into this clash with a positive head-to-head record against Palace, having only lost one of the last ten meetings.
The break came at a good time for Eddie Howe's side, allowing them to regroup and reset after a difficult run. Newcastle have enough attacking quality to cause Palace problems, and they will hope to get back on track and end the season on a high.
Chelsea have been a team I’ve had plenty of success with in the corner markets this season, and I think a minimum of four should be well within reach for the hosts on Sunday afternoon.
The Blues rank among the Premier League’s most prolific teams when it comes to forcing flag kicks this term, averaging 6.23 corners per game - a figure only marginally surpassed by Newcastle’s 6.62. A closer look shows that Chelsea’s corners per game average rises to just above 7.00 per 90 when operating at Stamford Bridge.
In their last Premier League home game against Newcastle, Chelsea racked up 8 corners, while they forced 10 and 8 flag kicks in top-flight away fixtures at Arsenal and Aston Villa last month. It’s also worth noting that Liam Rosenior's side earned no fewer than 9 corners when hosting PSG in the Champions League in the run up to the recent international break, which adds weight to backing them to hit a fraction of that total against Man City on Sunday.
Further encouragement comes from the fact that the Citizens were forced to defend 5 corners in a recent road match at Leeds.
Aston Villa are averaging 4.93 corners per game across their 15 away matches in the Premier League this term. It’s an underrated facet of their game, Villa were one of the first sides to properly implement a set piece coach and come up with some of the most creative set plays in the Premier League.
Villa registered four corners as they came away 3-1 winners over Forest earlier in the season. Forest are conceding just over four corners per game when at the City Ground this season - and their latest Premier League assignment saw them concede 13 corners against a struggling Tottenham side, identifying a vulnerability that Villa should be happy to exploit with their solid corner record on the road.
Sunday Euro Insurance Goals Acca (3+ Goals = Win, 2+ Goals = Void) @ 3.93
Goals have been common in Falkirk’s games over recent months, with 5 of the Bairns' last 6 home matches across all competitions generating over 2.5 goals. It's also worth noting that Falkirk come into this clash off the back of an action-packed 3-2 win away at Motherwell.
As for Rangers, they were also involved in a high-scoring encounter last weekend when claiming a 4-2 win over Dundee United at Ibrox. That means 6 of the Light Blues' last 8 league matches have generated a minimum of 3 match strikes, with six of those contests breaking the over 3.5 goal barrier, one of which was a 2-2 draw away at rock-bottom Livingston.
If you aren’t familiar with Asian Lines, essentially if there are two goals in the game - our selection is void, offering a decent insurance angle for your Sunday goal selections.
Mainz are on a spectacular run of form having won each of their last five matches across all competitions, seeing 3+ goals in each of their last two Bundesliga games.
Freiburg came away 4-0 winners when these sides met earlier in the season, marking the second consecutive meeting between the sides which has produced at least three goals.
Freiburg have seen 3+ goals in each of their last four matches across all competitions, most recently covering this line on their own in the Europa League as they ran out 3-0 winners over Celta Vigo.
If you aren’t familiar with Asian Lines, essentially if there are two goals in the game - our selection is void, offering a decent insurance angle for your Sunday goal selections.
The most recent head to head meeting between these sides produced six goals as Gent came away 4-2 winners over Anderlecht at home.
That clash saw Gent produce an xG of 3.48 from 18 shots, while Anderlecht also contributed to the entertainment with an xG of 1.52 from 10 shots.
Anderlecht have been contesting quite a few high scoring games recently, seeing 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions.
Both sides are in direct contention with each other for a spot in the Conference League playoffs, so both should have the motivation to contribute to an exciting clash.
If you aren’t familiar with Asian Lines, essentially if there are two goals in the game - our selection is void, offering a decent insurance angle for your Sunday goal selections
Each of the last three head to head meetings between these sides has seen 3+ goals, with the most recent encounter seeing Randers come away 2-1 winners as the away side.
You may be surprised to know that Copenhagen find themselves in the relegation group of the Superligaen, and are still at slight risk of the drop with only nine points keeping them from the bottom two spots of the group.
Randers are also not quite safe yet, offering plenty of motivation for both of these sides to get on the scoresheet. Copenhagen have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions.
If you aren’t familiar with Asian Lines, essentially if there are two goals in the game - our selection is void, offering a decent insurance angle for your Sunday goal selections.
Chelsea have struggled to keep clean sheets under Liam Rosenior, only keeping shutouts against the likes of Hull, Pafos, Brentford and Port Vale so far.
Manchester City covered this line on their own last time out as they came away 4-0 winners over Liverpool in the FA Cup.
Chelsea have seen 3+ goals in eight of their last 10 matches across all competitions, they are incapable of keeping things tight at the moment - setting the stage for an end to end game which produces at least three goals.
If you aren’t familiar with Asian Lines, essentially if there are two goals in the game - our selection is void, offering a decent insurance angle for your Sunday goal selections.




