This is priced as short as 1.25 on other bookies, even going as short as 1.11 on less popular ones. Managing 1.62 feels generous.

A lot of this bet for me is based on his potential opponent, Michael Olise, who has been averaging 2.41 fouls won per90. Of the players that remain in the World Cup, he's the joint most fouled alongside Messi.

There's also the likelihood he has to sit deeper and defend against Mbappe, who averages 1.23 fouls won per90.

The reason I think this price is a little higher, is due to Ruiz not having the best fouls committed record, but I do feel like this can be put down to his lack of starts, and also isn't factoring in his potential opponents.

France last played Spain in June last year, it finished 5-4, and Ruiz came off the bench in the 64th minute and committed a foul on Dembele.

Olise should start, and Ruiz should play alongside Rodri.

When looking at fouls won for Olise: 4, 3, 1, 2, 1, 2

I also checked specific fouls won for Olise:

• In his last game, against Morocco, both CMs fouled him.

  
  

• Against Sweden, Bergvall (CM) committed a foul on Olise.

  
  

• Against Norway, Berg (CM) committed a foul and got carded.

  
  

• Against Senegal, Camara (CM) and even Diarra who come off the bench into midfield fouled him.