Ipswich

Ipswich

Friday
Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Ipswich v Nottm Forest Tips

Latest tips for Ipswich v Nottm Forest from Andy Robson and his team of experts.

Football

Ipswich v Nottm Forest High Odds Bet Builder 🔥🧱 @ 13.62

Andy Robson

Murillo has had 12 shots already this season

I really enjoy backing Liam Delap in this market, it covers both of the main parts of his game quite well. 

Delap has scored once since arriving at Forest, but I do see that tally improving the more he works with Glasner. He’s had more shots than any other Forest player this season (18), so he’s getting in the right positions.

Delap’s poor spell at Chelsea has almost erased a lot of the good work he did for Ipswich the season prior to joining the Blues, netting 12 Premier League goals for a side that got relegated.

Whilst I do believe that Delap will still develop to be a decent striker, one part of his game that will be a constant negative is how overly physical he is in his challenges.

Delap has committed a foul in each of his last five Premier League appearances, committing multiple fouls in three of these games. This has led to Delap picking up two yellow cards, and he could get in a real tangle against the back three of Ipswich. 

This is an excellent price for Murillo to have at least one shot against Ipswich on Friday night.

I’ve been impressed with the Forest centre back for some time, and Glasner coming in has taken his game to another level - especially when it comes to his attacking contributions.

Playing as the left centre back in a back three allows Murillo to push on into central areas. This is an invitation he accepts often, being more comfortable when it comes to  driving with the ball than most other centre backs.

He’s had 12 shots across just seven starts for Forest in the Premier League (1.72 per 90), which is a significant rise on the 0.46 shots per 90 he averaged last season. It’s clear that this slight positional change has benefited his shot numbers, with the role allowing him to step forward more regularly. 

Forest are averaging 17.14 shots per game in the Premier League, managing at least 12 shots in all of their domestic matches this term.

Neco Williams has been fouled in each of his last five matches in the Premier League, winning multiple fouls in two of these games.

He’s been deployed as a left wingback by Oliver Glasner, which is a role that really suits him. 

He’s not the best defensively, but is excellent at crossing - so playing as a wingback gives Williams the extra defensive protection he needs while maximising his strengths.

Williams has been fouled 12 times overall across his seven starts in the Premier League, working out to an average of 1.71 shots per 90.

He maintained an average of 1.46 fouls won per 90 for Forest across 36 starts last season - so this is a pretty consistent part of his game. 

One of the advantages of backing wingbacks for fouls or fouls won, is that they usually have up to two or three opponents depending on the opposition set up. 

Daizen Maeda was an interesting signing by Ipswich over the summer, but may just pitch in with enough goals to help the side stay up.

Maeda isn’t incredibly talented, but he works really hard and often gets rewarded for that endeavour. He’s only had four shots for Ipswich this season, but the key thing for me is that three of these shots have found the target.

He scored in City’s 3-2 defeat to Ipswich last time out, which will give him confidence, also finding the target in Ipswich’s games against Liverpool and United - suggesting that Maeda can offer a decent threat for Ipswich in transition.

Maeda played his football for Celtic last season, averaging 1.05 shots on target per 90 domestically. He did play as a striker for part of the season, so it’s a little skewed, but his early performances for Ipswich have been promising enough to back him to find the target at least once. 

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Football

Ipswich v Nottm Forest Bet Builder 🧱 @ 4.19

Andy Robson

Only six players have had more shots than Enciso in the PL this season

Dan Ndoye has probably been Forest’s most influential player so far this season, scoring two goals across his seven starts in the Premier League and only Liam Delap (18) has had more shots for Forest this season than the Swiss international.

Ndoye has taken 17 shots in the Premier League so far this term (3.28 per 90), managing 2+ shots in each of his last four Premier League games - including getting two shots away against Arsenal last time out, the best side in the league when it comes to keeping the opposition shot count down.

Ipswich are conceding 16.86 shots per game in the Premier League this term, while Forest have had at least 12+ shots in all of their Premier League matches this term - averaging 17.14 shots per game overall.

Julio Enciso is the star player in this Ipswich side and only six players in the Premier League have had more shots than the Paraguayan this term (19 - 3.03 per 90).

Enciso could definitely be a bit more clinical with these efforts, with just five of the 19 finding the target, but that still works out to a healthy average of 0.80 shots on target per 90. He’s willing to shoot from almost anywhere, 13 of his 19 efforts have come from outside the box.

Enciso played his football in Ligue 1 for Strasbourg last season, taking 61 shots across just 22 starts (2.90 per 90) and seeing 22 of those attempts find the target (1.05 per 90). 

He’s found the target in two of Ipswich’s three home games this term, managing two efforts on target in the game against Liverpool. 

Dara O’Shea has settled in really well to his right centre back role for Ipswich this season, playing in a back three alongside Diop and Greaves - who have proved to be a solid base for Ipswich so far this season.

O’Shea’s role as a wide centre back means that he can push on into midfield areas, giving him a wide variety of opponents. 

He’s committed six fouls across his seven starts in the Premier League this season and faces up against a Forest side who are winning 11.43 fouls per game in the Premier League this season.

O’Shea’s direct opponent is likely to be Neco Williams, when the Welshman pushes on as a wingback. Williams has won 12 fouls across his seven starts for Forest this season (1.71 per 90) and pretty much hugs the touchline when looking at his heat map. 

Nottingham Forest are seeing 9.57 corners per game in the Premier League this term, which rises to 10.80 corners per game when looking at their last five matches.

Corners and set pieces were a regular route to goal for Crystal Palace under Oliver Glasner, and he has similar assets in this Forest team with the likes of Murillo, Diomande and Delap all offering a decent threat from these situations.

Only three sides have actually conceded more corners than Forest over their last five matches, suggesting a slight vulnerability of their own that Ipswich could punish.

Ipswich are seeing 8.00 corners per game in the Premier League this term, but there is a tactical element at play here too with both sides set to line up in a 3-4-3 shape and play wingbacks.

These systems naturally make the pitch quite wide, with both sides looking to use their wingbacks to get balls into the box. Forest rank third for successful crosses in the Premier League (5.80 per game), while Ipswich are averaging 4.00 successful crosses per game.

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Tips Feed

Dan Ndoye - To Have 2 Or More Shots

2h ago

Julio Enciso - To Have 1 Or More Shots On Target

2h ago

Over 8.5 - Corners

2h ago

Dara O'Shea - To Commit 1 Or More Fouls

2h ago

Liam Delap - To Score Or To Be Shown A Card

42m ago

Murillo - To Have 1 Or More Shots

43m ago

Neco Williams - To Be Fouled 2 Or More Times

48m ago

Daizen Maeda - To Have 1 Or More Shots On Target

50m ago